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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
944 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...

  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES

  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES

  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA AFFECTING HINDS AND WARREN COUNTIES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON`T
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-212044-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-140424T0500Z/
/WSTM6.2.ER.140407T0042Z.140409T2300Z.140423T1400Z.NO/
944 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND
  LOWLAND BECOME INUNDATED.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST           15  17.5 SUN 09 AM  16.9  16.1  15.1     FALLING


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
856 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD
WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS...

  OUACHITA RIVER AT CAMDEN AFFECTING CALHOUN AND OUACHITA COUNTIES

  OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER LOCK AND DAM NEAR CALION AFFECTING
  CALHOUN...UNION AND BRADLEY COUNTIES


RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL
FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF
FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL
FORECASTS.

OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK
UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS
CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING
INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.


&&

ARC011-013-139-210456-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CALA4.1.ER.140416T1318Z.140421T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
856 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER LOCK AND DAM NEAR CALION.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 82.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 79.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 82.2 FEET BY
  MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACTS AT 80.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS AT THIS LEVEL. LEVEE
  GATES SHOULD BE CLOSED TO PREVENT THE RIVER FROM BACKING INTO CALION
  LAKE. ACCESS TO OIL AND GAS RIGS AND TO TIMBER IS FLOODED. THERE IS
  WIDE COVERAGE OF FLOODING IN THE RIVER BOTTOMS.


&&


             FLD  OBSERVED                  FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

OUACHITA RIVER
  THATCHER L  79  82.0 SUN 07 AM   82.2   82.1   81.9   81.3   80.4


&&


LAT...LON 3311 9223 3323 9236 3329 9261 3338 9247
      3333 9226 3322 9212



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
856 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD
WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS...

  OUACHITA RIVER AT CAMDEN AFFECTING CALHOUN AND OUACHITA COUNTIES

  OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER LOCK AND DAM NEAR CALION AFFECTING
  CALHOUN...UNION AND BRADLEY COUNTIES


RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL
FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF
FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL
FORECASTS.

OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK
UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS
CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING
INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.


&&

ARC013-103-210456-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-140422T0300Z/
/CAMA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140419T0700Z.140420T2100Z.NO/
856 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE OUACHITA RIVER AT CAMDEN.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.


&&


             FLD  OBSERVED                  FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

OUACHITA RIVER
  CAMDEN      26  26.5 SUN 08 AM   25.1   23.8   20.7   17.3   14.7


&&


LAT...LON 3329 9261 3344 9280 3363 9289 3367 9275
      3350 9264 3338 9247



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
854 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD
WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ARKANSAS...

  WHITE RIVER AT AUGUSTA AFFECTING WHITE AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES

  CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON AFFECTING JACKSON AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES


RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL
FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF
FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL
FORECASTS.

OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK
UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS
CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING
INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.


&&

ARC067-147-210454-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PTTA4.1.ER.140308T2312Z.140420T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
854 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING AND WILL REMAIN NEAR 10.2 FEET
  THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK BEFORE BEGINNING TO FALL.
* IMPACTS AT 10.0 FEET...PASTURELAND AND CROPLAND NOT PROTECTED BY
  LEVEES IN JACKSON AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES AFFECTED. WATER IS DEEP ALONG
  THE SHOULDERS OF STATE HIGHWAY 18 NEAR GRUBBS. WATER OVER PORTIONS OF
  WOODRUFF COUNTY ROAD 775 NORTH OF STATE HIGHWAY 260.  .



&&


             FLD  OBSERVED                  FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

CACHE RIVER
  PATTERSON    8  10.2 SUN 08 AM   10.2   10.1    9.9    9.7    9.5


&&


LAT...LON 3510 9133 3522 9128 3539 9123 3538 9113
      3521 9117 3508 9122



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
854 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD
WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ARKANSAS...

  WHITE RIVER AT AUGUSTA AFFECTING WHITE AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES

  CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON AFFECTING JACKSON AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES


RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL
FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF
FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL
FORECASTS.

OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK
UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS
CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING
INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.


&&

ARC145-147-210454-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-140425T0000Z/
/AUGA4.1.ER.140409T1030Z.140418T1845Z.140423T1800Z.NO/
854 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WHITE RIVER AT AUGUSTA.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.



&&


             FLD  OBSERVED                  FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

LOWER WHITE RIVER
  AUGUSTA     26  27.9 SUN 08 AM   27.1   26.5   26.1   25.8   25.5


&&


LAT...LON 3514 9152 3525 9146 3537 9150 3534 9136
      3521 9133 3515 9137



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
755 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

ARC027-LAC119-200055-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140421T1200Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.140331T0045Z.140410T1630Z.140420T1800Z.NO/
755 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL LOUISIANA.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 700 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE BAYOU WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
754 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

TXC037-067-343-200054-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140422T1400Z/
/NAPT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140419T0015Z.140421T0200Z.NO/
754 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SULPHUR RIVER NEAR NAPLES TEXAS.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 715 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3328 9465 3327 9457 3329 9451 3327 9451 3324 9465

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
352 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-211100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
352 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON...THIS EVENING...AND OVERNIGHT.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...THIS EVENING...AND OVERNIGHT. MOST OF THE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE BUT WILL POSE A THREAT OF
CLOUD-TO- GROUND LIGHTNING. AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING IN A LIMITED
THREAT AREA BOUND BY BOWIE...WEATHERFORD...GRAHAM...AND EASTLAND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND MONDAY EVENING...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE...
PARTICULARLY IF A DRYLINE IS ABLE TO MOVE INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF
NORTH TEXAS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
VERY LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON OR
EVENING...MAINLY WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH
METROPLEX.

$$

25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
317 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-212030-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
317 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
  ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA FROM THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
  PERIOD. THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY STORMS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND
  LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ACROSS THE
  AREA DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. AGAIN NO SEVERE STORMS ARE
  EXPECTED.

  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE WEDNESDAY
  NIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
  AS A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE CENTRAL UNITED
  STATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

GRIFFIN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
120 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
120 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CENTERED OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO
AND PANHANDLE OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT... INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
LATE MONDAY.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS TONIGHT.  LIMITED
MOISTURE AND WEAK WIND FIELDS WILL KEEP THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DO FORM FROM BECOMING SEVERE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN MONDAY BEFORE
THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CLEARS OUR AREA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE UNLIKELY.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
TO OUR REGION LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

A MORE POTENT SYSTEM IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1146 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-211700-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1146 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND...MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS. THE
BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

05


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
427 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-202245-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
427 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

.NOW...

AT 4:27 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
INDICATE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS IMPACTING
PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. ALL OF THIS
ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHEAST AT AROUND 30 MPH.

THROUGH 5:45 PM...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA...WITH LIMITED COVERAGE STILL COMMON. AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME ACROSS OKFUSKEE...CREEK...OKMULGEE
AND TULSA COUNTIES...AS ACTIVITY LIFTS NORTHEAST OUT OF CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. ANY PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN BRIEF AND LIGHT...
RESULTING IN AVERAGE HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF A TRACE TO A COUPLE
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
351 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

TXZ108>111-124-125-136-137-149-150-202300-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-WOOD-UPSHUR-SMITH-GREGG-CHEROKEE-RUSK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MT VERNON...MT PLEASANT...PITTSBURG...
DAINGERFIELD...QUITMAN...GILMER...TYLER...LONGVIEW...RUSK...
HENDERSON
351 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT...A TRACE TO A FEW
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. MOVEMENT IS TO THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 35
MPH.

$$
25

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
325 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-202200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
325 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

.NOW...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH ACROSS WESTERN PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...PEA SIZE
HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY THE THUNDERSTORMS.
THROUGH 5 PM...THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE
CONCENTRATED IN AREAS NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM COMANCHE TO
WEATHERFORD TO DENTON TO SHERMAN.

SOME AREAS THAT WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTED BY SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INCLUDE BOWIE...GAINESVILLE...GRAHAM...
POSSUM KINGDOM LAKE...AND EASTLAND. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE
AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH...WITH AMOUNTS UP TO ONE HALF INCH NEAR
THE HEAVIER DOWNPOURS.

ACROSS THE REST OF NORTH TEXAS...INCLUDING THE WACO AND DFW
AREAS...DRY WEATHER WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY AFFECT ENNIS...CORSICANA AND
MEXIA...BUT MOST OTHER AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY UNDER PARTLY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES OUTSIDE OF THE RAIN AREAS WILL
REMAIN IN THE 70S TO NEAR 80 THROUGH 5 PM.


$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE