Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
505 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-231000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
505 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR AFTER 7 PM
THIS EVENING ACROSS FAR WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...AND AFTER 1 AM TONIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN...NORTHERN...AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY DRY...STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVENT
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

TONIGHT...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AS AN
INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET BRINGS DEEPER MOISTURE AND BETTER INSTABILITY
NORTHWARD. LOCATIONS NORTH AND WEST OF A KNOX CITY TO ALTUS TO LAWTON
TO ADA TO PONCA CITY LINE HAVE THE BEST SHOT FOR STORMS...MAINLY
AFTER 1 AM CDT TONIGHT.

IF STORMS DEVELOP TONIGHT...THEY MAY BE STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE
WITH HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AS THE MAIN HAZARDS. THERE WOULD BE A LOW CHANCE
FOR DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH AS WELL. NO TORNADOES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT THURSDAY MAY 23.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...40 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...20 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
PATCHY FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO 1 MILE OR LESS
SOUTHEAST OF I-44 EARLY THIS MORNING.

RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE CLEAR BOGGY CREEK NEAR CANEY
IN ATOKA COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT ACROSS FAR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AS THE MAIN HAZARDS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
NOON TODAY.

$$

MBS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
603 AM MDT TUE MAY 21 2013

NMZ501>540-221200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
603 AM MDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF STRONG OR EVEN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS
SOON AS THURSDAY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND INTO THE
WEEKEND...FOR AREAS EAST OF A LINE FROM ROUGHLY DES MOINES TO
RUIDOSO. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE PRIMARILY BE STRONG...GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT LIKELY TO BE REQUIRED THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY. THEREAFTER THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF ACTIVATION
THURSDAY INTO AT LEAST THE WEEKEND...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS.

$$

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