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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1027 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ST. JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR...

RECENT HEAVY RAINS ALONG WITH TIDAL EFFECTS AND NORTHERLY WINDS THAT
INHIBIT FLOW DOWNSTREAM ARE EXPECTED THE KEEP THE RIVER NEARLY STEADY
IN MINOR FLOOD STAGE INTO THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL
OVER THE BASIN OR UPSTREAM COULD CAUSE FURTHER SLIGHT RISES INTO LATE WEEK.

FLC069-127-031427-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.140929T0300Z.141001T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1027 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST JOHNS RIVER NEAR ASTOR.

* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

*AT 2.5 FEET, WATER BEGINS TO COVER DOCKS AT SOUTH MOON FISH CAMP.
WATER BEGINS TO MOVE INTO YARDS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.

*AT 2.8 FEET, MINOR FLOODING OCCURS TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN LOW
LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.

&&

             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM EST/8AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

ST. JOHNS RIVER
 ASTOR       2.8   2.9  WED 09 AM   3.0    3.0    3.0    3.0    3.0


&&

LAT...LON  2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150

$$

GLITTO

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
943 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
GEORGIA...

  ST MARY`S RIVER AT MACCLENNY AFFECTING BAKER...NASSAU AND CHARLTON
  COUNTIES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU
SEE FLOOD WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.

FOR GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON YOUR STATE. SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES UNDER CURRENT WEATHER.
THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE PROVIDES CURRENT AND
FORECAST RIVER INFORMATION...GAGE LOCATIONS...IMPACTS... AND
HISTORICAL CREST INFORMATION FOR ALL FORECAST POINTS BY CLICKING ON
EACH POINT.

&&

FLC003-089-GAC049-021343-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0036.141001T1430Z-141004T1500Z/
/MACF1.1.ER.141001T1430Z.141002T1200Z.141004T0900Z.NO/
943 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST MARY`S RIVER AT MACCLENNY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 12.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING.THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING
  AREAS AND TIMBER LANDS.



&&


               FLD  OBSERVED          7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME     THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

ST. MARYS
  MACCLENNY     12  11.9 WED 09 AM   12.4   12.4   11.9   11.3   10.8


&&


LAT...LON 3035 8220 3034 8203 3062 8198 3062 8204 3038 8207 3041 8221



$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1136 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-012300-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
1136 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS
THE PENINSULA INTO EVENING. LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE THE MAIN
HAZARD BUT A FEW STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 45
MPH.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
HIGH MOISTURE...SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES AND A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
EXTENDING ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL ALLOW SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INTO EVENING. STORM MOTION
WILL BE TO THE EAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH FROM AROUND OKEECHOBEE TO THE
TREASURE COAST...BUT SLOWER NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. IN GENERAL...
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF DUMPING ONE INCH OF RAIN...BUT SLOWER
MOVING CELLS NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL 2
INCHES OR A LITTLE HIGHER.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR WILL REMAIN JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
WITH MINOR FLOODING OCCURRING ALONG THE RIVER. ANY ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINS THAT OCCUR COULD BRING WATER LEVELS TO ACTION STAGE
UPSTREAM TO DELAND AND GENEVA. SHINGLE CREEK AT CAMPBELL IS
CURRENTLY JUST ABOVE ACTION STAGE AND ADDITIONAL RAINS COULD
CONTINUE THE RISE THERE.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
SHOWERS AND STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE MAINLAND
AND MOVING TOWARD THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS
MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 34 KNOTS...ESPECIALLY FROM CAPE
CANAVERAL TO THE TREASURE COAST.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A LINGERING SWELL WILL KEEP THE RIP CURRENT RISK AT MODERATE...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING OUTGOING
TIDE. REMEMBER TO SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD AND NEVER SWIM ALONE IN THE
OCEAN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO LATE WEEK
BEFORE A MORE SUBSTANTIAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY BRINGS DRYING LATE
SATURDAY.  DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER TWO INCHES OR
OBSERVED FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AT
3 2 1 2 5 5 0 2 1 2.

$$

LASCODY/SEDLOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
945 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-021000-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL
CAMDEN-
945 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...

...ELEVATED WATER LEVELS ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE AREA BEACHES DUE TO
AN INCREASE IN SWELLS AND ONSHORE FLOW.

WATER LEVELS ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN
ELEVATED ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE FEW DAYS. SOME NORMALLY DRY AREAS
ALONG THE RIVER MAY BE IMPACTED.

A RIVER FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ST MARY`S AT MACCLENNY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA WITH MOST OF THE COVERAGE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$

PP/JCH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
500 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-020900-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
500 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ABUNDANT MOISTURE COMBINED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE
CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY
RAINS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
SEVERAL AREA RIVERS REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE WITH OTHER RIVERS
AROUND ACTION STAGE. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THESE
BASINS TODAY WILL ONLY EXACERBATE FLOODING PROBLEMS. RESIDENTS
LIVING ALONG RIVERS OR FASTER FLOWING STREAMS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT
TO ANY RAPID RISES IN WATER LEVELS AND BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER
GROUND SHOULD FLOODING BE OBSERVED. SEE THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS
AND STATEMENTS AVAILABLE ON WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK AND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. A
MUCH DRIER AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THIS
COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
SEVERAL AREA RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS
OR FASTER FLOWING STREAMS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF WATER LEVELS AND
BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING BE OBSERVED. SEE
THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS AVAILABLE ON
WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY FOR MORE INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER TODAY AND SELF ACTIVATE IF
NEEDED.

$$

MCMICHAEL


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
925 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-011630-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
925 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.NOW...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERED OFFSHORE CAPE CANAVERAL AND EXTENDED
ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA. CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS WAS LINGERING ALONG
AND NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY.  THIS WILL LIMIT SURFACE HEATING THIS
MORNING...BUT BY AFTERNOON SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS
SHOULD BREAK OUT NEAR THE BOUNDARY AND ALSO IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE.

AREAS SOUTHWARD TO AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE WILL HAVE LESS MORNING
CLOUDINESS BUT SHOWERS SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED THERE TOO.  THE EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE WILL GENERATE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON THERE.

WITH QUITE HIGH MOISTURE ACROSS MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND MORE
BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS...AFTERNOON STORMS SHOULD PRODUCE HEAVIER
RAINFALL THAN YESTERDAY...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$
RL

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NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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