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Lake Wind Advisory


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
509 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

ARZ050-051-059-060-070-071-LAZ001-002-010-011-017-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-201700-
/O.CON.KSHV.LW.Y.0025.130520T1500Z-130521T0000Z/
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-CADDO-
BOSSIER-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-SABINE LA-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-
TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-
CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
SABINE TX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...ASHDOWN...HOPE...
TEXARKANA...LEWISVILLE...SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY...MANSFIELD...
COUSHATTA...MANY...IDABEL...CLARKSVILLE...MT VERNON...
MT PLEASANT...PITTSBURG...DAINGERFIELD...ATLANTA...QUITMAN...
GILMER...JEFFERSON...TYLER...LONGVIEW...MARSHALL...RUSK...
HENDERSON...CARTHAGE...NACOGDOCHES...CENTER...LUFKIN...
SAN AUGUSTINE...HEMPHILL
509 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* EVENT...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL AGAIN TIGHTEN TODAY ACROSS
  THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AHEAD OF AN AREA OF DEEPENING SURFACE LOW
  PRESSURE ALONG THE DRYLINE ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
  TEXAS. SOUTH WINDS WITH INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY MID MORNING
  WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 30 MPH AT TIMES.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER
  GUSTS BY MID MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE
  DIMINISHING SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.

* IMPACT...STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE A ROUGH CHOP AND POTENTIALLY
  HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ON AREA LAKES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

$$

15


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
621 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

ARZ050-051-059>061-070-071-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-124-125-
201700-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-
UPSHUR-
621 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME NUMEROUS THIS EVENING ACROSS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WHILE SPREADING EAST INTO EXTREME
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE AS THEY
ENTER THE REGION LATE TONIGHT...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
POSSIBLE. THESE STORMS MAY BEGIN TO WEAKEN LATE AS INSTABILITY
DIMINISHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL AFFECT THE REGION LATE TONIGHT
WILL LEAVE VARIOUS CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES IN PLACE OVER THE AREA
TUESDAY...WHICH WILL FOCUS ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY AS THE AIR MASS
DESTABILIZES DURING PEAK HEATING IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE. THESE
STORMS MAY DEVELOP INTO A LARGER CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT AS THEY ADVANCE EAST SOUTHEAST ACROSS
EAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO
THREE INCHES POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED AREAS OF
FLASH FLOODING. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH FROM
WEST TO EAST LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
621 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

ARZ072-073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ126-136>138-149>153-
165>167-201700-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
621 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...EAST TEXAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...ALONG
RESIDUAL BOUNDARIES FROM THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL MOVE INTO THESE
AREAS LATE TONIGHT. STRONG DAYTIME HEATING WITHIN A VERY MOIST AIR
MASS IN PLACE WILL RESULT IN STRONG INSTABILITY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...AS LARGE SCALE FORCING INCREASES WITH THE APPROACH OF
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE WEST. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE TUESDAY AFTERNOON OVER NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS...AS THEY SPREAD EAST SOUTHEAST INTO NORTH LOUISIANA BY
TUESDAY EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY
SEVERE WEATHER THREATS...ALTHOUGH THE THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL INCREASE AS THESE STORMS GROW INTO LARGE CLUSTERS
THAT WILL PROGRESS OVER THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT...ALTHOUGH THE SEVERE
WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT MAY DIMINISH LATE. THESE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

$$

15

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
535 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
530 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

...MORE SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...INTERSTATE 40 AXIS.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID OR LATE AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID OR LATE AFTERNOON.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NEAR AN AXIS FROM HENRYETTA TO FAYETTEVILLE.

DISCUSSION...
TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL FEATURE ANOTHER VERY ACTIVE WEATHER DAY.
CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO BEGIN EARLIER THAN YESTERDAY...PROBABLY
BETWEEN NOON AND 3 PM. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS
LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...THEN LAST MUCH OF THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

THE AIRMASS OVER OUR REGION HAS CHANGED LITTLE FROM YESTERDAY
WITH SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE AVAILABLE ENERGY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR.
TORNADOES...BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUST OF 80 MILES AN HOUR CAN
BE ANTICIPATED FROM SOME STORMS. WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
WILL BE MUCH MORE LIKELY TO SEE SEVERE STORMS LATE TODAY OR TONIGHT
THAN YESTERDAY.

HIGH ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE CONTENT MEANS ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES
REPEAT STORMS...OR TRAINING STORMS...WILL SEE AN ENHANCED FLOOD
THREAT. THE AREA THAT APPEARS MOST VULNERABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN
WILL BE NEAR AN AXIS FROM AROUND HENRYETTA TO THE FAYETTEVILLE
SPRINGDALE VICINITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT MAY PERSIST INTO TUESDAY...FOR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AHEAD OF A SLOW
MOVING COLD FRONT. AFTER A ONE DAY BREAK WEDNESDAY...LOW
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURN THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE MUCH MORE WIDESPREAD OVER
EASTERN OKLAHOMA TODAY AND TONIGHT THAN YESTERDAY. FOLKS
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL BE EQUALLY INCLUDED IN THE SEVERE
THREAT AFTER MISSING THE BULK OF YESTERDAYS STORMS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
523 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-211030-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
523 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY EAST OF HASKELL...ABILENE... SAN
ANGELO...JUNCTION LINE. THE MAIN THREATS ARE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER WILL BE ELEVATED IN THE BIG COUNTRY AND
CONCHO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON...AS GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS COMBINE
WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS.
AVOID OUTSIDE BURNING AND DISPOSE OF CIGARETTES PROPERLY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ON TUESDAY...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
AND EAST OF BROWNWOOD...EDEN...SONORA LINE. THE MAIN THREATS ARE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEED LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
500 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-211000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
500 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM WICHITA FALLS
TEXAS...TO LAWTON OKLAHOMA...TO EL RENO...TO GUTHRIE...TO
STILLWATER. A SLIGHT RISK AREA SURROUNDS THE MODERATE RISK...
AND IS EAST OF A LINE FROM MUNDAY TO VERNON IN TEXAS...AND
ALTUS...TO CLINTON...TO FAIRVIEW...TO CHEROKEE IN OKLAHOMA.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM 1 PM
THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

IMPACTS...
BASEBALL SIZED HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE
LIKELY WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS WITHIN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.
QUARTER TO PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL...AND WINDS TO ABOUT 60 MPH
ARE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGER STORMS WITHIN THE SLIGHT RISK AREA.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREAS SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS FROM 1 PM UNTIL
MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THE WEATHER SITUATION TODAY VERY MUCH RESEMBLES YESTERDAY. WARM...
UNSTABLE AIR WILL AGAIN LIE EAST OF A COLD FRONT/DRYLINE COMBINATION
THAT WILL BE OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS. VERTICAL WIND PROFILES WILL AGAIN SUPPORT ROTATING UPDRAFTS
AND SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.
A SLIGHTLY WEAKER CAPPING INVERSION IS INDICATED...WHICH SUGGESTS
A SLIGHTLY EARLIER BEGINNING OF STORM DEVELOPMENT...COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY SPARSE EARLY IN THE
EVENT...THEN MERGE INTO SMALL CLUSTERS DURING THE EVENING. THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL DIMINISH...AND MOVE EAST OF THE NORMAN
FORECAST AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY MAY 21.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...NEAR 100 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HOT...DRY...AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED WILDFIRE
POTENTIAL IN WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST HALF OF OKLAHOMA. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
EACH DAY FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
CURRENTLY EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON
TODAY.
$$

CMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
420 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

TXZ021>044-210930-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
420 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FIRE WEATHER

ELEVATED TO BRIEFLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT WEST
OF A VIGO PARK TO LITTLEFIELD LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE TEXAS AND NEW MEXICO STATE LINE ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
358 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>213-210900-
AUSTIN-BRAZOS-BURLESON-COLORADO-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-LIBERTY-
MADISON-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-
WASHINGTON-
358 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. ISOLATED STRONG
STORMS APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
342 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-211000-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
342 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF
THE HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE FOR LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...MAINLY ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE
FROM ROCKSPRINGS TO KERRVILLE TO MARBLE FALLS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NEARLY ALL
OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THE PRIMARY
SEVERE THREATS ARE FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...WITH A
SECONDARY THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES. LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR THIS EVENING.
HOWEVER...SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR TUESDAY INTO
TUESDAY EVENING.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
241 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-210745-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
241 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG THE DRY LINE THIS
AFTERNOON WEST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE TO CISCO. CONVECTION
WILL THEN MOVE EAST DURING THE EVENING AND WILL AFFECT MOST AREAS
OF NORTH TEXAS NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM PALESTINE TO TEMPLE BEFORE
MORNING.

A NUMBER OF THE STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS. HOWEVER...ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE TO BE THREATS.

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
NIGHT GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF A SHERMAN TO WEATHERFORD TO
COMANCHE LINE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON IN WESTERN
COUNTIES...SPREADING EAST OVERNIGHT AS THE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE