weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
921 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for the Mississippi River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued tomorrow morning or sooner if
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don`t drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.

&&

ARC077-MSC143-020221-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-150402T1800Z/
/TRPM6.1.ER.150318T2309Z.150326T1300Z.150401T1800Z.NO/
921 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Tunica Riverpark
* until Wednesday April 01.
* At 08 PM Tuesday the stage was 41.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet.
* At 42.0 feet...Casinos are open and unaffected. In Mississippi,
  lots nearest Tunica Cutoff Lake in Lakeview Camp are under water.
  South end of Mhoon Landing Park is beginning to flood. In Arkansas,
  roads from the levee to Buck Island are under water.

&&

LAT...LON 3491 9062 3491 9022 3480 9034 3450 9051
      3455 9059 3476 9074

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
921 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for the Mississippi River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued tomorrow morning or sooner if
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don`t drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.

&&

ARC093-TNC097-167-020221-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-150402T0410Z/
/OSGA4.2.ER.150316T0510Z.150324T2200Z.150401T0410Z.NO/
921 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Tuesday March 31.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* At 28.0 feet...In Tennessee, the settlement south of Cold Creek
  Road down from Crawford Road is flooding. Crawford Road West is
  flooding. The Reach-Coker Slough hunting camp is flooding along Nix
  Road. Grammer Road is flooded at Jones Slough. Much of the
  Lauderdale south bottom is under water. Homesteads and camps on
  Cash Road are cutoff. Sections of Crane Road are cutoff on Island
  35. In Arkansas, Mississippi County Road 903 north of O`Donnell
  Bend is flooded at places.

&&

LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
      3539 9025

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
851 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Ouachita River At Thatcher L&D affecting Bradley...Calhoun and
  Union Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC011-013-139-011651-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CALA4.2.ER.150226T2312Z.150320T2330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
851 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ouachita River At Thatcher L&D.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 85.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 79.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 84.4 feet
  by Thursday morning.
* Impacts at 85.0 feet...There may be some County roads along the
  river flooded, requiring lengthy detours. River is high and swift,
  boaters should be very cautious. Access to many oil and gas rigs
  will be by boat only. Levee gates should be closed.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Ouachita River
  Thatcher L  79  85.8 Tue 06 PM   85.3   84.4   83.2   81.9   80.6


&&


LAT...LON 3311 9223 3323 9236 3329 9261 3338 9247
 3333 9226 3322 9212



$$
224

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
846 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Georgetown affecting Prairie...White and Woodruff
  Counties

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties

  White River At Clarendon affecting Arkansas and Monroe Counties

  Cache River Near Patterson affecting Jackson and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC001-095-011646-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA4.1.ER.150313T1524Z.150325T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
846 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River At Clarendon.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue a slow fall to near 28.1 feet
  by Thursday morning.
* Impacts at 26.0 feet...River flows in many side channels and creates
  islands between the river and sloughs and creeks. Flooding of cropland
  and timber is occurring. Portions of the National Wildlife Refuge
  downstream of Clarendon flooding.



&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Lower White River
  Clarendon   26  28.3 Tue 08 PM   28.2   28.1   27.9   27.8   27.6


&&


LAT...LON 3435 9119 3449 9132 3466 9139 3472 9129
 3455 9120 3442 9108



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
846 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Georgetown affecting Prairie...White and Woodruff
  Counties

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties

  White River At Clarendon affecting Arkansas and Monroe Counties

  Cache River Near Patterson affecting Jackson and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC067-147-011646-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PTTA4.3.ER.150222T2000Z.150313T1600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
846 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cache River Near Patterson.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 9.9 feet
  by Thursday morning.
* Impacts at 10.0 feet...Pastureland and cropland not protected by
  levees in Jackson and Woodruff counties affected. Water is deep
  along the shoulders of State Highway 18 near Grubbs. Water over
  portions of Woodruff County Road 775 north of State Highway 260.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Cache River
  Patterson    8  10.0 Tue 08 PM   10.0    9.9    9.7    9.4    9.1


&&


LAT...LON 3510 9133 3522 9128 3539 9123 3538 9113
 3521 9117 3508 9122



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
846 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Georgetown affecting Prairie...White and Woodruff
  Counties

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties

  White River At Clarendon affecting Arkansas and Monroe Counties

  Cache River Near Patterson affecting Jackson and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC117-145-147-011646-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-150404T0600Z/
/GEOA4.1.ER.150316T1720Z.150322T0715Z.150403T0000Z.NO/
846 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The White River At Georgetown.
* until late Friday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
  Thursday evening.
* Impacts at 21.0 feet...Hurricane Lake Wildlife Management Area and
  Raft Creek Bottoms inundated. Roads in the bottoms are flooded.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Lower White River
  Georgetown  21  21.2 Tue 08 PM   21.0   21.0   20.9   20.7    20.6


&&


LAT...LON 3500 9155 3508 9151 3514 9152 3515 9137
 3506 9139 3498 9142



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
846 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Georgetown affecting Prairie...White and Woodruff
  Counties

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties

  White River At Clarendon affecting Arkansas and Monroe Counties

  Cache River Near Patterson affecting Jackson and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC145-147-011646-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/AUGA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150319T1945Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
846 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River At Augusta.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 31.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue a slow fall to near 31.5 feet
  by Thursday morning.
* Impacts at 30.0 feet...Thousands of acres of farm ground flooded.
  County roads on both sides of the river are flooded, including
  County Road 871 and 899.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Lower White River
  Augusta     26  31.6 Tue 08 PM   31.6   31.5   31.3   31.2   31.1


&&


LAT...LON 3514 9152 3525 9146 3537 9150 3534 9136
 3521 9133 3515 9137



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
820 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Independence...Jackson and
  Lawrence Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC063-067-075-011620-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.150305T1022Z.150315T0700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
820 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Black Rock.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 18.9 feet
  by Thursday morning.
* Impacts at 17.0 feet...Low lying cultivated land and pastures in Lawrence,
  Jackson, and Independence counties flood.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Black River
  Black Rock  14  19.6 Tue 07 PM   19.5   18.9   18.4   18.0   17.5


&&


LAT...LON 3570 9140 3591 9125 3612 9115 3610 9101
 3588 9110 3564 9128



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
820 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Independence...Jackson and
  Lawrence Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC121-011620-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-150405T2100Z/
/POCA4.1.ER.150313T0037Z.150318T2215Z.150404T1500Z.NO/
820 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Pocahontas.
* until Sunday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
  this weekend.



&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Black River
  Pocahontas  17  18.8 Tue 08 PM   18.6   18.2   17.7   17.1   16.5


&&


LAT...LON 3612 9115 3625 9106 3630 9095 3620 9089
 3617 9098 3610 9101



$$


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
926 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
  Mississippi River at Memphis affecting Crittenden...DeSoto and
  Shelby Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The next River Statement will be issued tomorrow morning or sooner if conditions
warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don`t drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.

&&

ARC035-MSC033-TNC157-012000-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-150401T2000Z/
/MEMT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
926 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Advisory continues for
  the Mississippi River at Memphis
* until Wednesday April 01.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 29.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 34.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 28.8 feet Wednesday April
  01.
* At 29.0 feet...In Arkansas. the evacuation route from camps south
  of Hopefield Chute is cut off. Water is lapping the levee near
  Sulcer Road west of South Lake. River is touching the levee at Blue
  Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3539 9025 3539 8995 3533 9005 3513 9004
      3491 9008 3491 9041

$$

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
922 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
  Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
  Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The next River Statement will be issued tomorrow morning or sooner if conditions
warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don`t drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.

&&

ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-020222-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-150404T1938Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
922 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Advisory continues for
  the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Saturday April 04.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 30.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 30.1 feet Wednesday April
  01.
* At 31.0 feet...In Arkansas, road and field flooding is widespread
  at Cottonwood Point. Access roads off Arkansas Road 362 are
  flooding. In Tennessee, grain shipping facility south of Heloise is
  mostly under water. Dee Webb Road and Watkins Road are flooding,
  along with Brady Ridge Road. Barr Road north of Wardlow Pocket Area
  is being covered.

&&

LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
      3582 8956 3582 8985

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
510 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
510 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THIS MORNING...PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH MANY
LOCATIONS AROUND THE STATE ALREADY REPORTING AT LEAST SOME LIMITED
VISIBILITY. FOG SHOULD BURN OFF AROUND THE STATE BY MID MORNING.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS
THE NATURAL STATE. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
THE PRIMARY THREATS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL GENERALLY DEVELOP DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...BEFORE A COLD FRONT FINALLY MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE
STATE FRIDAY EVENING.

BEFORE THEN...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH
ANY SEVERE STORMS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY AS WELL.
ADDITIONALLY THERE WILL BE A TORNADO RISK...WHICH WILL BE HIGHEST
AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY.

THURSDAY...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE GREATEST DURING
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. ON FRIDAY...THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE.

THOUGH HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD...STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL IN A
SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME.



.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
500 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-021000-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
500 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHWEST
MIDDLE TENNESSEE IN THE VICINITY OF THE TENNESSEE...ALABAMA BORDER THIS
AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERNS WITH STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SOME STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS LOCATIONS GENERALLY
ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A WAYNESBORO...TO NASHVILLE...TO LAFAYETTE
LINE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERNS WITH STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR ALL OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING HOURS
ON FRIDAY. MAIN CONCERNS WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

PATCHY FROST FORMATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN THE MID 30S IN LOW LYING
AND SHELTER AREAS AND ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU REGION.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

REPORTS FROM TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED.

$$

SPOTTER THUNDERSTORM REPORTING CRITERIA...
TORNADO
FUNNEL CLOUD
FLOODING
HAIL >= 1/2 INCH
WINDS > 50 MPH (MEASURED)
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
TREES OR POWER LINES DOWN

31

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
438 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-020945-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
438 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY TONIGHT. THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND POSSIBLY SOME
SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN TIME FRAME FOR SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
APPEARS TO BE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE
PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS...BUT LARGE HAIL IS
ALSO POSSIBLE.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME THE PRIMARY CONCERN LATER THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO AVERAGE
FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. SEE THE FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK FOR DETAILS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE OHIO RIVER. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS...PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON. A
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT OUR REGION LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...BRINGING
AN END TO THE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH THE BEST CHANCES BEING ON TUESDAY. WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THURSDAY...THURSDAY
NIGHT...AND FRIDAY.

$$

MY/JAP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
416 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-020930-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
416 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AS AN
  UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND WARM FRONT MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. A
  FEW STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP WITH HAIL TO
  THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH.
  THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL BE ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON.

  SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 30 MPH ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
  KANSAS INTO SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
  EARLY FRIDAY WITH THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.
  STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP THURSDAY INTO
  THURSDAY EVENING WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THE PRIMARY
  HAZARDS.

  IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED
  FLOODING MAY DEVELOP LATER THURSDAY.

  NORTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 30 MPH ON FRIDAY BEHIND THE
  COLD FRONT.

  SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY WITH SOME GUSTS TO NEAR 30
  MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.

  THERE WILL BE PERIODIC THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FROM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
  NEXT TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

FOSTER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-021030-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
330 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND
TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID-SOUTH WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS AS THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AS THE MAIN
THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1107 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-011200-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
1107 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT BUT
THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS ENDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AS WEAK
UPPER DISTURBANCES CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. GUSTY WINDS
AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE WITH A FEW OF THESE STORMS.

A MORE SIGNIFICANT RISK OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS
POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY EVENING AS A STRONGER COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE REGION. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-035-039-047-
055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-177-219-221-225-
233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-012215-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
502 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...

A WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR...MOSTLY ON
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BY FRIDAY EVENING ARE
CURRENTLY PREDICTED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES. THE
AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL MAY BE ALONG THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY...FROM SOUTHWEST INDIANA INTO EXTREME SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND
EXTREME WESTERN KENTUCKY. THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN
WILL DEPEND ON THE MOVEMENT OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BECOME
NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY.

THE LARGER RIVERS ACROSS OUR REGION HAVE JUST FALLEN BELOW FLOOD
STAGE IN THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE RIVERS ARE STILL
HIGH...SO THE UPCOMING HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT COULD HAVE SOME
IMPACT. IN ADDITION...THE SUBSOIL IS STILL VERY MOIST...WHICH MAY
CAUSE RAPID RUNOFF INTO THE SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAMS. FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.

PERSONS IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD PAY ATTENTION TO
LATER FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS.

$$

YORK

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE