Flood Warning
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1035 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD
WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS...
OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER LOCK AND DAM NEAR CALION AFFECTING
CALHOUN...UNION AND BRADLEY COUNTIES
RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL
FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF
FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL
FORECASTS.
OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK
UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.
EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS
CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING
INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
&&
ARC011-013-139-190635-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-130623T0600Z/
/CALA4.1.ER.130604T1448Z.130612T1200Z.130622T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER LOCK AND DAM NEAR CALION.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:00 AM TUESDAY THE WATER ELEVATION WAS 80.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD ELEVATION IS 79.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD ELEVATION
BY FRIDAY EVENING.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI SAT SUN
OUACHITA RIVER
THATCHER L 79 80.9 TUE 07 AM 80.4 79.8 79.3 78.7 78.1
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
956 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT RED RIVER LANDING AFFECTING EAST BATON
ROUGE...POINTE COUPEE AND WEST FELICIANA PARISHES
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH
ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS
WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS.
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF
RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN
AROUND AND DON`T DROWN.
A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV.
&&
LAC033-077-125-192056-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRLL1.1.ER.130502T0035Z.130525T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
956 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT RED RIVER LANDING.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 49.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY CRESTING AT AROUND 49.8 FEET.
THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SLOWLY FALLING BY LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 48.0 FEET...ACCESS ROADS WILL BE INUNDATED AND
EVACUATION OF ALL RIVER ISLANDS MUST BE COMPLETE. PROTECTION OF
PEOPLE AND PROPERTY IN THE RIVER BOTTOM LAND ON THE RIVER SIDE OF
THE LEVEES MUST BE COMPLETE.
$$
Flood Advisory
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1101 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG AFFECTING MADISON...TENSAS...
CLAIBORNE...JEFFERSON AND WARREN COUNTIES/PARISHES
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ AFFECTING CONCORDIA...ADAMS AND
WILKINSON COUNTIES/PARISHES
LAC029-MSC001-157-191800-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-130619T1800Z/
/NTZM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1101 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 47.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST AND WILL HOLD STEADY FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE BEGIN TO FALL.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI CREST TIME DATE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
NATCHEZ 48 47.8 TUE 10 AM 47.8 47.6 47.2 NEAR CREST
$$
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1101 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG AFFECTING MADISON...TENSAS...
CLAIBORNE...JEFFERSON AND WARREN COUNTIES/PARISHES
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ AFFECTING CONCORDIA...ADAMS AND
WILKINSON COUNTIES/PARISHES
LAC065-107-MSC021-063-149-191800-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-130619T1800Z/
/VCKM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1101 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 41.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 43.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING AND SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY FALL.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI CREST TIME DATE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VICKSBURG 43 41.0 TUE 10 AM 40.6 40.2 39.8 CRESTING
$$
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
419 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TXZ178-179-199-200-182200-
POLK TX-LIBERTY TX-SAN JACINTO TX-MONTGOMERY TX-
419 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN POLK...NORTHERN
LIBERTY...SOUTHEASTERN SAN JACINTO AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY
COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...
AT 414 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SPLENDORA...OR 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CLEVELAND...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLEVELAND...SHEPHERD...PORTER HEIGHTS...PATTON VILLAGE...
WOODBRANCH...ROMAN FOREST...SPLENDORA...PLUM GROVE AND NORTH
CLEVELAND.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR MAY BE
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3049 9473 3031 9467 3011 9532 3032 9539
3070 9459 3049 9454
TIME...MOT...LOC 2114Z 248DEG 23KT 3028 9517
$$
39
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
351 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
LAZ028-182215-
RAPIDES LA-
351 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR RAPIDES PARISH UNTIL 515 PM
CDT...
AT 349 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES
NORTHEAST OF LENA TO HINESTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
THE LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
HINESTON...OTIS...BOYCE...CALCASIEU...GARDNER AND ELMER.
THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND WIND
GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING
UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.
THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN PONDING OF WATER AROUND LOW LYING
ROADWAYS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED
ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.
LAT...LON 3150 9268 3146 9270 3144 9268 3140 9266
3148 9219 3147 9216 3141 9215 3135 9207
3130 9216 3133 9220 3132 9223 3107 9223
3107 9283 3125 9283 3132 9289 3140 9289
3152 9273
$$
LANDRENEAU
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
437 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
437 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY AS SEVERAL WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE OVER THE AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND WITH
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS RETURNING.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
316 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-191145-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
316 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING
MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A SHERMAN TO DALLAS TO LAMPASAS LINE. SOME
LINGERING LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
SOUTHEAST OF A CANTON TO TEMPLE LINE. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN MAY ACCOMPANY ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH
AND CENTRAL TEXAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
150 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-191000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
150 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED...LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY...AS A
WEAK SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS. DRY AND WARM
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FOR THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
&&
VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
$$
58
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1203 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-190515-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
1203 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON. MOST OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AREAS ALONG AND SURROUNDING THE MISSISSIPPI
STATE LINE. THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH
AND LARGE HAIL.
RIVER LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGES AT RED RIVER LANDING
AND MORGAN CITY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR EACH DAY THIS WEEK.
MOST THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF CAUSING WIND SPEEDS OF
30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP
TO 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEK AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
LARGE
HAIL.
RIVER LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT RED RIVER LANDING
AND MORGAN CITY DURING THE PERIOD.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1201 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1201 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MAINLY WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
NO STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 7 PM THIS EVENING DUE TO
STRONG CAPPING. LIGHT RAIN MAY OCCUR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
NEAR THE RED RIVER EAST OF I-35 DUE TO A NEARBY LOW PRESSURE
DISTURBANCE.
THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF
NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT AS THEY MOVE OFF THE HIGH PLAINS OF COLORADO
AND NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO. WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND SHEAR...
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY OVER OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. HOWEVER...A FEW STORMS TONIGHT MAY CONTAIN
HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND SMALL HAIL.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY JUN 19.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...30 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...10 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
AS A WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE REGION. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
WITH RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL...MAINLY OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO FLOODING OF
LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED
AROUND 5 AM WEDNESDAY.
$$
MBS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1157 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
ARZ050-051-059>061-070-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-191100-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-MCCURTAIN-
RED RIVER-BOWIE-
1157 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND AMATEUR
RADIO OPERATORS...WILL NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1157 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
ARZ071>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ108>112-124>126-136>138-
149>153-165>167-191100-
LAFAYETTE-COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-
LINCOLN-UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-
SABINE LA-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-FRANKLIN-
TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-
CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
SABINE TX-
1157 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...EAST TEXAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
A WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE BECOMING STATIONARY
THIS EVENING. A VERY TROPICAL AIR MASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE
AREA...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO
REDEVELOP OVER NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON AS WEAK UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES SHIFT EAST ATOP THE FRONT. ANOTHER STRONGER
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER NORTHCENTRAL TEXAS WILL MOVE EAST
SOUTHEAST INTO EAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND AID IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT...SPREADING EAST INTO NORTHCENTRAL
LOUISIANA TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT...WITH ANY TRAINING OF THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY RESULTING IN
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA...AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT
BEGINS TO SLOWLY RETURN NORTHWARD. DAYTIME HEATING AND RESULTANT
INSTABILITY MAY CONTRIBUTE TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING DURING THE DAY...WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL THE PRIMARY THREATS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND AMATEUR
RADIO OPERATORS...SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.
$$
15
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
546 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
191100-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
546 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY...ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL INTERACT WITH A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES MOVING
EAST OVER THE AREA RESULTING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY MIDDAY. THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA THIS
AFTERNOON.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER A FEW STORMS COULD BE
STRONG...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. IN ADDITION...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN PONDING ON ROADWAYS OR MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW-LYING OR URBAN AREAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN
WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES PASSING OVER THE REGION INTERACT
WITH A STALLING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
REACH SEVERE LIMITS...BUT GUSTY WINDS...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF
THE STORMS.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DIMINISH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST OVER THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL
AGAIN INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
ALOFT MOVES WEST OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
$$
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
410 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
LAZ027-028-TXZ180-201-259-260-182315-
VERNON-RAPIDES-TYLER-HARDIN-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEESVILLE...NEW LLANO...ALEXANDRIA...
PINEVILLE...WOODVILLE...COLMESNEIL...LUMBERTON...SILSBEE...
JASPER...KIRBYVILLE...NEWTON
410 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
.NOW...
THROUGH 5 PM...A BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BEGIN MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST AT ABOUT 25 MPH.
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND RAINFALL RATES OF A HALF INCH PER HOUR
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY WILL
IMPACT NORTHERN PORTIONS OF JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AS WELL AS NORTHERN RAPIDES PARISH IN SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA.
$$
66
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
410 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
GMZ430-432-LAZ029>033-041>043-073-074-TXZ215-216-261-262-182315-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-
ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...COTTONPORT...
SIMMESPORT...MANSURA...DE RIDDER...OAKDALE...KINDER...
VILLE PLATTE...MAMOU...OPELOUSAS...EUNICE...LAKE CHARLES...
SULPHUR...JENNINGS...WELSH...LAKE ARTHUR...CROWLEY...RAYNE...
CHURCH POINT...HACKBERRY...HOLLY BEACH...CAMERON...
GRAND CHENIER...BEAUMONT...PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE...VIDOR...
BRIDGE CITY...BUNA...DEWEYVILLE
410 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
.NOW...
THROUGH 5 PM...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 25 MPH. THIS ACTIVITY
WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A BROKEN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS JUST
BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND RAINFALL
RATES OF UP TO A HALF INCH PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED AS THESE
STORMS DEVELOP.
$$
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
332 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
ARZ061-070>073-LAZ017-TXZ097-109>112-124>126-136-137-149-150-152-153-
165>167-182200-
ANGELINA-BOWIE-CAMP-CASS-CHEROKEE-COLUMBIA-GREGG-LAFAYETTE-MARION-
MILLER-MORRIS-NACOGDOCHES-NEVADA-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SHELBY-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UPSHUR-WOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTA...CENTER...DAINGERFIELD...
EL DORADO...GILMER...HEMPHILL...HENDERSON...JEFFERSON...LEWISVILLE...
LONGVIEW...LUFKIN...MAGNOLIA...MANY...MT PLEASANT...NACOGDOCHES...
NEW BOSTON...PITTSBURG...PRESCOTT...QUITMAN...RUSK...SAN AUGUSTINE...
TEXARKANA...TYLER
332 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS
OF THE FOUR STATE AREA IN THE WARM HUMID AIR FROM DEEP EAST TEXAS
INTO TOLEDO BEND COUNTRY. THE COLD FRONT IS ALONG I-20 IN
NORTHEAST TEXAS AND RUNS ALONG THE ARKANSAS LOUISIANA STATE LINE WITH
ISOLATED ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING THERE. UNDER ANY OF THE STRONGEST
STORMS...EXPECT WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MILES AN HOUR...SMALL HAIL AND
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. FREQUENT AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS
ALSO OCCURRING. ALSO...HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ON
ALREADY WET GROUND MAY CAUSE BRIEF FLOODING ON LOW LYING
AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS AND PONDING ON ROADWAYS. THE RAIN WAS MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE
COLD FRONT.
$$
24
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
332 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
LAZ001>006-010>014-018>022-TXZ138-151-182200-
BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-CADDO-CALDWELL-CLAIBORNE-DE SOTO-GRANT-HARRISON-
JACKSON-LA SALLE-LINCOLN-NATCHITOCHES-OUACHITA-PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-
UNION LA-WEBSTER-WINN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BIENVILLE...BOSSIER CITY...CARTHAGE...
COLFAX...COLUMBIA...COUSHATTA...FARMERVILLE...HOMER...JENA...
JONESBORO...MANSFIELD...MARSHALL...MINDEN...MONROE...NATCHITOCHES...
RUSTON...SHREVEPORT...WINNFIELD
332 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
.NOW...
A LARGE CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD ALONG
AND SOUTH OF I-20 EXTENDING FROM MINDEN...DOWN TO CAMPTI AND
NATCHITOCHES. SMALLER CLUSTERS SOUTH OF I-20 NEAR MARSHALL EXTEND
INTO MANSFIELD AND PLEASANT HILL. SOME OF THESE STORMS HAVE BEEN
SEVERE WITH GUSTY WINDS OVER 50 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE
BRIEF FLOODING NEAR SMALL STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS AND ON ROADWAYS
WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY RANGE BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES BRIEF
FLOODING. THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING EAST NEAR 25 MPH AND WILL CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON ALONG A COLD FRONT.
$$
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
300 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-182200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
300 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS MAINLY
EAST OF A SHERMAN...TO DALLAS...TO WACO TO LAMPASAS LINE
THROUGH 5 PM. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS WILL AVERAGE 1/10 INCH OR
LESS AS THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVE EAST AT 25 MPH.
$$
