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Gale Watch


URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
222 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

...NORTHERLY GALES POSSIBLE BEHIND A COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO ON FRIDAY EVENING. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL QUICKLY VEER TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO REACH AROUND 25 KNOTS...WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE
OVER MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE DURING
THE DAY ON SATURDAY.

GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-310300-
/O.NEW.KTAE.GL.A.0004.141101T0300Z-141101T2100Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
222 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

* WINDS: SUSTAINED FROM THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AROUND 25 KNOTS. SOME
  GUSTS MAY REACH 35 TO 40 KNOTS.

* SEAS: BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET NEARSHORE...AND 7 TO 10 FEET
  OFFSHORE. WAVES OCCASIONALLY REACHING 13 FEET WELL OFFSHORE.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

08-LAMERS


Freeze Watch


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
345 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

...FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON EXPECTED IN NORTHERN ARKANSAS...

.A FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS FOR
THE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING PERIOD. A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AND INTO ARKANSAS TONIGHT...THEN
FOLLOWED BY A LARGE AND COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM. THIS
SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER ARKANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...
AND BRING THE COLDEST AIR OF THE FALL SEASON TO ARKANSAS. TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP TO WELL BELOW NORMAL LEVELS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
ARKANSAS.

ARZ003>007-012>015-021>023-030-302130-
/O.CON.KLZK.FZ.A.0002.141101T0500Z-141101T1400Z/
BAXTER-BOONE-FULTON-IZARD-JOHNSON-LOGAN-MARION-NEWTON-POPE-SEARCY-
SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASH FLAT...BOONEVILLE...BULL SHOALS...
CALICO ROCK...CAVE CITY...CLARKSVILLE...CLINTON...FAIRFIELD BAY...
FLIPPIN...HARDY...HARRISON...HORSESHOE BEND...JASPER...LESLIE...
MAMMOTH SPRING...MARSHALL...MELBOURNE...MOUNTAIN HOME...
MOUNTAIN VIEW...OXFORD...PARIS...RUSSELLVILLE...SUMMIT...VIOLA...
WESTERN GROVE...YELLVILLE
345 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING.

* EVENT...BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY IN THE OZARK
  MOUNTAINS OF THE NORTH AND PORTIONS OF THE ARKANSAS RIVER
  VALLEY AND THE OUACHITA MOUNTAINS OF THE WEST.

* AREAS AFFECTED...THE WATCH INCLUDES LOCATIONS FROM CAVE CITY...
  CLINTON AND BOONEVILLE NORTHWARD. THE WATCH MAY NEED TO BE
  EXPANDED MORE INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS IF IT APPEARS FREEZING
  TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR AND PERSIST FOR MORE THAN AN HOUR OR
  TWO.

* IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL PLANTS AND TENDER
  VEGETATION LEFT OUTDOORS WITHOUT PROTECTION. UNPROTECTED WATER
  PIPES COULD FREEZE...ESPECIALLY IF LEFT WITHOUT RUNNING A SLOW
  STEADY STREAM OF LIQUID.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. IF
THESE CONDITIONS OCCUR...CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION
WOULD BE AFFECTED. FROST WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

&&

$$

59


Special Weather Statement


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
350 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-302100-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CLARKSVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...
GALLATIN...LAFAYETTE...CELINA...BYRDSTOWN...ERIN...WAVERLY...
DICKSON...ASHLAND CITY...NASHVILLE...LEBANON...MOUNT JULIET...
HARTSVILLE...CARTHAGE...GAINESBORO...COOKEVILLE...LIVINGSTON...
JAMESTOWN...LOBELVILLE...CENTERVILLE...HOHENWALD...FRANKLIN...
BRENTWOOD...COLUMBIA...LEWISBURG...MURFREESBORO...WOODBURY...
SMITHVILLE...SPARTA...CROSSVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...TULLAHOMA...
MANCHESTER...MCMINNVILLE...ALTAMONT...SPENCER...WAYNESBORO...
LAWRENCEBURG...PULASKI
350 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

...WINTER-LIKE CONDITIONS TO AFFECT THE MID STATE THIS WEEKEND...

A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE ON
FRIDAY AND USHER IN WINTER-LIKE CONDITIONS TO THE MID STATE FOR
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WITH FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BOTH
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHTS...AND SOME LIGHT SNOW EVEN POSSIBLE ON
FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.

FOR HALLOWEEN...SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
DAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION...WITH HIGHS
TOPPING OUT IN THE 50S. FESTIVITIES ON FRIDAY EVENING CAN EXPECT
CHILLY TEMPERATURES FALLING THROUGH THE 40S...GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...AND A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS.

BY FRIDAY NIGHT...TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE 30S WILL ALLOW
FOR THE LIGHT RAIN TO MIX WITH AND CHANGEOVER TO SOME LIGHT SNOW
ON THE NORTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. AREAS FROM MONTEREY TO
JAMESTOWN COULD EVEN SEE A DUSTING OF SNOW. MUCH HEAVIER SNOW IS
EXPECTED ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...SO
IF TRAVELING IN THAT DIRECTION THIS WEEKEND PREPARE FOR SNOWY
CONDITIONS.

TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN AND
EASTERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE ON FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH LOWS FALLING INTO
THE LOW TO MID 30S. HIGHS WILL ONLY RISE INTO THE 40S TO AROUND 50
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S
TO AROUND 30 THROUGHOUT THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.

FREEZE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PARTS OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE ON FRIDAY NIGHT...AND FOR ALL OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE ON
SATURDAY NIGHT. PLAN AHEAD NOW TO PROTECT ANY SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS AND ANIMALS FROM THE UPCOMING COLD THIS WEEKEND.

$$

SHAMBURGER


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1205 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-311100-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1205 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES SO FAR THIS SEASON ARE EXPECTED DURING
THE WEEKEND. LOW TEMPERATURES MAY FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 SATURDAY MORNING. FROST WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON SATURDAY AND PATCHY FROST WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE FOUR STATE REGION SUNDAY MORNING.

TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY WARM BY EARLY NEXT WEEK SETTING THE
STAGE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AS YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT AND STRONG UPPER
TROUGH MOVE INTO THE REGION. HOWEVER...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

09

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1122 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-310430-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
1122 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE OPEN
GULF WATERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. STRONG NORTH-NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS AND ROUGH
SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS TO ALL OF THE COASTAL WATERS ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND VERY ROUGH
SEAS OF 4 TO 7 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.

A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS
LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI MAY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS TO THE COASTAL WATERS BOTH TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

32

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1015 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-311000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
10015 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN ISOLATED SHOWER IS POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTH THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE STATE. THE BOUNDARY IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY EARLY THIS EVENING. THE
THREAT FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER HOWEVER WILL REMAIN LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL BE WELL EAST OF THE AREA COME
FRIDAY MORNING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
BRINGING SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR SEEN SO FAR THIS SEASON TO THE
STATE FOR THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES SATURDAY MORNING COULD DROP INTO
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S ACROSS THE AREA. AS A RESULT...A HARD
FREEZE AND AREAS OF FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE. A HARD FREEZE WATCH IS
ALREADY IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS FOR
SATURDAY NIGHT.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE
STALLING OVER SOMEWHERE OVER THE STATE. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST LATE MONDAY AND PERSIST
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF RAINFALL COULD BE SEEN...WITH
SOME AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

62/56

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
440 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-311200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
440 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL BE LIKELY EARLY TODAY
OCCURRING MOSTLY OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS...INCLUDING THE LOWER END
OF MOBILE BAY AND THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND EAST OF PASCAGOULA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL BE LIKELY FOR THE ENTIRE
MARINE AREA BEGINNING EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT CONTINUING THROUGH MOST OF
THE DAY ON SATURDAY.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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