Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
200 PM CST MON NOV 23 2009

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-241300-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
200 PM CST MON NOV 23 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY.

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY WEAK AND
INSUFFICIENT FOR MORE THAN A ROUGE THUNDERSTORM ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CST TUESDAY NOV 24.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...10 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...0 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
ENHANCED WILDFIRE CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN OVER FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA
AND ADJACENT PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT. A DRY LINE WILL PUSH INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH
TEXAS...PROVIDING WARM TEMPERATURES...VERY DRY AIR...AND STRONG
WINDS. THE COLD FRONT WILL OVER-RUN THE DRY LINE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AND MAKE WINDS SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST. THE
FRONT WILL ALSO USHER IN COOLER AIR WHICH WILL HELP RELATIVE
HUMIDITY RECOVER.

AREAS OF FOG...SOME DENSE...WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.

FAIRLY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. WINDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO IMPACT TRAVEL
SAFETY OF HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHT-WEIGHT VEHICLES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM
TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
100 PM CST MON NOV 23 2009

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-241200-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
100 PM CST MON NOV 23 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WEST WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY
FUELS WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY ACROSS
THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY...SHIFTING WINDS TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHWEST. DUE TO THE WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY...CAUTION IS ADVISED ON
AREA LAKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

COCKRELL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1244 PM CST MON NOV 23 2009

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-241845-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1244 PM CST MON NOV 23 2009 /1144 AM MST MON NOV 23 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ELEVATED TO LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS
THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
545 PM CST MON NOV 23 2009

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-240130-
ALFALFA-ARCHER-ATOKA-BAYLOR-BECKHAM-BLAINE-BRYAN-CADDO-CANADIAN-
CARTER-CLAY-CLEVELAND-COAL-COMANCHE-COTTON-CUSTER-DEWEY-ELLIS-FOARD-
GARFIELD-GARVIN-GRADY-GRANT-GREER-HARDEMAN-HARMON-HARPER-HUGHES-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSTON-KAY-KINGFISHER-KIOWA-KNOX-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LOVE-MAJOR-MARSHALL-MCCLAIN-MURRAY-NOBLE-OKLAHOMA-PAYNE-PONTOTOC-
POTTAWATOMIE-ROGER MILLS-SEMINOLE-STEPHENS-TILLMAN-WASHITA-WICHITA-
WILBARGER-
545 PM CST MON NOV 23 2009

.REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...

A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS EVENING
EXTENDED FROM NEAR ENID... TO SNYDER... TO VERNON TEXAS. BEHIND THE
FRONT... STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WERE GUSTING 25 TO 35 MPH. THE COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE OKLAHOMA CITY AND WICHITA
FALLS METRO AREAS DURING THE EVENING BEFORE REACHING SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT.

AHEAD OF THE FRONT... AREAS OF FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS... MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE-35. ANY
DENSE FOG WILL BE CONFINED TO FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA... WHERE THERE
WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED
WEAK THUNDERSTORM.

$$
CJS