Flood Warning
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1130 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-220730-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-091122T0730Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.091112T0206Z.091115T1200Z.091122T0130Z.NO/
1130 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS
EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS. THIS LEVEL IS THE TOP OF
THE BANK AT THE MARINA.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SUN MON TUE WED THU
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 15.8 SAT 08 AM 14.3 12.2 10.0 9.3 9.2
$$
Small Craft Advisory
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
333 PM CST SAT NOV 21 2009
PASCAGOULA TO ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 60 NM
GMZ550-221030-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM-
333 PM CST SAT NOV 21 2009
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
.TONIGHT...WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS EARLY BECOMING WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET. PROTECTED WATERS ROUGH. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUNDAY...WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO
10 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. PROTECTED
WATERS ROUGH. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR
LESS. PROTECTED WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.MONDAY...NORTH WINDS NEAR 5 KNOTS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET SUBSIDING TO
0 TO 1 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. PROTECTED WATERS SMOOTH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...EAST WINDS NEAR 5 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
PROTECTED WATERS SMOOTH.
.TUESDAY...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
PROTECTED WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.
PROTECTED WATERS ROUGH. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.WEDNESDAY...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.
PROTECTED WATERS ROUGH. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET
SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT. PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY.
.THURSDAY...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.
PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.
PROTECTED WATERS ROUGH.
$$
Marine Weather Statement
MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
702 PM CST SAT NOV 21 2009
GMZ650-655-670-675-220600-
/O.NEW.KMOB.MA.S.0049.091122T0102Z-091122T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
702 PM CST SAT NOV 21 2009
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF COASTAL WATERS
FROM NAVARRE BEACH FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 60 THIS EVENING..
AT 700 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED
ON RADAR SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF WATERS...MOVING
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
MOSTLY AREAS FROM GULF SHORES AL TO PASCAGOULA MS BEYOND 15 MILES.
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS OF 25
TO 30 KNOTS RESULTING IN LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER
LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND POSSIBLE WATERSPOUTS. BRIEF...LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WILL LIKELY REDUCE VISIBILITIES BELOW 1 NM AT TIMES.
BOATERS THAT MAY BE VENTURING OUT ON AREA BAYS AND GULF WATERS SHOULD
BE ON THE ALERT FOR SUCH CONDITIONS.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1100 AM CST SAT NOV 21 2009
GMZ530-550-555-570-575-LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-221200-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-
IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-
ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-
ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-
UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-
LOWER ST. BERNARD-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
1100 AM CST SAT NOV 21 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL WATERS
OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REMAIN CONFINED TO THE
COASTAL WATERS AND LOWER PLAQUEMINES PARISH THROUGH THIS EVENING.
THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH FROM THE
STRONGER STORMS AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS. OTHERWISE...JUST LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL AND PERHAPS A CLAP OR TWO OF THUNDER IS EXPECTED
OVER LAND AREAS THIS AFTERNOON...TAPERING FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
EVENING.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM FOR THE COASTAL
WATERS MAINLY WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA.
RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER AT MORGAN
CITY. MINOR FLOODING IS ALSO OCCURRING ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
AT RED RIVER LANDING. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR
DETAILS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER AT
MORGAN CITY. THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE AT RED RIVER LANDING SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FLOOD
STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
$$
24/RR
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
530 AM CST SAT NOV 21 2009
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-221200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
530 AM CST SAT NOV 21 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF WILL REMAIN MOSTLY OFFSHORE AND WEAKEN LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT
GENERALLY ALONG A SURFACE WARM FRONT SOUTH OF THE COAST. THE MAIN
CONCERN OVER LAND WITH THIS PATTERN WILL BE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLY LEADING TO SOME MINOR FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND
AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE I-IO CORRIDOR.
GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED GENERALLY ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST.
OFFSHORE...A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWARD AND STALL OVER THE
MARINE AREA WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING EASTWARD NEAR OR
ALONG THE FRONT. NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT A FEW STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND A FEW LONG LIVED WATERSPOUTS.
MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TONIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY OFFSHORE ALONG A WARM FRONT WILL
MOVE EAST OF THE REGION LATE SUNDAY MORNING. A MODERATE NORTHERLY
WIND FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW COULD GIVE WAY TO HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT MAINLY SUNDAY NIGHT.
A STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION LATER IN THE WEEK...
POSSIBLY GIVING WAY TO HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT LATE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
AT THIS TIME ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
311 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-220815-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
311 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009 /211 AM CST SAT NOV 21 2009/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ALONG THE GULF COAST
TODAY AND SUNDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRECEDE THIS
SYSTEM...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THE LOCAL AREA COMING
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...5 PERCENT
WITHIN 25 MILES OF A POINT...OF DAMAGING WINDS LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF A TORNADO WITHIN
25 MILES OF A POINT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS THAT FAVOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ARE INCREASING WINDS WITH HEIGHT...OR
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. COUNTERING THIS FAVORABLE FACTOR WILL BE
LIMITED INSTABILITY...AS IT APPEARS DOUBTFUL THAT THE
WARM...MOISTURE RICH AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE INLAND
TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM UPDRAFT DEVELOPMENT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL AVERAGE AROUND AN INCH...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD CAUSE SMALL SCALE FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
A NON-ZERO SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY
MORNING...UNTIL THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND THE RAIN
TAPERS OFF FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST FOR THE UPCOMING WORK
WEEK DUE TO VARYING SOLUTIONS FROM THE COMPUTER MODELS USED TO
FORECAST THE WEATHER. ONE MODEL FORECASTS FAIR AND MILD WEATHER
WHILE THE OTHER FORECASTS A RAIN EVENT BY MID WEEK. EVEN IF THE
RAINY SOLUTION IS CORRECT...IT APPEARS UNLIKELY THAT A SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WEATHER EVENT WILL OCCUR.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...BUT SPOTTERS ARE
ASKED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...IN
CASE A SEVERE WEATHER EVENT DOES MATERIALIZE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.
$$
FOURNIER
