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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
453 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-221200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
453 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...PRIMARILY DURING
THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT AND ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

CARNEY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
450 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
450 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND IN
COVERAGE ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON AS A
SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH. WEAK WIND FIELDS WILL
KEEP THE SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES VERY LOW...ALTHOUGH THE SLOW
MOVEMENT OF STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATER IN THE WEEK AS THE NEXT
UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES. FORECAST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND WIND FIELDS
APPEAR SUPPORTIVE OF SOME SEVERE WEATHER...ESPECIALLY LATER
THURSDAY. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST INTO THE
WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
450 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-221000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
450 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO
SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING. A
FEW STRONG STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
444 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-220945-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
444 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
MORNING MAINLY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THESE STORMS MAY BE
ABLE TO PRODUCE SOME HAIL. HOWEVER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
A SQUALL LINE TO FORM AND MOVE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST OVER THE
AREA. POSSIBLE HAZARDS INCLUDE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

$$

WOLTERS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
437 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-220945-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
437 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
TODAY WITH A FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE EAST OF INTERSTATE 135. THE
STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.

VERY HIGH GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER WILL BE IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS MAINLY RUSSELL AND LINCOLN COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

VERY HIGH GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER WILL BE IN PLACE TUESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR MOST OF CENTRAL KANSAS. VERY STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL RESULT IN
VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA.

A FEW STORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS WITH STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND TRACK EAST AND
SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AFFECTING
LOCATIONS GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 135. ANY STORM
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL HAVE A
CHANCE TO PRODUCE GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS UP TO 70 MPH.

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WITH CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIMING AND LOCATION.
HOWEVER...AT THIS POINT IT DOES LOOK LIKE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
A POSSIBILITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

$$

LAWSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
401 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-220915-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
401 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
  AND TRACK ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY. THE MAIN
  RISK WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
  STRIKES...WITH NO SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY. WIND GUSTS
  OVER 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE
  INTERSTATE 49 CORRIDOR.

  THESE BREEZY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH A DRY AIR MASS WILL RESULT
  IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
  EASTERN OZARKS...MAINLY IN WOOD AREAS THAT HAVE YET TO LEAF OUT.
  FIRES IN THESE CONDITIONS COULD ESCAPE CONTROL MORE EASILY.

  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
  INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS A
  SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE CENTRAL UNITED
  STATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
347 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
347 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT...AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE STATE. WHILE ISOLATED STORMS COULD
BECOME STRONG...THE PROBABILITY OF ORGANIZED OR WIDESPREAD SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND...AS ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS AFFECTS THE
STATE. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY. MONITOR
LATER OUTLOOKS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

57

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
748 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-220100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
748 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

 SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME
 NORTHWEST MISSOURI THIS EVENING...AND THROUGHOUT THE OUTLOOK
 AREA AFTER 2 AM. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

 SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
 DAY ON MONDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

 ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE NEXT WEDNESDAY THROUGH
 THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
457 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211200-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
457 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

.NOW...

AT 4:55 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING PORTIONS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MILES AN HOUR.

THROUGH 7 AM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP INTO PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...MAINLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 75.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT...ALTHOUGH PARTS OF
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA COULD RECEIVE A TENTH OR TWO OF RAINFALL THROUGH
7 AM.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE