Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1135 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-261000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1135 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
AN UPPER LEVEL WEATHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER WESTERN PARTS
OF ARKANSAS TONIGHT...AND DEVELOP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. OVERALL RAIN AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE WILL BE LOW. THE
THREAT OF ANY SEVERE STORMS WILL ALSO BE LOW.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
ON SUNDAY ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER MORE OF
ARKANSAS...AND DEVELOP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
RAIN AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE WILL BE A BIT HIGHER THAN SATURDAY BUT
STILL BE SCATTERED. THE THREAT OF AN SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN LOW
AND ISOLATED.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
&&
VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
$$
59
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1044 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-261200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1044 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM EARLIER TODAY HAVE DIMINISHED...BUT A COMPLEX OF
SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE MAY
MAKE IT INTO PARTS OF FAR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. OTHER SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN A MOISTURE
RICH ENVIRONMENT...AND WEAK FORCING ALOFT. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT WILL REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THOUGH GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY STORM THAT
OCCURS.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SUNDAY MAY 26.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...80 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...5 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
A SHARP DRYLINE WILL TAKE SHAPE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER FAR
WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. HIGH ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY
WILL DEVELOP BY PEAK HEATING...AND AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVES ACROSS
THE REGION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. ANY STORM
THAT DEVELOPS ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA OR WESTERN NORTH TEXAS LATE
TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY BECOME SEVERE. LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
TENNIS BALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY ANY SEVERE STORMS.
STORMS SHOULD QUICKLY WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET AS THE AIRMASS BECOMES MORE
STABLE.
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THOUGH A STOUT
CAP WILL PREVENT MANY STORMS FROM FORMING. A FEW STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE
STORMS MAY OCCUR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS STRONGER UPPER LEVEL WINDS AND
INCREASING INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM
SUNDAY...WITH UPDATES AS NEEDED.
$$
MAXWELL/AUSTIN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
731 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-270045-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
731 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...
LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
DISCUSSION...
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE
INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI AND ALSO OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS
INTO FAR WESTERN MISSOURI TOWARDS SUNRISE. THIS AREA IS
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE NORTH AND WEST OF A GALENA MISSOURI TO
STOCKTON LAKE TO EMINENCE LINE. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS
POSSIBLE. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. WHILE NO
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
SOUTH WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY THROUGH MONDAY...WITH SOUTH
WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH AT TIMES.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
&&
THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)
$$
GAEDE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
729 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-270030-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
729 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS MAY MOVE INTO CENTRAL KANSAS
TOWARD MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO DAYBREAK. THESE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE STRONG OR SEVERE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER WESTERN KANSAS BOTH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND MONDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT STORMS
COULD MOVE INTO CENTRAL KANSAS SUNDAY NIGHT AND A BETTER CHANCE OF
THIS MONDAY NIGHT. STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT. STRONG WINDS AND SMALL
HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE INCREASINGLY LIKELY FOR TUESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. STRONG AND SOME SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY DURING THIS
PERIOD. THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN TIMING...BUT
THE THREAT APPEARS TO BE A BIT HIGHER W OF I-35 THAN EAST OF I-35
AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.
&&
FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN COVERAGE IS EXPECTED
ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER THIS EVENING. AMPLE
INSTABILITY IS AVAILABLE FOR A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...
HOWEVER A LACK OF STRONGER WINDS ALOFT WILL LIMIT THE SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
SMALL HAIL AND POSSIBLY LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. THE RISK
OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL LESSEN FURTHER DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED GIVEN THE ISOLATED
COVERAGE OF THE THUNDERSTORMS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY AS A SLOW MOVING
DISTURBANCE CROSSES SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. WARMER AND WINDY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR MID TO LATE WEEK AS A STRONGER
STORM SYSTEM SPREADS INTO THE PLAINS STATES.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
401 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-261200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
401 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE
MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 35/35E CORRIDOR. THE MAIN
THREATS WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF INTERSTATE 35
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
82/JLD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1109 AM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>072-LAZ001>004-010>012-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-261200-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-
BIENVILLE-SABINE LA-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-
MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-
MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-
SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1109 AM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
WITH DAYTIME HEATING...WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING. THE BEST COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL AS NORTHEAST TEXAS.
LATER TONIGHT...THIS THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE COULD INCREASE FURTHER
EAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO EXTREME NORTHWEST LOUISIANA AS
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO OUR REGION FROM THE WEST.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ENDING LATE
SUNDAY BUT THEY WILL BE BACK IN THE FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE
REGION FOR THE LATE HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON
OR TONIGHT.
$$
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
159 AM CDT SUN MAY 26 2013
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ066-077-088-260900-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-VERNON-BARTON-JASPER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG...
BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...NEVADA...LAMAR...JOPLIN...CARTHAGE
159 AM CDT SUN MAY 26 2013
.NOW...
THROUGH 4 AM...AN ISOLATED SHOWER WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN MISSOURI. MOST
LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY. THOSE THAT ENCOUNTER A SHOWER CAN
EXPECT A BRIEF DOWNPOUR OF RAIN WITH ACCUMULATION ON THE ORDER OF
A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.
$$
GAGAN
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
115 AM CDT SUN MAY 26 2013
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-260931-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
115 AM CDT SUN MAY 26 2013
.NOW...
SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE EAST OF A TEMPLE TO CANTON LINE
THROUGH 4 AM. AREAS FROM CAMERON AND HEARNE NORTHEAST ACROSS
MARLIN...GROESBECK...BUFFALO....MEXIA AND FAIRFIELD SHOULD SEE THIS
RAIN DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE ATHENS AND CORSICANA AREAS MAY
NOT SEE THIS RAIN UNTIL 4 AM. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE A
FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH THROUGH 230 AM...THEN THEY COULD
AVERAGE BETWEEN 1 AND 2 TENTHS OF AN INCH.
ELSEWHERE...IT WILL BE GENERALLY CLOUDY AND HUMID WITH TEMPERATURES
IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S AND LIGHT SOUTH WINDS.
$$
