Perspectiva de Tiempo Peligroso

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
448 AM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

GMZ430-432-435-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-
216-259>262-031000-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-
BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-
ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-
SOUTHERN NEWTON-
448 AM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE ACROSS THE
AREA LATE IN THE WEEKEND BRINGING AN END TO THE RAINS AND FOLLOWED
BY THE COOLEST TEMPERATURES THUS FAR THIS SEASON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
723 PM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-031230-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
723 PM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CURRENTLY IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE LOWER GULF OF MEXICO THURSDAY
AND CURVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO FRIDAY. THERE IS A
CHANCE THIS SYSTEM MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY
OR FRIDAY BEFORE MOVING ASHORE SOMEWHERE ALONG THE MIDDLE OR
EASTERN GULF COAST REGION ON SATURDAY. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WITH THIS SYSTEM. A LARGE DEGREE OF
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ON BOTH TRACK AND INTENSITY OF ANY LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT MAY DEVELOP. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL
LIKELY BE ISSUED THURSDAY FOR THE GULF COASTAL WATERS.

A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA EARLY SUNDAY THAT
WILL BRING COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO THE AREA. NO WEATHER HAZARDS
ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1152 AM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-031200-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1152 AM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE
WITH A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS. HOWEVER...NO HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND JUST
AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. A FEW
OF THESE STORMS COULD BE QUITE STRONG AND PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

$$

19

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
730 AM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-031000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
730 AM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS TODAY. CHANCES
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
THEN DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
LIKELY IN THE EAST. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED...IT IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT A FEW STORMS COULD
REACH STRONG TO SEVERE LIMITS.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOONS.

THEN...FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS WILL BRING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO MUCH OF THE AREA. THOUGH NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED...A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY OCCUR.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

51

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
754 PM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-040100-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
754 PM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES. NO
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

THE RIP CURRENT RISK INCREASES THROUGH LATE WEEK AND IS FORECAST TO
BE HIGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA MOVES
NORTH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...APPROACHING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
REGION BY SATURDAY. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE THIS WEEKEND AS THE LOW
MOVES INTO THE GENERAL AREA AND A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF THE LOW IS
ACROSS OR WEST OF THE LOCAL AREA. IN ADDITION...A PROLONGED EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WIND MAY RESULT IN SOME MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

OUR BEST ESTIMATION FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IS 3 TO 4 INCHES WITH 6 TO
8 INCHES ON A LOCAL BASIS. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD MAINLY BE THE COASTAL
COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...INCLUDING THE INTERIOR OF THESE COUNTIES FROM EARLY
SATURDAY THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY. THESE AMOUNTS ARE SUBJECT TO
CONSTRAINTS OF CURRENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTY AND WILL LIKELY BE
ADJUSTED.

IMMEDIATE COASTAL RESIDENTS CAN ALSO EXPECT MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
IMPACTS AT THE TIME OF BOTH HIGH TIDES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY EVENINGS.
LOW TIDES IN BETWEEN WILL NOT RECEDE THAT MUCH DUE TO PERSISTENT
ONSHORE WINDS.

ALSO FOR THOSE LIVING ON OCEAN-FACING BARRIER ISLANDS EXPECT SOME
WAVE RUN UP TO CAUSE MINOR FLOODING...HIGH WAVES IN THE LOCAL SURF
ZONE AND POTENTIAL MINOR EROSION FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY.

WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN COASTAL RAINBANDS
REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THE SYSTEM BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR
STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

AREA RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE FORECAST OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS REGARDING THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE
GULF.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
754 PM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-040100-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
754 PM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE MARINE AREA. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING
STRIKES CAN BE EXPECTED. A FEW WATERSPOUTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
THURSDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

WINDS AND WAVES TO INCREASE AS A DISTURBANCE OVER THE NORTHWEST
CARIBBEAN SEA IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS BEING MONITORED FOR TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE
EVENTUAL TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM. AT A MINIMUM...SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED LATE WEEK AND INTO THE EARLY WEEKEND.
ABUNDANT STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF
COASTAL WATERS THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. WATERSPOUTS ARE LIKELY FROM LATE
WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND AS ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS BECOME SUPPORTIVE OF
THIS HAZARD.

$$