Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
412 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-231100-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
412 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...FEW STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST
FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES...
...PATCHY DENSE FOG TONIGHT...
LINGERING LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL KEEP AN ENHANCED RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS AT LOCAL BEACHES. REFER TO THE SURF ZONE FORECAST FOR
MORE DETAILS.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AS LOW
PRESSURE AND AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA.
A FEW STORMS MAY POSSIBLY BECOME BRIEFLY STRONG OR SEVERE ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. THE MAIN CONCERNS ARE ISOLATED
TORNADOES AND STRONG WINDS.
PATCHY DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE
VISIBILITY MAY BE LOCALLY REDUCED TO A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS AT
TIMES.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
PATCHY DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
THE VISIBILITY MAY BE LOCALLY REDUCED TO A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS
AT TIMES.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED FOR
YOUR AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.
$$
PP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
409 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-231000-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
409 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS - PALM BEACH COUNTY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
RIP CURRENTS: SWELLS OF 2 TO 3 FEET WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
COAST OF PALM BEACH COUNTY, AND THIS WILL CONTINUE THE MODERATE
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. FARTHER SOUTH THE SWELLS WILL BE SMALLER AND
THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS LESSER.
NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
A RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST, BUT
ESPECIALLY IN PALM BEACH COUNTY, AS SWELLS FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
328 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-230830-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
328 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009 /228 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2009/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. BOATERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FOR ROUGH SEAS
AND GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY NEAR ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH THE BULK OF THE RAIN WILL END FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THIS MORNING...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS
STILL A SMALL CHANCE...ABOUT 5 PERCENT OR LESS...THAT A STORM OR
TWO COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS OR A BRIEF TORNADO. IF THIS
HAPPENS...IT IS MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR ALONG THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
COAST THIS MORNING...AS AN ISOLATED SUPER CELL THUNDERSTORM HAS BEEN
OBSERVED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS DURING MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
THERE REMAINS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST FOR THE
UPCOMING WORK WEEK DUE TO VARYING SOLUTIONS FROM THE COMPUTER
MODELS USED TO FORECAST THE WEATHER. ONE MODEL FORECASTS FAIR AND
MILD WEATHER WHILE THE OTHER FORECASTS A RAIN EVENT BY MID WEEK.
EVEN IF THE RAINY SOLUTION IS CORRECT...IT APPEARS UNLIKELY THAT A
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT WILL OCCUR.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT SPOTTERS ARE STILL ASKED
TO MONITOR THE WEATHER TODAY IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.
$$
FOURNIER
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
444 PM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
FLZ066-230000-
HENDRY-
444 PM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
.NOW...
THROUGH 7 PM...WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF HENDRY COUNTY. MOVEMENT WILL BE SLOW TO THE NORTHEAST
WITH LIGHT RAINFALL.
$$
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
444 PM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
FLZ071>074-172>174-230000-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
444 PM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
.NOW...
THROUGH 7 PM...WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE WESTERN
SECTIONS OF MIAMI DADE COUNTY AND INLAND BROWARD COUNTY. SOME
SHOWERS MAY MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL METRO AREAS OF MIAMI DADE COUNTY.
EXPECT LITTLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS. MOVEMENT WILL BE SLOW TO THE NORTH
TO NORTHEAST.
$$
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
437 PM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
AMZ454-474-FLZ037-038-040-222230-
FLAGLER-MARION-PUTNAM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT TO 20 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OCALA...PALATKA
437 PM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
.NOW...
THROUGH 530 PM...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO
SOUTHERN MARION COUNTY WITH THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY MOSTLY TO THE SOUTH OF
OCALA. MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING INLAND FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE
SHOWERS ARE DECREASING IN INTENSITY AS THEY MOVE THROUGH THE OCALA NATIONAL
FOREST INTO FLAGLER AND SOUTHERN ST. JOHNS COUNTIES TO INCLUDE THE COASTAL
WATERS. THE SHOWERS ARE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MILES AN HOUR.
$$
KEEGAN
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
420 PM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
FLZ042-043-048>052-057-GMZ830-850-853-222230-
CITRUS-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT TO 20 NM-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-
HILLSBOROUGH-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SUMTER-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 20 NM-
420 PM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
.NOW...
A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED MOVING ONSHORE AREAS
FROM TAMPA BAY TO CRYSTAL RIVER...AND INLAND ACROSS SUMTER COUNTY.
THE STRONGEST SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF CITRUS AND
NORTHERN SUMTER COUNTY. ANOTHER BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WAS
LOCATED OFFSHORE FROM CLEARWATER BEACH TO 50 MILES OFF PINELLAS
COUNTY. EXPECT ROUGH SEAS...1 INCH RAINFALL RATES PER HOUR...STRONG
GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MPH...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING
WILL OCCUR IN THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE ACTIVITY WAS MOVING EAST AND
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
$$
TD
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
413 PM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
FLZ063-222300-
GLADES-
413 PM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
.NOW...
THROUGH 6 PM...ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL MOVE OVER THE WESTERN
SECTIONS OF GLADES COUNTY. EXPECT LITTLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS.
MOVEMENT WILL BE SLOW TO THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST.
$$
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
342 PM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-222300-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
342 PM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
.NOW...THROUGH 6 PM...WEAK LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND NORTHEAST GULF WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND LIFT EAST-NORTHEAST
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS UPPER AIR SUPPORT RACES NORTHEAST INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY. CURRENTLY...A BAND OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE FROM THE WEST CENTRAL PENINSULA INTO VOLUSIA
AND LAKE COUNTIES. THIS ACTIVITY MAY ALSO AFFECT PARTS OF SEMINOLE...
ORANGE AND NORTH BREVARD COUNTIES THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. EMBEDDED ISOLATED STORMS IN THIS BAND MAY CONTAIN
GUSTY WINDS AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH LAKE
AND NORTH VOLUSIA COUNTIES. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL EVENTUALLY
PUSH OFFSHORE FROM FLAGLER INLET TO JUST NORTH OF THE CAPE. MARINERS
WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE TO THE WEST AND SEEK SAFE HARBOR IF
THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES. ELSEWHERE...ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
$$
TES
