Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

FLZ051-052-055-056-060-061-260000-
/O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0016.130525T1600Z-130525T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0027.130525T1600Z-130526T0000Z/
HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE-SARASOTA-DESOTO-
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...GUSTY
WINDS...AND HIGH ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT VALUES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...MANATEE...HARDEE...
  SARASOTA...DESOTO.

* WIND...EAST AROUND 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE.

* HUMIDITY...30 TO 35 PERCENT.

* ERC...27 OR HIGHER.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN
24 HOURS.

&&

$$

Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
818 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-261200-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...
NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...
BRANDON...TAMPA...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...BRADENTON...
WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK...NORTH PORT...SARASOTA...VENICE...
ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
818 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

...ROUGH BOATING CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND...

ROUGH BOATING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT TIMES OVER THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND INLAND LAKES ACROSS
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
TO THE NORTH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

OVER THE EASTERN GULF WATERS...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN 15
AND 20 KNOTS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DIMINISH TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS
DURING THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE GUSTY WINDS WILL RETURN THIS
EVENING WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH SOME HIGHER
GUSTS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. THE WINDS
WILL DIMINISH ONCE AGAIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON WITH AN
INCREASE TO EXERCISE CAUTION LEVELS EXPECTED SUNDAY EVENING.

SEAS WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 2 AND 3 FEET TODAY THEN BUILD TO 3 TO 5
FEET AWAY FROM THE COAST BY LATE TONIGHT...BEFORE SUBSIDING TO
2 TO 3 FEET ONCE AGAIN BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

OVER THE INLAND LAKES OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THE
BREEZY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL OCCUR DURING THE LATE MORNING
INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS TODAY. WINDS ON THE LAKES ARE EXPECTED
TO BE AROUND 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 25 KNOTS AT TIMES.

BOATERS VENTURING OUT INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AS WELL AS
THOSE STAYING ON THE INLAND LAKES THIS MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND SHOULD
PREPARE FOR ROUGH CONDITIONS.

$$

PRC

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
527 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-260930-
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BARNES SOUND, BLACKWATER SOUND, AND
BUTTONWOOD SOUND-
BAYSIDE AND GULF SIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
AND BEYOND 5 FATHOMS-
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL-
GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON
SHOAL OUT TO 5 FATHOMS-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT
TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO THE REEF-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
527 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR ALL KEYS COASTAL
WATERS TONIGHT.

OTHERWISE...NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR ALL KEYS COASTAL
WATERS SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...AND MAY BE REQUIRED TUESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

OTHERWISE...NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

CLR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
511 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870-
873-876-260000-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
511 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS NORTH OF THE STATE...EASTERLY FLOW
CREATES EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MARINE
AREA...MAINLY DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
A DRIER AIRMASS BUILDS INTO THE STATE OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
CRITICAL OR NEAR CRITICAL HUMIDITY LEVELS AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE
DANGER...AND A RED FLAG WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...AND GUSTY WINDS
ARE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS NEXT WEEK.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
EASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MARINE AREA OVER THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS. EXERCISE
CAUTION OR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HEADLINES MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED
FOR PORTIONS OF THE MARINE AREA...MAINLY DURING THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
A DRIER AIRMASS WILL PERSIST TO START NEXT WEEK OVER THE STATE.
CRITICAL OR NEAR CRITICAL HUMIDITY LEVELS AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
THIS WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER...AND RED FLAG WARNINGS
MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

GARCIA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
450 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
260000-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
450 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC BEACHES TODAY...
...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK; STRONG RIP CURRENTS LIKELY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: INCREASING NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TODAY WILL LEAD TO A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. THE RISK
WILL INCREASE TO HIGH ON SUNDAY AND THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

THUNDERSTORMS: THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS MORNING, THEN ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN AREAS
THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE THE MAIN RISK FROM ANY
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES
SUNDAY THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK AS A PERSISTENT WINDY ONSHORE
FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL DEVELOP.
THIS WILL BE A DANGEROUS PERIOD, ESPECIALLY WITH THE NICE
WEATHER AND MANY PEOPLE AT THE BEACHES SUNDAY AND MEMORIAL DAY.
SWIMMING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

MOISTURE WILL STEADILY INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA NEXT WEEK.
THERE ARE INDICATIONS OF A WET AND STORMY PATTERN DEVELOPING WITH
THE POTENTIAL OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATTER
PART OF THE WEEK, ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. THIS WILL
BE MONITORED OVER THE COMING DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$

GREGORIA

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1212 PM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-252000-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
1212 PM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

.NOW...

A NORTHEAST WIND AT 15 TO 20 MPH AT THE COAST AND TO 15 MPH OVER THE
INTERIOR AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S WILL MAKE FOR A NICE SATURDAY.
SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ON THE COASTAL WATERS
DUE TO NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND 3 TO 5 FOOT SEAS AND TO 6
FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS
EXPECTED AT THE BEACHES THIS AFTERNOON THEREFORE CHECK WITH THE
LIFEGUARDS AND BEACH PATROL FOR SURF CONDITIONS WHEN ARRIVING AT THE
BEACHES TODAY. A COOL FRONT HAS CLEARED EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND A
RELATIVELY DRIER AIR MASS OVER THE AREA WILL PRODUCE RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES FROM AROUND 50 PERCENT AT THE COAST TO THE LOWER 30S
WEST OF ORLANDO AND INTERSTATE 4.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$

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