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Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
831 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

ARC007-143-180430-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FA.Y.0010.150418T0131Z-150418T0430Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON AR-WASHINGTON AR-
831 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  EASTERN BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  NORTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 1130 PM CDT

* AT 828 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY
  HEAVY RAIN ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MILLER TO 4 MILES NORTHEAST
  OF SONORA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY HEAVY RAIN
  INCLUDE...ROGERS...BELLA VISTA...WAR EAGLE...HOBBS STATE PARK...
  AVOCA...LOOKOUT...PEA RIDGE...LARUE...BLAND...WALNUT HILL AND HILL
  TOP.

MINOR ROAD FLOODING WAS REPORTED.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3623 9389 3616 9392 3609 9410 3650 9442
      3651 9403 3627 9387 3624 9387

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
856 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-182145-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
856 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE TONIGHT AND
AFFECT MOST OF THE AREA. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND 50 MPH WINDS. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE POSSIBLE WEST OF
I-135 WITH 1 INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND GUSTS THAT MAY REACH 60 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING EAST OF I-135 MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL
AND 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS.

ON SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MOST
OF SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE SMALL HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS
ARE BOTH POSSIBLE PRIMARILY ALONG...AND SOUTHEAST...OF THE FLINT
HILLS.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR PRIMARILY SOUTH-CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS ON WEDNESDAY WITH THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING
FOR ALL AREAS FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THRU THURSDAY NIGHT. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THRU THURSDAY NIGHT
MAY PRODUCE SOME SMALL HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS. SPECIFICS
REGARDING THE STRENGTH OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE PROVIDED
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

$$

ES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
829 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-190130-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
829 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST LATE
  TONIGHT. WHILE NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.
  THERE MAY BE AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM POSSIBLE WITH SMALL HAIL
  UP TO PENNY SIZE AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH OVER THE FAR
  SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMMON THROUGH THE UPCOMING
  WEEKEND AS A LARGE STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLOODING SATURDAY OR
  SUNDAY.

  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO
  SUNDAY EVENING...PARTICULARLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
  44.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

GRIFFIN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK..CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
455 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
455 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...MAINLY EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...MAINLY EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
EVENING...AND ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT...ACROSS THE REGION. SOME OF THE
INITIAL STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE...WITH HAIL
AND GUSTY WIND BEING THE MAIN THREATS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
BE POSSIBLE AS WELL...MAINLY OVERNIGHT ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY AS A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS
OVER THE REGION. THOUGH THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING...UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM COULD ALSO TRIGGER A FEW STRONGER STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HAIL AND STRONG WINDS ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL FINALLY
PUSH NORTHEAST OF THE REGION LATE SUNDAY...LEAVING MONDAY DRY BUT
COOLER. THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED...WITH
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING BY MID NEXT
WEEK.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
WITH THE RECENT RAINS AND THE AMOUNT OF ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS...FLOODING
COULD BECOME A CONCERN.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

16

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
400 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-182100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
400 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

 THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL SLOWLY INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST
STARTING THIS EVENING. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

 NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE REGION ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE STORMS ON SATURDAY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BECOME SEVERE BUT HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH ISOLATED AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE. A FEW STRONGER STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON
SUNDAY.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
127 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-181830-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
127 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATER TONIGHT. A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEST
OF A MARYSVILLE TO HERINGTON LINE WITH HAIL THE MAIN HAZARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LARGE
HAIL AND POSSIBLY SOME DAMAGING WINDS.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN EAST CENTRAL
KANSAS DURING THE DAY SUNDAY.

THE EXPECTATION FOR SEVERAL ROUNDS OF RAINFALL THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND MAY ALSO RESULT IN AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
930 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-181000-
BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD-
INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY-
FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND-
SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT-
JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-
CALHOUN-BRADLEY-DREW-
930 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERAL WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY KEEPING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST.
WHILE A STRONG STORM CAN NOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT...WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE WESTERN PLAINS TONIGHT...RAIN WILL
BECOME LIKELY OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE BY SUNRISE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AS THE STORM SYSTEM
MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE ASSOCIATED UPPER TROUGH WITH THIS
STORM SYSTEM WILL SWING THROUGH THE STATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURNING. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO
POSSIBLY SEVERE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

SEVERAL ADDITIONAL BUT WEAK WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE PERIOD. ONLY SCATTERED
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THE BEST CHANCES DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON THROUGH MID EVENING HOURS. SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES APPEAR
MINIMAL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

56/59

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