000
AGUS72 KALR 181511
HMDALR
ALR

HYDROLOGIST FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER / ATLANTA, GA
1046 AM EDT MON APR 18 2011 

ATTENTION/ AREA AFFECTED WFO: ALR BMX JAN MOB MEG 

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER BASIN: 

... MINOR FLOODING MOVING THROUGH THE TOMBIGBEE ...


TRIBUTARY INFORMATION...

THE BUTTAHATCHEE RIVER - ABERDEEN.
THE HEAVY RAINFALL THAT WAS OBSERVED FRIDAY IN THE 
HEADWATERS OF THIS BASIN IS NOW BEING SEEN AT THE 
GAGE AT ABERDEEN. THIS LOCATION IS NOW AT CREST
AND WILL BE FALLING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

TIBBEE CREEK - TIBBEE
THIS LOCATION IS NOW BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND WILL
CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH 20 FEET BY TUESDAY.

LUXAPALLILA CREEK - COLUMBUS.
THE HEAVY RAINFALL THAT WAS OBSERVED FRIDAY IN THE 
HEADWATERS OF THIS BASIN MOVED THROUGH THIS GAGE
LOCATION YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. WITH LOWER FLOW VALUES
NOW BEING OBSERVED ALONG THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR
COLUMBUS THE LUX IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FALL STEADILY.
BY TUESDAY THIS LOCATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
FLOOD CRITERIA.

TOMBIGBEE RIVER - BEVILL.
THE HIGH FLOW VALUES COMING OUT OF THE LUXAPALLILA 
ABOVE BEVILL HAS MOVED THIS SITE BACK ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE THIS MORNING.  A MINOR ADDITIONAL RISE OF ABOUT
A FOOT IS ANTICIPATED. BY TUESDAY THIS LOCATION WILL
FALL BELOW FLOOD AGAIN.


BLACK WARRIOR RIVER - SELDON.
THIS LOCATION IS NOW FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE SOONER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST.  THE VOLUME
OF WATER MOVING DOWN FROM THE HEADWATERS IS NOW 
FORECAST TO BE LESSOR THAN PRIOR FORECASTS HAVE 
ANTICIPATED.

TOMBIGBEE RIVER - DEMPOLIS.
WITH THE LESSOR VOLUME OF WATER MOVING OUT OF THE
BLACK WARRIOR DRAINAGE, THE DEMOPOLIS FORECAST HAS 
BEEN MODIFIED TO CREST JUST BELOW FORECAST AND 
RECEDE FASTER THAN PRIOR FORECASTS.

TOMBIGBEE RIVER - COFFEEVILLE AND LEROY.
MINOR FLOOD FORECASTS CONTINUE AT THESE SITES.
RISING RIVER LEVELS WILL BE OBSERVED ON THE LOWER
TOMBIGBEE FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE WEEK.








-------------------------------------------------
THE SERFC IS INTERESTED IN THE USEFULNESS OF THIS
PRODUCT AND WELCOMES YOUR COMMENTS OR FEEDBACK ON 
HOW THIS WAS USED IN YOUR OPERATIONS. PLEASE SEND
ANY COMMENTS TO....JOHN.FELDT@NOAA.GOV


...SERFC...




$$