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Special Weather Statement


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
324 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

OKZ053-280915-
CHOCTAW OK-
324 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 415 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN CHOCTAW

AT 324 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF APPLE TO 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SWINK...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...SAWYER...FORT TOWSON...SWINK...
MESSER...APPLE...HUGO LAKE STATE PARK AND RAYMOND GARY STATE PARK.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.

LAT...LON 3404 9551 3416 9546 3416 9515 3395 9515
      3394 9515
TIME...MOT...LOC 0824Z 041DEG 8KT 3414 9537 3410 9510

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
328 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-290830-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
328 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER THE BIG
COUNTRY AND THE NORTHERN HEARTLAND. DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...MAINLY OVER
NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

15

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1044 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-281000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1044 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT
ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. ALTHOUGH ORGANIZED
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...ONE OF TWO STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE BEST
CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN AND STORMS WILL BE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THIS
PERIOD MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
948 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
948 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP NEAR A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ALONG THE RED RIVER LATER TONIGHT. THESE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL OVERSPREAD OUR REGION MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE TUESDAY AND
ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

AN AXIS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THE WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER AND
PRECIPITATION WILL RESULT IN UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES. LOW
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
323 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-281100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
323 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT ALONG AND NORTH OF A
LINE FROM GRAHAM TO LEWISVILLE TO SULPHUR SPRINGS. CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN MAY ACCOMPANY SOME OF THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. SOME LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
100 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-281100-
ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-BOWIE-CADDO-CALDWELL-CAMP-CASS-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-DE SOTO-FRANKLIN-GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-HEMPSTEAD-
HOWARD-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LAFAYETTE-LINCOLN-LITTLE RIVER-MARION-
MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NACOGDOCHES-NATCHITOCHES-NEVADA-OUACHITA-
PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RED RIVER TX-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SEVIER-SHELBY-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UNION LA-UPSHUR-
WEBSTER-WINN-WOOD-
100 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S...AND WHEN
COMBINED WITH THE HUMIDITY...THE HEAT INDICES WILL RANGE
100 TO 105 DEGREES. THOSE WHO MUST BE OUTSIDE FOR ANY LENGTH
OF TIME WORKING OR PLAYING SHOULD DRINK PLENTY OF WATER...TAKE
FREQUENT BREAKS IN THE SHADE OR AIR CONDITIONED FACILITIES IF
POSSIBLE...AND WEAR LIGHTWEIGHT...LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING. CHECK
ON THE ELDERLY IF THEY USE LESS COOLING OR FANS DURING THE
HOT SUMMER MONTHS. IN ADDITION...BE SURE THAT YOUR OUTDOOR
PETS HAVE PLENTY OF WATER AND A SHADED PLACE TO REST...IF THEY
CAN NOT BE BROUGHT INDOORS. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

ANOTHER RARE MID SUMMER COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE ON MONDAY AS IT
EVENTUALLY SETTLES SOUTH AND STALLS OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTH LOUISIANA. THIS BOUNDARY WILL INTERACT WITH A SERIES OF
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES TO HELP PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. LESS COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CARRY OVER INTO THE FIRST HALF
OF THE WEEKEND. NO ORGANIZED HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

06

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
609 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

TXZ021>044-281115-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
609 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 50 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THE SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH THIS ACTIVITY IS
SMALL...HOWEVER....STRONG WIND GUST...SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
547 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-281100-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
547 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE MID 90S MOST AREAS WITH HIGH
HUMIDITY IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY APPROACH 105
DEGREES WHICH COULD LEAD TO HEAT RELATED ILLNESS SHOULD
PRECAUTIONS NOT BE TAKEN. LIMIT OUTSIDE ACTIVITY AND IF YOU ARE
OUTSIDE DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND TAKE PLENTY OF BREAKS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY SHOULD REACH THE MID TO UPPER 90S
MOST AREAS WITH HIGH HUMIDITY IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAT INDEX VALUES
MAY APPROACH 105 DEGREES WHICH COULD LEAD TO HEAT RELATED ILLNESS
SHOULD PRECAUTIONS NOT BE TAKEN. LIMIT OUTSIDE ACTIVITY AND IF YOU
ARE OUTSIDE DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND TAKE PLENTY OF BREAKS.
CONDITIONS THE REST OF THE WEEK SHOULD NOT BE QUITE AS HOT.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA TUESDAY AND STALL. THE
FRONT MAY BE A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A
FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...LIGHTNING
AND GUSTY WINDS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE 1
TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL VERY QUICKLY. STORMS COULD CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT OVER SOME OF THE SAME AREAS OF PREVIOUS
STORMS. THIS COULD PRODUCE HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
AREA. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
344 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-281045-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
344 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.NOW...
A COLD FRONT WAS BEGINNING TO INVADE NORTH TEXAS. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT...WHICH WAS
LOCATED NEAR THE RED RIVER AS OF 330 AM. THIS SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WAS SLOWLY DRIFTING SOUTHWARD AROUND 10 MPH.
SHOULD THE THUNDERSTORMS HOLD TOGETHER...THEY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND MODERATE RAINFALL.

ELSEWHERE...IT WILL REMAIN PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE 70S OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.


$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
256 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

OKZ049-053-281000-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-
256 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.NOW...
AT 3 AM...WEATHER RADARS DETECTED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...PRIMARILY
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ATOKA...TO CLOUDY. MOVEMENT WAS TO THE SOUTH
AT 15 MPH.

THROUGH 5 AM...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN PUSHMATAHA AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES. LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE WILL LIKELY WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
236 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-280900-
BOWIE-CAMP-CASS-COLUMBIA-FRANKLIN-HEMPSTEAD-HOWARD-LAFAYETTE-
LITTLE RIVER-MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NEVADA-RED RIVER TX-SEVIER-
TITUS-UNION AR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHDOWN...ATLANTA...CLARKSVILLE...
DAINGERFIELD...DE QUEEN...EL DORADO...HOPE...IDABEL...LEWISVILLE...
MAGNOLIA...MT PLEASANT...MT VERNON...NASHVILLE...NEW BOSTON...
PITTSBURG...PRESCOTT...TEXARKANA
236 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.NOW...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY THIS
MORNING. LOOK FOR THIS ACTIVITY TO FORM OR DEVELOP FROM NEAR ANTLERS
AND BROKEN BOW OKLAHOMA...ONTO NEAR DEQUEEN...NASHVILLE AND
ARKADELPHIA ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PREDAWN HOURS. MOVEMENT OF THIS
ACTIVITY WILL BE TO THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH.
$$

13

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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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