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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
650 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-281200-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
650 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD OVER MUCH OF TEXAS AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACH FROM THE
EAST. THIS WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.
SOME STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR. LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BE
POSSIBLE WITH SEVERAL STRONG STORMS MOVING OVER THE SAME AREA OR
IN URBAN AREAS WHERE THERE IS POOR DRAINAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LABOR DAY WEEKEND.
THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING.
STORMS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MAY HAVE A LITTLE HIGHER THREAT OF
HEAVY DOWNPOURS DUE TO SLOW STORM MOVEMENT. BY THE WEEKEND THE
STORMS SHOULD MOVE FASTER AND LESSEN THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN
SLIGHTLY. STREET FLOODING MAY OCCUR IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
612 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-281115-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
612 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE
LIGHTNING AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS. NO SIGNIFICANT HAZARDOUS WEATHER
IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA. WITH LIMITED INSTABILITY...STORMS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
604 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-280000-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
604 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE VERY SPARSE IN COVERAGE
TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS DOMINANT ACROSS THE REGION.
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES SHOULD REMAIN JUST BELOW 100 DEGREES AS
DRIER AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE EAST. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES NEAR 100 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
FOR THE LATTER PORTION OF THE WORK WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACH THE
REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

19

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
547 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

TXZ021>044-281100-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
547 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IS
EXPECTED TO BE CONCENTRATED FROM THE WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS INTO THE
FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
SEVERE...BUT THEY COULD PRODUCE STRONG WINDS GUSTS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO MINOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
501 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-272215-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
501 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EARLY AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
HOT CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN BE COMMON TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. HEAT INDICES OF NEAR 100 DEGREES
TO 104 DEGREES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS. ALSO...ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BECOME POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
INCREASE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE PLAINS. THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH
PRECIPITATION CHANCES TAPERING OFF SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE SYSTEM
EXITS TO THE NORTHEAST.

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS QUICKLY RETURNS FOR THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
500 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

GMZ430-432-435-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-
216-259>262-281100-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-
BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-
ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-
SOUTHERN NEWTON-
500 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...MAINLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BE ON THE STRONG SIDE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST...BECOMING MORE
NUMEROUS ON SATURDAY.

THE BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL RE-ESTABLISH ITSELF ACROSS
THE WESTERN UPPER GULF COAST STATES ON MONDAY. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL TAPER OFF ACCORDINGLY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
455 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-281000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
455 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
OVER FAR NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. HEAVY
RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH
THIS ACTIVITY. STORMS SHOULD DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

LATER THIS AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP OVER THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES AND FAR
NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA. A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY NORTH OF A CHEROKEE TO SEILING
TO ELK CITY LINE. STRONGER STORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIND
GUSTS TO 60 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A
SLOW MOVING FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVE INTO WESTERN
OKLAHOMA. WHILE A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...THE
MAIN HAZARD WILL TRANSITION TO A HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING THREAT.

.HEAT...
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN RANGE FROM THE MID
90S TO LOW 100S TODAY. THIS COMBINED WITH INCREASING MOISTURE
WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEGREES MOST PLACES.
FOLLOW HEAT SAFETY GUIDELINES TO PROTECT FROM HEAT RELATED ILLNESS
AND INJURY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
AS A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE ON THE RISE
FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD EXIT THE
REGION BY EARLY SUNDAY...BUT ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA EARLY NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN ANOTHER CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.

HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING MAY
ACCOMPANY STRONGER STORMS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...BUT
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS UNLIKELY.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

AUSTIN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
410 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-281000-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
410 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
315 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-280815-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
315 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTH TEXAS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL INCREASE OVER THE ENTIRE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL END ON SUNDAY FOR ALL EXCEPT FOR THE
EASTERN AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$


92

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E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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