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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
911 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE
RIVER AT WIMAUMA...
...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING
FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD

.WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN LATE LAST WEEK HAS
RESULTED IN A FEW AREA RIVERS SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA TO GO
INTO MINOR FLOOD. ALTHOUGH THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER IS
CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REACH JUST BELOW FLOOD STAGE...
HIGH RAIN CHANCES THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL CONTINUE THE
THREAT OF FLOOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC081-212306-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140921T2306Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.140920T1207Z.140920T2300Z.140921T1706Z.NO/
911 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL THIS EVENING
* AT 08 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.4 FEET ON SEP 18
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  11.6  SUN 08 AM   9.7   10.0    8.7    6.9    6.0


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224



$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
553 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-221000-
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BARNES SOUND, BLACKWATER SOUND, AND
BUTTONWOOD SOUND-
BAYSIDE AND GULF SIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
AND BEYOND 5 FATHOMS-
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL-
GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON
SHOAL OUT TO 5 FATHOMS-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT
TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO THE REEF-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
553 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM
HAZARD WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FLORIDA
KEYS...AS WELL AS OVER NEARSHORE AND OFFSHORE WATERS ADJACENT TO THE
ISLAND CHAIN. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARD WILL BE LIGHTNING
STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

CLR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
531 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-212100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
531 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA
TODAY. SUFFICIENT MOISTURE NEAR THIS BOUNDARY...COUPLED WITH
DAYTIME HEATING AND THE AFTERNOON SEAS BREEZES WILL LEAD TO THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS ACROSS THE REGION.
COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED NORTH OF INTERSTATE 4...AND
HIGHEST FROM LAKE OKEECHOBEE TO THE TREASURE COAST.

STORM MOTION WILL BE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH NORTH OF
ORLANDO AND CAPE CANAVERAL...INCREASING TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH
TO THE SOUTH. GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 45 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...
AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS UP TO AROUND TWO INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS TODAY.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO TO AROUND 35 KNOTS AS THE MOVE
QUICKLY FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND SOUTH
OF A LINE FROM LAKE KISSIMMEE TO LAKE WASHINGTON AND COCOA BEACH.
BOATERS SHOULD BE ALERT TO STORMS APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST
TODAY...AND SEEK SAFE HARBOR IF SKIES LOOK THREATENING.

.WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
THE COMBINATION OF DEEP MOISTURE AND LIGHT WINDS IN THE LOWER
LEVEL OF THE ATMOSPHERE COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF FUNNEL
CLOUDS OR WATERSPOUTS NEAR OR ALONG THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE...
MAINLY FROM AROUND CAPE CANAVERAL TO JUPITER INLET.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A PERSISTENT OCEAN SWELL OF 3 TO 4 FEET WILL LEAD TO A MODERATE
THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES TODAY. THE THREAT WILL BE
HIGHEST BETWEEN 10 AM AND 4 PM TODAY DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS. CHECK
WITH THE BEACH PATROL FOR ANY ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT OCEAN
HAZARDS. REMEMBER TO SWIM ONLY NEAR A LIFEGUARD... AND NEVER SWIM
ALONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL CHANCES WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEK. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THERE WILL BE A LITTLE GREATER
CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING ACTIVITY MONDAY AND TUESDAY. RAIN CHANCES
WILL REMAIN HIGH FROM WEDNESDAY ONWARD...WITH A LITTLE STRONGER
ONSHORE FLOW PERHAPS DECREASING THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF
STORMS SLIGHTLY.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

CRISTALDI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
506 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-212000-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
506 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG
GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING
STRIKES.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
RIVER FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG THE MYAKKA RIVER NEAR MYAKKA
HEAD. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS OR FASTER FLOWING STREAMS
SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF WATER LEVELS AND BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER
GROUND SHOULD FLOODING BE OBSERVED. FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING
STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

$$

HUBBARD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
438 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
212045-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
438 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL SOUTH
FLORIDA COASTAL AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. THE CHANCES ARE SLIGHTLY
BETTER IN THE INTERIOR AREAS. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN
AND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY. THE MAIN IMPACTS WILL BE
LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT
ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
HIGH WIND, HAIL AND FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
934 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-211500-
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BARNES SOUND, BLACKWATER SOUND, AND BUTTONWOOD
SOUND-
BAYSIDE AND GULF SIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT AND
BEYOND 5 FATHOMS-
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL-
GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO 5 FATHOMS-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT TO
THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO THE REEF-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE
OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS
OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE
20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS
20 TO 60 NM OUT-
INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF...KEY LARGO...MARATHON...KEY WEST
934 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 1100 AM...SMALL POCKETS OF LIGHT RAINS WILL BE MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF WATERS ADJACENT AND OFFSHORE FROM THE
FLORIDA KEYS. BRIEF PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE KEYS
ISLAND CHAIN LATE THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED. THERE MAY BE A FEW STRONGER SHOWERS IN THE WATERS SOUTH OF
THE DRY TORTUGAS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS AND
MODERATE RAINS.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
834 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-211600-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
834 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.NOW...
A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY LYING ACROSS THE TREASURE COAST AND LAKE
OKEECHOBEE AREAS WILL HELP PRODUCE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS THIS MORNING.
CURRENT RADAR SHOWS SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN OVER LAKE OKEECHOBEE TO
INDIANTOWN AND PALM CITY...EASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS MOVING
EAST TO NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.  SMALL AMOUNTS OF MEASURABLE RAIN
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. ELSEWHERE DRIER AIR IS MOVING
SOUTHWARD INTO NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA AND I-4 CORRIDOR BEHIND THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS
FROM METRO ORLANDO TO LAKE COUNTY AND DAYTONA BEACH.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$

JP

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE