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Flash Flood Warning


FLASH FLOOD WARNING
OKC121-311030-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FF.W.0014.140731T0435Z-140731T1030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1135 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  PITTSBURG COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 530 AM CDT

* AT 1133 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
  INDICATED HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
  RAINFALL HAS ALREADY OCCURRED ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
  PORTIONS OF PITTSBURGH COUNTY...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES
  POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF PITTSBURGH COUNTY.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  MCALESTER...ALDERSON...ARROWHEAD STATE PARK...ASHLAND...BLANCO...
  BLOCKER...CROWDER...HARTSHORNE...HAYWOOD...INDIANOLA...KIOWA...
  KREBS...MCALESTER REGIONAL AIRPORT...QUINTON...SAVANNA AND SCIPIO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO
NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN
WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 3459 9587 3461 9589 3467 9589 3468 9598
      3478 9610 3505 9610 3509 9607 3513 9601
      3515 9601 3514 9591 3517 9588 3516 9535
      3503 9535 3502 9551 3460 9552

$$


Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ019-020-029-OKZ065-066-070>076-311200-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140731T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...
FORT SMITH...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...
MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND SEBASTIAN. IN
  OKLAHOMA...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE...MCINTOSH...
  MUSKOGEE...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...PITTSBURG AND SEQUOYAH.

* THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES SOUTH
  OF A LINE FROM FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS TO OKEMAH OKLAHOMA. THIS
  RAINFALL WILL SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST OVERNIGHT AND INTO
  THURSDAY MORNING. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE
  RAINFALL WILL END FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY
  THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
556 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN
ARKANSAS TONIGHT THROUGH MID DAY THURSDAY...

ARZ021-022-030-037>042-052-310930-
/O.CON.KLZK.FF.A.0007.140731T0000Z-140731T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GARLAND-JOHNSON-LOGAN-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-SCOTT-YELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSVILLE...DANVILLE...
DARDANELLE...FOURCHE JUNCTION...GLENWOOD...GRAVELLY...HECTOR...
HOT SPRINGS...HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE...HOUSTON...JESSIEVILLE...
MENA...MOUNT IDA...MOUNT MAGAZINE...MURFREESBORO...NORMAN...OLA...
OZONE...PARIS...PELSOR...PERRYVILLE...PINE RIDGE...RUSSELLVILLE...
WALDRON...WICKES...Y CITY
556 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND WESTERN
  ARKANSAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL
  ARKANSAS...GARLAND...PERRY...POPE AND YELL. IN SOUTHWEST
  ARKANSAS...PIKE. IN WESTERN ARKANSAS...JOHNSON...LOGAN...
  MONTGOMERY...POLK AND SCOTT.

* THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME LIKELY OVERNIGHT AND
  INTO THURSDAY MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY OVER THREE INCHES.

* PARTS OF THE WATCH AREA HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN THIS
  MONTH. WATER WILL NOT SOAK INTO THE GROUND AS READILY...AND
  THIS WILL INCREASE RUNOFF...MAKING FLASH FLOODING MORE LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$


Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
825 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD
WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS...

  CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON AFFECTING JACKSON AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES


RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL
FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF
FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL
FORECASTS.

OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK
UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS
CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING
INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.


&&

ARC067-147-311625-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-140802T1200Z/
/PTTA4.1.ER.140728T0900Z.140730T0000Z.140801T0600Z.NO/
825 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED NEAR CREST 8.5 FEET AND IS BEGINNING
  A SLOW FALL. EXPECTED RAINFALL WILL KEEP THE RIVER NEAR FLOOD STAGE
  THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
* IMPACTS AT 8.0 FEET...LOW SWAMPY TIMBERLAND ALONG THE RIVER BEGINS
  TO FLOOD. FLOOD GATES SHOULD BE CLOSED AND EQUIPMENT MOVED OUT OF
  THE LOW GROUNDS ALONG THE RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED                  FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

CACHE RIVER
  PATTERSON    8   8.4 WED 07 PM    8.2    7.9    7.3    6.6    6.0


&&


LAT...LON 3510 9133 3522 9128 3539 9123 3538 9113
      3521 9117 3508 9122



$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1226 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-010530-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1226 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED FOG RISK.

DISCUSSION...

SOME AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN
MISSOURI OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

DSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
947 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-311200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
947 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INCREASING OVERNIGHT. THE BEST
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND
NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE...TO PLANO...TO CANTON...WITH
LESSER CHANCES FURTHER SOUTH AND WEST. HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE FOR AREAS NORTH THROUGH EAST OF THE
METROPLEX.

A LOCALIZED THREAT FOR STRONG TO BRIEF SEVERE STORMS WILL EXIST
NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR AND ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE
35 EAST CORRIDOR THROUGH MIDNIGHT. VERY GUSTY DOWNBURST WINDS...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.
SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS ON THURSDAY. THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE GENERALLY EAST OF
I-35. FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE TO
CANTON...THERE WILL BE A HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING
THREAT IN THE MORNING. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL END FROM NORTHWEST
TO SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT NORTH
OF THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR AND ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35
EAST CORRIDOR.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
730 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-311000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
730 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
MOVE TOWARD ARKANSAS. RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT...
WITH SOME POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE
SEEN OVER WESTERN PARTS OF ARKANSAS...WITH LOWER AMOUNTS IN THE
EAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING FOR PARTS OF WESTERN ARKANSAS WHERE ONE TO THREE INCHES OF
RAIN COULD FALL...WITH SOME PLACES GETTING OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN.
THE THREAT OF ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE VERY LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY AND MAINLY AFFECT CENTRAL AND
SOUTH SECTIONS OF THE STATE. ISOLATED AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHWESTERN AREAS OF ARKANSAS. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. ANY THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVIER RAIN...AND AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO
2 INCHES OF RAIN...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...COULD BE
SEEN. SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH
SECTIONS FRIDAY BEFORE COMING TO AN END AS THE SYSTEM PUSHES EAST OF
ARKANSAS. SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

51/59

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
507 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
507 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ALONG AND ON EITHER SIDE OF INTERSTATE 40.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...ALONG AND ON EITHER SIDE OF INTERSTATE 40.

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD AREAS OF RAIN... AND POSSIBLY A FEW ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS... WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. AN AXIS OF HEAVIER RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT GENERALLY SOUTH OF A
TULSA...FORT SMITH LINE TO AROUND THE NORTHERN PART OF PUSHMATAHA
COUNTY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITHIN THIS AXIS SHOULD BE
IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING THURSDAY
MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL COULD CONTINUE THROUGH MIDDAY
THURSDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD REDEVELOP
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS...ALTHOUGH MOST SPOTS WILL REMAIN DRY. AFTER
FRIDAY...DRY AND WARMER WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO NEXT WEEK.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1057 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-311600-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1057 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE
WEST TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY AS A
SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS INTERACT WITH A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM AND STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE AREA. ONE TO
THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA DURING THE WEEKEND...BUT
SCATTERED DAYTIME THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

12


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1150 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>004-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138-310702-
BOSSIER-BOWIE-CADDO-CAMP-CASS-CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-FRANKLIN-GREGG-
HARRISON-HEMPSTEAD-HOWARD-LAFAYETTE-LITTLE RIVER-MARION-MCCURTAIN-
MILLER-MORRIS-NEVADA-RED RIVER TX-SEVIER-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UPSHUR-
WEBSTER-WOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHDOWN...ATLANTA...BOSSIER CITY...
CLARKSVILLE...DAINGERFIELD...DE QUEEN...EL DORADO...GILMER...HOMER...
HOPE...IDABEL...JEFFERSON...LEWISVILLE...LONGVIEW...MAGNOLIA...
MARSHALL...MINDEN...MT PLEASANT...MT VERNON...NASHVILLE...
NEW BOSTON...PITTSBURG...PRESCOTT...QUITMAN...SHREVEPORT...
TEXARKANA...TYLER
1150 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

.NOW...
LOOK FOR AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN TO CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE INCREASING FROM
TRACE AND HUNDRETHS OF AN INCH...TO TENTHS OR MAYBE QUARTER INCH
AMOUNTS BY 2 AM. MOVEMENT OF THIS ELEVATED ACTIVITY IS TO THE
SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL LIKELY INCREASE
OVERNIGHT WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BEEFING UP SOME OF THE
TOTALS OVER THE AREA.

$$

24

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1117 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-310600-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
1117 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

.NOW...
A COMPLEX OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
30 MPH INTO EASTERN WISE COUNTY...DENTON COUNTY AND INTO SOUTHWEST
GRAYSON AND NORTHWEST COLLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 1 AM. FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. THE HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY
CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND
SECONDARY STREETS AS THE COMPLEX MOVES THROUGH.

ELSEWHERE...SKIES WILL REMAIN PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY AROUND THE
REGION WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 60S ALONG THE RED
RIVER TO THE LOWER TO MID 80S ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1110 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-310600-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
1110 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

.NOW...

AT 11:05 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. THE MAJORITY OF THE ACTIVITY
WAS SOUTH OF A OKMULGEE TO FAYETTEVILLE LINE.  ALL PRECIPITATION WAS MOVING
TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 25 MPH.

THROUGH 1:00 AM...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO IMPACT AREAS
OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. WHERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR...HOURLY RAINFALL
RATE AT TIMES WILL EXCEED ONE INCH. FOR MOST LOCATIONS...AVERAGE HOURLY
RAINFALL OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH WILL BE MORE COMMON. THE NORTHEAST
CORNER OF OKLAHOMA CAN EXPECT LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH PER
HOUR DURING THIS TIME.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE