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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
912 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
908 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL EXIT THE REGION OVERNIGHT WITH SKIES
CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST BEHIND THE FRONT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER
IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN SATURDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE PLAINS.
WARMER TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH THE GUSTY WINDS WILL HELP TO
RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
SATURDAY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE SUNDAY INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. IN THE WAKE OF THE
EXITING COLD FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE AND WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST FOR THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
AGAIN INCREASE FIRE WEATHER DANGERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
747 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-190100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
747 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED FROST RISK.

DISCUSSION...

A CLEARING SKY...LIGHT WINDS...AND TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE
MID 30S LATE TONIGHT WILL ALLOW SOME PATCHY FROST TO DEVELOP OVER
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
330 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-182030-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
330 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PATCHY FROST IS POSSIBLE VERY LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE 30S.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

VERY HIGH GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS. VERY HIGH GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED
SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER...THE RISK FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER
APPEARS LOW AT THIS TIME.

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA
WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
FORECAST WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL ELEVATE THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER
TO VERY HIGH TO NEAR EXTREME ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1146 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-181700-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1146 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A FEW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. HOWEVER...NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING EARLY SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SLOWLY
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOULD BE LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. AN ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY. HOWEVER...MEAGER INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT LIMITED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

VII


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
945 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-180400-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
945 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

.NOW...

AT 9:45 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT WIDELY SCATTERED AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE MOVING
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION WAS LOCATED ALONG THE OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS
BORDER...WITH ADDITIONAL DRIZZLE MOVING INTO PITTSBURG COUNTY. ALL
THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AROUND 30 MILES
PER HOUR.

THROUGH 11:00 PM...SCATTERED AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
MOST LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY REMAIN DRY...HOWEVER SOME LOCATIONS
COULD RECEIVE BETWEEN A TRACE...TO A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH
OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION.

$$

16

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
906 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-180502-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
906 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

.NOW...
AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND SOME LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS AREAS
GENERALLY WEST OF A BONHAM TO CORSICANA TO CENTERVILLE LINE THROUGH
MIDNIGHT. ALSO...ACROSS THE METROPLEX AND AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF
THE I-345 CORRIDOR...FOG MAY REDUCE VISIBILITIES DOWN TO 2 MILES AT
TIMES. RAINFALL WILL BE LIGHT...BUT THE RED RIVER COUNTIES MIGHTS SEE
AMOUNTS UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH BY MIDNIGHT.

OTHERWISE...TONIGHT WILL REMAIN CLOUDY...COOL AND DAMP WITH NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL INTO THE MID TO UPPER
50S BY MIDNIGHT.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
852 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

TXZ099-114-180330-
THROCKMORTON-SHACKELFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...ALBANY
852 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH 11 PM.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 1/10 OF AN INCH OR LESS.

$$

DOLL

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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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