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Flood Warning


FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
739 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD...

.STEADY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS HAS CAUSED THE MANATEE RIVER
NEAR MYAKKA HEAD TO QUICKLY RISE. FLOOD STAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE EXCEEDED
TODAY WITH THE RIVER FORECAST TO CREST TONIGHT BEFORE A GRADUAL DROP
BELOW FLOOD STAGE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC081-210039-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0006.140920T1224Z-140922T1200Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.140920T1224Z.140921T0000Z.140922T0600Z.NO/
739 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA FL HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD...
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 06 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS...10.3 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 13.1 FEET BY THIS EVENING.THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.1 FEET ON OCT 10
  2011.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  10.3  SAT 06 AM  12.8   10.4    8.3    7.3    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224



$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
543 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-202100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
543 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED OVER NORTH FLORIDA COUPLED
WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE THE FLORIDA EAST CENTRAL
COAST WILL RESULT IN HIGH RAIN CHANCES AGAIN TODAY...WITH A FEW
EMBEDDED STORMS ALSO POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREATS TODAY...AS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE QUICKLY
TOWARD THE EAST AND NORTHEAST AT 20 TO 30 MPH. THE FAST STORM
MOTION COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN ANY STORMS WHICH
FORM TODAY.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN A FEW SPOTS
TODAY. TEMPORARY FLOODING OF ROADS AND OTHER POORLY DRAINED AREAS
WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN COASTAL AREAS WHICH RECEIVED HEAVY
RAINFALL ON FRIDAY. MOTORISTS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF THE POTENTIAL
FOR PONDING OF WATER OR TEMPORARY FLOODING ON ROADS TODAY.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 35 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM ANY STORMS ON
AREA LAKES...THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS.

.WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
WITH LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING NEAR THE FLORIDA COAST TODAY...
CONDITIONS COULD ALSO FAVOR THE FORMATION OF FUNNEL CLOUDS OR
WATERSPOUTS NEAR AND OVER THE INTRACOASTAL AND ATLANTIC WATERS.
MARINERS VENTURING OUT INTO THE RAIN CONDITIONS TODAY SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO MOVE TO SAFE HARBOR IF SKIES LOOK THREATENING.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A SMALL LINGERING SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A MODERATE THREAT
FOR RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES TODAY. IF YOU DECIDE GO TO THE BEACH
AND ENTER THE WATER TODAY...REMEMBER TO SWIM ONLY NEAR A LIFEGUARD...
AND NEVER SWIM ALONE. CHECK WITH THE BEACH PATROL FOR ANY ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ABOUT OCEAN HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND STORM ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN NEAR TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL FROM MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...WHILE AN INCREASE IN
ONSHORE WINDS STARTING WEDNESDAY WILL RESULT IN SHOWERY CONDITIONS...
WITH LESS STORM COVERAGE EXPECTED.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. HOWEVER...PLEASE
RELAY ANY REPORTS OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO INCHES OR MORE TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE.

$$

CRISTALDI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
446 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-210900-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
446 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WHICH MAY CAUSE PONDING OF
WATER IN ROADWAYS AND TYPICAL LOW FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
COMBINATION OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THAT FELL ON FRIDAY AND ANY
ADDITIONAL RAIN TODAY MAY CAUSE A FEW RIVERS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
FLORIDA TODAY PERSISTING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. RESIDENTS LIVING
ALONG RIVERS OR FASTER FLOWING STREAMS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF
WATER LEVELS AND BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS EACH DAY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING
STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

OGLESBY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
437 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
202045-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
437 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA TODAY. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY. THE MAIN IMPACTS WILL BE
LIGHTNING STRIKES AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
348 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-210715-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
348 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

...MODERATE RISK OF RIPS CURRENTS...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING.

MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
621 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-201300-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-
NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-
621 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.NOW...

AFTER A BRIEF BREAK THE LIGHT RAIN WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD DURING
THE MORNING. THE REGIONAL RADAR LOOP IS SHOWING THAT THE LIGHT RAIN
COVERS AN AREA FROM THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COAST TO WELL WEST AND
SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. AREAS OF MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAIN IN THE GULF OF MEXICO SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA MAY MAINTAIN
THEIR STRENGTH AND REACH LOCATIONS WEST OF ORLANDO LATER IN THE
MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$

67

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E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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