Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1227 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
201730-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
1227 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA... AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON FROM WEST CENTRAL
THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE ACROSS ALL OF THE OUTLOOK AREA TONIGHT. A FEW OF THE
STORMS TONIGHT MAY BE STRONG TO NEAR SEVERE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK
AREA FROM THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. SEVERE STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. IN ADDITION...BOUTS OF VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING OF
LOW AREAS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
$$
RAH
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1119 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-201200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
1119 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. MOST STORMS
WILL REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...WITH WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AND
DIME SIZE HAIL THE MAIN THREATS. HOWEVER AN ISOLATED STORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING THURSDAY ARE NOT LIKELY TO BE
SEVERE FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HOWEVER...BY LATE AFTERNOON SOME
STORMS OVER SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA COULD PRODUCE HAIL TO GOLF
BALL SIZE AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. MORE ORGANIZED STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT...MAINLY FROM EXTREME EASTERN SOUTH
DAKOTA INTO SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA. WHILE THE
THREAT OF ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS IS ONLY MODERATE...FAVORABLE LOW
AND MID LEVEL WINDS MAKES IT LIKELY THAT ANY STORMS THAT DO
DEVELOP WILL BECOME SEVERE...WITH HAIL TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND 70
MPH WIND GUSTS.
THE THREAT OF STORMS...POSSIBLE SEVERE...WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT.
THE THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE COMING WEEKEND
AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...WITH THE HIGHEST
THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS THREAT WILL DECREASE
BY SUNDAY IF THE LOW PASSES THE AREA...BUT AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS THAT SOME THREAT MAY CONTINUE IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE
AREA.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.
&&
FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SIOUXFALLS. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
508 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-081>086-
092>097-201015-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-SAC-CALHOUN-
WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-
BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-
POWESHIEK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-
CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-DECATUR-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-
DAVIS-
508 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTH AND WEST
TODAY...GENERALLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 35. THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGHOUT
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT. A FEW ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY IN THE EVENING...GENERALLY
WEST OF INTERSTATE 35. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS WOULD BE THE
MAIN THREATS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 80 ON THURSDAY...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
MAIN THREATS. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED AT TIMES INTO THE EARLY
WEEKEND.
$$
AWB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
443 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-201130-
KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-
SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-NORTHERN CASS-SOUTHERN ITASCA-
SOUTHERN CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
443 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. SOME STORMS MAY BE STRONG IN THE ARROWHEAD WITH GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL THE PRIMARY THREAT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR DEVELOPS ACROSS THE REGION. EXACT
PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF THE STORMS IS UNCERTAIN THIS FAR IN
ADVANCE. THERE IS A RISK THAT SOME STORMS WILL BE SEVERE WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
THOSE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS SHOULD MONITOR THE FORECAST CLOSELY AND
BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAIN.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT...BUT
MAY BE NEEDED AT TIMES LATE THIS WEEK.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
430 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-032>034-
041>044-053>055-061-201200-
ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CHICKASAW-CLARK-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-DODGE-
FAYETTE-FILLMORE-FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JACKSON-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE-
MITCHELL-MONROE-MOWER-OLMSTED-RICHLAND-TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-VERNON-
WABASHA-WINNESHIEK-WINONA-
430 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SPREADS INTO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...
WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND MUCH OF NORTHEAST IOWA AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. LIGHTNING WOULD BE THE MAIN HAZARD WITH THESE STORMS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. LIGHTNING AND
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THE STORMS.
FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...EXPECT PERIODS OF
THUNDERSTORMS. ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN. ADDITIONALLY...PERIODS OF SEVERE WEATHER ARE
POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING THE MAIN HAZARDS.
DETAILS ABOUT WHEN AND WHERE REMAIN DIFFICULT TO DISCERN AT THIS
TIME.
HEAT INDICES MAY CLIMB TO UNCOMFORTABLE LEVELS FROM SATURDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HOW HIGH
HEAT INDICES CLIMB TO WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH SUN OCCURS EACH DAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PERIODS OF
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS CERTAINTY INCREASES ON WHEN AND WHERE SEVERE WEATHER MAY
OCCUR.
.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...
NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED FOR TODAY. HOWEVER...A WEBINAR IS BEING
CONSIDERED ON THURSDAY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL STORMY PERIOD FROM
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
$$
AJ
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
407 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-200915-
TRAVERSE-BIG STONE-CORSON-CAMPBELL-MCPHERSON-BROWN-MARSHALL-
ROBERTS-WALWORTH-EDMUNDS-DAY-DEWEY-POTTER-FAULK-SPINK-CLARK-
CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-STANLEY-SULLY-HUGHES-HYDE-HAND-JONES-
LYMAN-BUFFALO-
407 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013 /307 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...INITIALLY
DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND MOVING NORTHEAST.
THERE MAY BE ISOLATED STRONG STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER ROUND
OF STRONG STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
AN UNSETTLED PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THIS WEEK...WITH SEVERAL
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ON THURSDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.
$$
SERR
Hydrologic Outlook
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
MNC003-009-013-015-019-023-025-037-041-043-047-049-053-059-065-
067-073-079-085-091-093-095-097-103-121-123-127-129-131-139-141-
143-145-147-149-151-153-161-163-165-171-173-WIC005-017-033-035-
091-093-095-107-109-210000-
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
206 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
...A WET PATTERN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...
...FLOODING COULD BECOME A PROBLEM ESPECIALLY FOR THIS WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK...
A VERY SLOW MOVING UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL ROUNDS
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS WEEK...THIS WEEKEND AND
EVEN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WE WILL SEE BREAKS IN THE ACTIVITY AND
WE WILL SEE SOME SUN. HOWEVER GIVEN THE UNSETTLED ATMOSPHERE THE
SUN WILL LIKELY CAUSE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO REFIRE. THIS
WILL BE THE CYCLIC PATTERN FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE ON THE RISE ON FRIDAY AND THE WARM AND
HUMID AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE REGION INTO
MONDAY. FOR AREAS THAT SEE THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY THIS
WEEKEND...RAINFALL RATES OF 1.5 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE EAVIER RAIN CORES. AREAS THAT RECEIVE THESE
HEAVIER AMOUNTS COULD SEE LOCALIZED FLOODING.
WIDESPREAD RAIN FALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. AREAS THAT AREADY HAVE NEARLY SATURATED SOILS DUE TO
RAIN RECEIVED EARLIER THIS WEEK INCLUDE PARTS OF THE UPPER AND
CENTRAL MINNESOTA RIVER BASIN. HENCE LOCALIZED FLOODING COULD
DEVELOP ESPECIALLY IN THE SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS AS WELL AS
RIVERS INCLUDING THE CHIPPEWA RIVER IN MINNESOTA...SHAKOPPE
CREEK...BUFFALO CREEK...EAST FORK OF BEAVER CREEK...REDWOOD
RIVER...COTTONWOOD...LITTLE COTTONWOOD...WATONWAN...BLUE
EARTH...COBB AND LE SUEUR RIVERS.
IF WE SEE SIGNIFICANT RAINS...MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING ON THE
MINNESOTA AND MISSISSIPPI RIVERS AS WELL AS THE CHIPPEWA RIVER IN
WISCONSIN COULD BE A PROBLEM THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
$$
DFC
