weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

Flash Flood Warning


FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
744 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

NMC009-037-220230-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.W.0071.000000T0000Z-140922T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CURRY NM-QUAY NM-
744 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM MDT FOR
CENTRAL QUAY AND NORTHEASTERN CURRY COUNTIES...

AT 742 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN NEAR WHEATLAND...OR
ABOUT 27 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TUCUMCARI. THE STORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY
RAIN WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. OVER 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS BEEN
REPORTED IN GRADY...AND RADAR ESTIMATES OVER 4 INCHES IN SPOTS
BETWEEN SAN JON AND WHEATLAND AND EASTWARD TOWARD THE TEXAS BORDER.
FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG HIGHWAY 469 BETWEEN SAN JON AND
WHEATLAND AS WELL AS ALONG THE GRADY HIGHWAY. HIGH AND FAST WATER
FLOWS ARE EXPECTED IN ARROYO SALADITO...SAN JON CREEK AND TIERRA
BLANCA CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3481 10304 3477 10331 3491 10364 3513 10360
      3512 10305

$$


34

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
522 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

NMC015-TXC109-389-220445-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0115.000000T0000Z-140922T0445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
REEVES-CULBERSON-EDDY-
522 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM MDT/1145 PM
CDT/ FOR SOUTHERN EDDY...NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON AND EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN REEVES COUNTIES...

AT 516 PM MDT...HEAVY RAIN WAS REPORTED ACROSS EDDY COUNTY.  FOUR
FEET OF FLOWING WATER WAS REPORTED ABOUT 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CARLSBAD ON 137.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SALT LAKE...
LAKE AVALON...CAVERN CITY AIR TERMINAL...CARLSBAD NORTH...BRANTLEY
LAKE STATE PARK...OTIS...MALAGA...LOVING...LAKEWOOD...CARLSBAD AND
AVALON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS... STREETS AND UNDERPASSES...LOW
WATER CROSSINGS... AND LOW LYING FARMLAND IS LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE
ACROSS FLOODED ROADS.

&&

LAT...LON 3189 10475 3206 10470 3223 10458 3254 10443
      3263 10441 3268 10434 3266 10395 3240 10377
      3218 10373 3204 10376 3202 10389 3203 10400
      3183 10413 3181 10437

$$


Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
224 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN
HORN REGION...MOST OF THE TRANS PECOS AND THE PERMIAN BASIN...

.THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE...LOCATED IN SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO THIS MORNING...WILL CONTINUE TO BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAIN TO SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A DECREASING THREAT BY MID DAY MONDAY.
RAINFALL RATES EXCEEDING 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WATCH AREA. SOILS ARE PARTICULARLY SATURATED OVER SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS AND MUCH OF THE PERMIAN BASIN. ANY
RAINFALL THAT OCCURS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE QUICK RUNOFF RESULTING IN
FLASH FLOODING AND FLOODING OF AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING.

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-258-
220730-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-140922T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...TATUM...
HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...SEMINOLE...LAMESA...SNYDER...
ANDREWS...STANTON...BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...VAN HORN...
PECOS...MENTONE...RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...
GARDEN CITY...MONAHANS...CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...
ALPINE...FORT STOCKTON...PINE SPRINGS
224 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014 /124 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND TEXAS...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...CENTRAL LEA
  COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
  COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA COUNTY AND SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY. IN
  TEXAS...ANDREWS...BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
  AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE
  MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...LOVING...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...
  PECOS...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...
  SCURRY...UPTON...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD AND
  WINKLER.

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
  AREA TODAY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE...
  PARTICULARLY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AS WELL AS THE CENTRAL AND
  NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN.

* FLOODING OF RIVERS...CREEKS...ARROYOS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS
  AND CITY STREETS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
WITH SATURATED SOILS...RUNOFF CAN CAUSE FLASH FLOODING QUICKLY.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

05

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1159 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

NMZ508-509-523-526-533>540-220400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0016.000000T0000Z-140923T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
1159 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS...
  CURRY COUNTY...DE BACA COUNTY...EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...
  GUADALUPE COUNTY...QUAY COUNTY...ROOSEVELT COUNTY...SAN FRANCISCO
  RIVER VALLEY...SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY
  AND SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS.

* THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA WILL TRACK
  SLOWLY EASTWARD TODAY AND PASS THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
  ROCKIES MONDAY. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
  MOIST LOW LEVEL EAST WINDS ALONG WITH A TAP OF MONSOON MOISTURE
  FROM MEXICO IS EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF THESE FEATURES WILL
  LEAD TO INCREASED AND SUSTAINED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
  AND THEREFORE THE LIKELIHOOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE WATCH
  AREA.

* LOCATIONS WHICH HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL RECENTLY WILL BE
  MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. OTHER VULNERABLE LOCATIONS
  INCLUDE POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...STEEP TERRAIN AND BURN SCARS SUCH
  AS THE LITTLE BEAR AND WHITEWATER BALDY. KEEP A WATCHFUL EYE ON
  SMALL STREAMS AND ARROYOS...AND AVOID FLOODED LOW WATER
  CROSSINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$


Flood Warning


FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
507 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a flood warning
for the following rivers in New Mexico...

  Pecos River near Artesia 6E affecting Eddy County

.The Pecos River 6 NE of Artesia will experience rises due to heavy rain
in the region and routed flow from Lake Arthur. The river will reach flood
stage late Monday and crest at 13.5-15 feet Tuesday evening before dropping back below action stage late Wednesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing
floodwaters.  Turn around, don`t drown!

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued

&&

NMC015-221407-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FL.W.0022.140923T0742Z-140925T1200Z/
/ATSN5.1.ER.140923T0742Z.140924T0000Z.140925T0000Z.NO/
407 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

The National Weather Service in  has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Pecos River near Artesia 6E.
* from late Monday night to Thursday morning, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* Flood stage is 12.5 feet (3.8 meters).
* Impact...At 15.0 feet (4.6 meters), the river reaches moderate flood
  stage, flooding the approaches of U. S. Highway 82 1/2 mile east of
  the bridge, as well as lower structures at Wilbank Trucking, Inc.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.7 feet (4.5 meters) on
May 30 1937.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Mon   Mon   Mon   Mon
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Artesia 6E     12.0 12.5      M   M             M     M     M   8.5

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Mon   Mon   Mon   Mon
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Artesia 6E      3.7  3.8      M   M             M     M     M   2.6

&&

LAT...LON 3297 10443 3297 10423 3285 10425 3265 10423 3264 10443


$$

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1026 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a flood warning
for the following rivers in New Mexico...Texas...

  Pecos River at Malaga 10S affecting Eddy...Loving and Reeves
  Counties

.Additional heavy rainfall in the area will result in a quick rise of
the Pecos River 10S of Malaga to slightly above minor flood stage
around noon today. River levels will quickly drop back down below
action stage by tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing
floodwaters.  Turn around, don`t drown!

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued

&&

NMC015-TXC301-389-220726-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FL.W.0021.140921T1726Z-140922T0748Z/
/RBFN5.1.ER.140921T1726Z.140921T1800Z.140921T1948Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

The National Weather Service in  has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Pecos River at Malaga 10S.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9AM Sunday the stage was 9.5 feet (2.9 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet (6.1 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 22.2 feet (6.8 meters) by this afternoon.  The river
  will fall below flood stage by this afternoon.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 feet (6.6 meters) on
Sep 19 2014.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sun   Sun   Mon   Mon
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Malaga 10S     19.0 20.0    9.5   Sun  9 AM  22.2  14.9  11.9  10.7

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sun   Sun   Mon   Mon
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Malaga 10S      5.8  6.1    2.9   Sun  9 AM   6.8   4.5   3.6   3.3

&&

LAT...LON 3213 10412 3211 10395 3205 10392 3203 10410 3207 10411


$$


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
712 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

NMC047-220315-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0682.140922T0112Z-140922T0315Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN MIGUEL-
712 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 915 PM MDT

* AT 711 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
  ACROSS CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL COUNTY NEAR TRUJILLO AND TREMENTINA.
  STATE HIGHWAY 104 AND OTHER SECONDARY ROADS IN CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL
  WILL BE IMPACTED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN
  ONE AND TWO INCHES WITH THIS SLOW MOVING ACTIVITY.

* STRONG FLOWS AND HIGH WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN ARROYOS...SMALL
  STREAMS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO TELL HOW MUCH
WATER IS ON THE ROAD...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FAST MOVING WATER OF
UNKNOWN DEPTH.

&&

LAT...LON 3574 10495 3559 10427 3534 10438 3555 10505

$$

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
711 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

NMC025-220700-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FA.Y.0218.140922T0111Z-140922T0700Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEA-
711 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 100 AM MDT

* AT 703 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED
  AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF LEA
  COUNTY. DUE TO HEAVIER RAINFALL FROM EARLIER IN THE DAY SUNDAY...
  FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY ACROSS SECONDARY AND RURAL ROADS.

LAT...LON 3201 10359 3200 10372 3227 10371 3242 10372
      3253 10371 3254 10380 3264 10380 3275 10379
      3270 10308 3202 10308 3201 10323 3202 10333

$$


Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
325 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ027-028-033>036-220500-
/O.EXB.KLUB.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140922T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAILEY-LAMB-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...
MORTON...LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK...SLATON...WOLFFORTH...CROSBYTON...
RALLS
325 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF NORTHWEST TEXAS...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BAILEY...COCHRAN...CROSBY...
  HOCKLEY...LAMB AND LUBBOCK.

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* A VERY MOIST AIRMASS COUPLED WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
  WILL KEEP THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN IN THE PICTURE FOR THE SOUTH
  PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT. PERIODS OF SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS EVENING AND PERHAPS INTO
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE
  NORTH. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE LIKELY. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL
  FALL ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND BRINGING THE RISK OF ADDITIONAL
  FLOODING.

* AREAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...
  INCLUDING LOW LYING ROADWAYS...NEAR PLAYA LAKES..AND ALONG
  CREEKS AND DRAWS. POCKETS OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE
  WITH THE MOST INTENSE RAIN IN AREAS PRONE TO RAPID RUNOFF SUCH
  AS THE EDGE OF THE CAPROCK ESCARPMENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
325 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ039>042-220500-
/O.EXT.KLUB.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140922T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLAINS...DENVER CITY...BROWNFIELD...
TAHOKA...ODONNELL...POST
325 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
   GARZA...LYNN...TERRY AND YOAKUM.

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* A VERY MOIST AIRMASS COUPLED WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
  WILL KEEP THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN IN THE PICTURE FOR THE SOUTH
  PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT. PERIODS OF SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS EVENING AND PERHAPS INTO
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE
  NORTH. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE LIKELY. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL
  FALL ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND BRINGING THE RISK OF ADDITIONAL
  FLOODING.

* AREAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...
  INCLUDING LOW LYING ROADWAYS...NEAR PLAYA LAKES..AND ALONG
  CREEKS AND DRAWS. POCKETS OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE
  WITH THE MOST INTENSE RAIN IN AREAS PRONE TO RAPID RUNOFF SUCH
  AS THE EDGE OF THE CAPROCK ESCARPMENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP.

&&

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
843 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-230145-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
843 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...GENERALLY
WEST OF A CROSS PLAINS TO SONORA LINE. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED...MAINLY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DEADLY LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

24

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
444 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-220945-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
444 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT FOR LOCATIONS
SOUTH OF A DALHART TO SHAMROCK LINE. A FEW STORMS COULD BE
STRONG...WITH SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

OFF AND ON CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NOTED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE PANHANDLES MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. STORMS THAT DEVELOP DURING
THIS TIME ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS...THOUGH A FEW
COULD BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

NF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
336 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ021>044-222045-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
336 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

CONVECTIVE

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS MAY
BRIEFLY BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH
AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

FLOODING

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE SOUTH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...WITH PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY. THIS COMBINED WITH SATURATED GROUNDS WILL
MAINTAIN THE THREAT FOR FLOODING ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 AM
MONDAY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A MULESHOE TO LITTLEFIELD
TO LUBBOCK TO JUSTICEBURG LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTH
PLAINS NEAR THE NEW MEXICO STATE LINE INTO EARLY MONDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING EASTWARD ACROSS ALL OF THE SOUTH PLAINS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BRIEFLY BECOME STRONG TO POSSIBLY
SEVERE TUESDAY AND MORE-SO ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED. PLEASE PASS ALONG REPORTS OF
FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
228 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-221200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
228 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT NORTH OF A CISCO TO DENTON TO EMORY LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY... GENERALLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CISCO TO WACO TO FRANKLIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

82/JLD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1133 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-221745-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1133 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER
AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH THE BEST COVERAGE
OF STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. A FEW
SHOWERS OR STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
THROUGH TONIGHT. STORM THREATS TODAY INCLUDE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH.
IF THE HEAVY RAIN HAPPENS TO FALL OVER AN AREA BURN
SCAR...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE BEST CHANCE
OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A COUPLE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
THE PLAINS TOMORROW. THE BEST CHANCE OF ANY SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
ACROSS FAR NORTHEASTERN EL PASO COUNTY AND AREAS EAST OF LA JUNTA
TO KIM. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE HAIL UP TO ONE
INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH.

SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA
TOMORROW...WITH THE PRIMARY THREATS BEING CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

STORMS WILL BECOME ISOLATED TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH MOST
ACTIVITY REMAINING OVER THE MOUNTAINS. THE MAIN STORM THREATS
THROUGH THIS PERIOD WILL BE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER THAT MEETS REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...MAINLY OVER AND NEAR THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. PLEASE NOTE THAT HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR THIS EVENING
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS MONDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
MOUNTAINS.

$$

HODANISH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1156 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-221000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1156 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING
AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
559 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

NMZ501>540-221200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
559 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE ENCOUNTERED NEAR AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN EARLY THIS MORNING. IMPACTED AREAS INCLUDE BUT ARE
NOT LIMITED TO LAS VEGAS...MORIARTY....EDGEWOOD...CLINES CORNERS...
TUCUMCARI...CLOVIS...ROSWELL AND RUIDOSO. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. STORM
MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL COULD BECOME HEAVY. THIS MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING... ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS
THAT HAVE RECENTLY RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN AS WELL AS OVER AND NEAR
RECENT AND OLDER BURN SCARS. ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE UP TO
2 INCHES OF RAINFALL. A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY...FOCUSED
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO AS WELL AS AREAS EAST OF
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. RAINFALL COULD BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. A FEW STORMS
MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AREAWIDE.
FEWER STORMS AND A DRIER PATTERN WILL TAKE HOLD BY TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS...HAIL AND ANY
FLOODING THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

41

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
400 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-220900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
400 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014 /300 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY AGAIN
TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST
TEXAS...RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE...DAVIS...AND APACHE MOUNTAINS...
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS...VAN
HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER
TRANS PECOS...AND PERMIAN BASIN. ABUNDANT RAINFALL HAS ALREADY
FALLEN IN THESE AREAS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...SO IT WILL NOT
TAKE MUCH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TO RAISE CONCERNS FOR MORE FLASH
FLOODING.

IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS UP 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL..ESPECIALLY OVER
SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

ELEVATED FLOWS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE TODAY AND TONIGHT
DUE TO RELEASES FROM RESERVOIRS IN MEXICO AND HEAVY RAINFALL ON BOTH
SIDES OF THE RIVER.  TRIBUTARIES AND ARROYOS TO THE PECOS
RIVER...SUCH AS THE RIO PENASCO...FOUR MILE DRAW...SOUTH SEVEN
RIVERS...ROCKY ARROYO...DARK CANYON...BLACK RIVER...DELAWARE
RIVER...AND WALNUT CANYON HAVE BEEN FLUCTUATING BUT ANY ADDITIONAL
RAIN THAT FALLS IN THOSE AREAS WILL QUICKLY CAUSE ADDITIONAL
RISES...IF NOT FLOODING. ALSO LINGERING FLOODING IN BORDEN AND
SCURRY COUNTIES IS STILL A CONCERN WITH RECORD FLOW ON THE
COLORADO RIVER SOUTHEAST OF GAIL...DEEP CREEK IN SCURRY COUNTY...AND
NEAR IRA SOUTHWEST OF J.B. THOMAS. FINALLY FLOODING ALONG THE
PECOS RIVER FROM RED BLUFF TO PECOS/BARSTOW IS STILL POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST AREAS MONDAY...SO FLOODING AND FLASH
FLOODING CONCERNS MAY LINGER.

THE RIO GRANDE...PECOS RIVER...AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES AND
ARROYOS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ALTHOUGH SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT SHOULD STAY UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS IN
FLASH FLOODING OR RIVER FLOODING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
755 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

NMZ512>515-521>533-539-540-220400-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
UNION COUNTY-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGEL FIRE...MORA...CAPULIN...CARRIZOZO...
CLAYTON...CLINES CORNERS...CONCHAS...ELK...GRAN QUIVIRA...
LAS VEGAS...MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...PECOS...CERRO/QUESTA...PICACHO...
RATON...SPRINGER...RED RIVER...ROY...RUIDOSO...
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST...TIJERAS...SANTA ROSA
755 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 10 PM MDT...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP AND MOVE SLOWLY ALONG THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN...
ADJACENT HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS. EXPECT MODERATE RAIN TO
PRODUCE AMOUNTS AVERAGING LESS THAN ONE QUARTER INCH...ALTHOUGH
SPOTTY HEAVIER DOWNPOURS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AMOUNTS
AROUND ONE INCH. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE THUNDERSTORMS. LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE IMPACTED INCLUDE RUIDOSO...
LAS VEGAS...WATROUS...MORA...WAGON MOUND...CIMARRON AND RATON.

$$

11

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
755 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

NMZ534>538-220400-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLOVIS...FORT SUMNER...PORTALES...
ROSWELL...TUCUMCARI
755 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 10 PM MDT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SLOWLY ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO.
EXPECT LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN TO PRODUCE AMOUNTS AVERAGING LESS THAN
ONE QUARTER INCH...ALTHOUGH VERY HEAVY RAIN BETWEEN FORT SUMNER...
TUCUMCARI AND BROADVIEW WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AMOUNTS
BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING. LOCATIONS
THAT MAY BE IMPACTED INCLUDE TUCUMCARI...SAN JON...BROADVIEW...
RAGLAND...DUNKEN AND ELK. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AND BE
PREPARED FOR WATER ON ROADS. TURN AROUND DON`T DROWN!

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
832 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ021>026-030>032-038-220300-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-
KING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...DIMMITT...HART...
TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...MEMPHIS...TURKEY...CHILDRESS...
FLOYDADA...LOCKNEY...MATADOR...ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...
GUTHRIE
832 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL EDGE SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHWEST
LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS...INTO THE NORTHERN SOUTH PLAINS. RAIN
TOTALS LOCALLY NEAR A HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE HEAVIER
SHOWERS.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
832 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ027>029-033>037-039>044-220300-
BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-YOAKUM-
TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...
PLAINVIEW...MORTON...LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK...SLATON...WOLFFORTH...
CROSBYTON...RALLS...DICKENS...SPUR...PLAINS...DENVER CITY...
BROWNFIELD...TAHOKA...ODONNELL...POST...JAYTON...ASPERMONT
832 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.NOW...
PATCHY LIGHT SHOWERS OR DRIZZLE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE
TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS LATE THIS EVENING. WATCH FOR PATCHY FOG AS
WELL.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
713 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-220300-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
713 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.NOW...
A WEAK COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO ADVANCE SOUTHWARD INTO NORTH TEXAS
THIS EVENING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT ARE
LOCATED ALONG THE RED RIVER...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH
INTO TEXAS. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...LIGHTNING...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER CELLS. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...PRIMARILY NORTH OF INTERSTATE
20.

ELSEWHERE...SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR WITH TEMPERATURES
FALLING INTO THE LOWER 80S OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT AND SHIFT FROM SOUTHEASTERLY TO NORTHERLY AS THE
FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA.

$$

STALLEY

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE