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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1150 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-242215-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
1150 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A LINE OF STORMS WILL DIMINISH AS THEY MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS OVERNIGHT. A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STORMS WILL EXIT SOUTHEAST KANSAS THURSDAY MORNING WITH A FEW
STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE.

VERY HIGH GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER IS ANTICIPATED THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR MAINLY CENTRAL KANSAS. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL ELEVATED THE
FIRE DANGER INTO THE VERY HIGH CATEGORY AREA WIDE ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

AN ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER PATTERN LOOKS TO BE SETTING UP FOR THE
WEEKEND. FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AREAS ALONG AND WEST
OF INTERSTATE 135 LOOK TO HAVE THE BEST CHANCE AT SEVERE STORMS.
FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON...LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 135
WILL HAVE THE BETTER CHANCES OF SEVERE STORMS. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1133 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-250445-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1133 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  BRISK AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH
  OF TONIGHT ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
  KANSAS. SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE
  EXPECTED AT TIMES.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI. THE MAIN
  THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ACROSS THE REMAINDER
  OF THE OZARKS REGION DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. INSTABILITY WILL
  BE LIMITED...HOWEVER A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
  POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN OZARKS AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

  A FEW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AS A
  WARM FRONT LIFTS THROUGH THE REGION. MORE ORGANIZED
  THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL THEN ARRIVE FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
  THERE CONTINUES TO BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER SUNDAY
  AND MONDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES...WHICH
  MAY INCLUDE PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI
  OZARKS. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AREA WILL DEPEND ON THE EXACT
  TRACK OF THIS STORM SYSTEM...WHICH REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS
  TIME.

  MUCH COOLER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF
  NEXT WEEK...WITH SOME INDICATIONS THAT TEMPERATURES MAY DROP
  LOW ENOUGH TO RESULT IN A FROST OR FREEZE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
  THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

SCHAUMANN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1103 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-250415-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
1103 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE CONTINUE TO BE
EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO THE MID MORNING HOURS ON
THURSDAY ACROSS NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP LATE FRIDAY NIGHT IN
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...AND MAY BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL.

THE PERIOD FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING HAS THE
POTENTIAL FOR A MULTI DAY...POSSIBLY SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT WITH ALL WEATHER HAZARDS POSSIBLE INCLUDING TORNADOES VERY
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE DETAILS OF THIS TIME PERIOD
REMAIN UNCERTAIN...BUT THE INGREDIENTS ARE CERTAINLY COMING
TOGETHER TO INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SEVERE
WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
455 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
455 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 10 PM.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. COMBINED WITH LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND WARM TEMPERATURES... THERE WILL CONTINUE
TO BE AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44. CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE SLOWLY AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES.

THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ONGOING ALONG A DRYLINE OUT IN THE
PANHANDLES WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT... SOMETIME
AFTER 10 PM. DUE TO THE WEAKER INSTABILITY AT NIGHT... THE SEVERE
STORM THREAT WILL BE LIMITED... WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT... MAINLY EAST OF TULSA. DEPENDING ON HOW FAST THE FRONT CLEARS
OUR AREA....THERE COULD BE A LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE STORMS DURING
THE EARLY AFTERNOON AS WELL.

A MORE SIGNIFICANT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL COME WHEN THE NEXT
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND. THE GREATEST RISK
OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ON SUNDAY... INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR
VERY LARGE HAIL... DAMAGING WINDS AND STRONG TORNADOES. SOME RISK
OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AS WELL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS AND NWS PRODUCTS AS THE WEEKEND APPROACHES.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
405 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-242115-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
405 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

 THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING OVER MUCH
 OF THE AREA. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

 THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA THURSDAY
 MORNING BEFORE EXITING THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

 SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SATURDAY INTO
 SUNDAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE OVER THE WEEKEND.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
348 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-241200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
348 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT...PRIMARILY
OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY
AND INTO THURSDAY EVENING. WHILE NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
CURRENTLY EXPECTED...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN SATURDAY ACROSS PARTS
OF CENTRAL MISSOURI. THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

$$

TILLY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1105 AM CDT WED APR 23 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-241000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1105 AM CDT WED APR 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE THREAT FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE WILL BE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AS
A STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE STATE. SOME STORMS COULD BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN
THREATS WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEEN SUNDAY AND
AGAIN ON MONDAY AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE STATE.
GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR...AND WITH WARM TEMPERATURES OVER THE
WEEKEND...SOME STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LOOK POSSIBLE BOTH
DAYS. WHILE IT IS TOO EARLY TO DISCUSS THE SPECIFICS INCLUDING
TIMING AND EXTENT OF THE THREATS...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER
IS BECOMING MORE POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING AND EVEN RIVER FLOODING LOOKS TO
ALSO INCREASE AS MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST OUTLOOKS AND FORECASTS IN THE COMING DAYS AS DETAILS
REGARDING THE INCREASED HAZARDOUS WEATHER THREAT BECOME MORE
CLEAR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

51/62


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1126 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-240600-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
1126 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

.NOW...
AT 1120 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS SHOWED AN
AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN CREEK...WESTERN
OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THROUGH 100 AM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
TO THE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...MAINLY
WEST OF HIGHWAY 75. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.


$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE