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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
326 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-020730-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-
PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-
MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-
OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-
HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-
NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-
LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-
EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-
WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-
ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...
BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...
MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...
BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...
CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...
PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...
NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...
LANCASTER...RICHMOND...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE...
GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...
EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY
326 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2014 /226 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL BRING BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY
RAIN. LATE TONIGHT ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY PUSH IN AS A FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST EACH DAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...BUT THE BEST CHANCE LOOKS TO BE TUESDAY AS A FRONT
APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST. ANY STORM THAT
DEVELOPS WILL CONTAIN LIGHTNING WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF GUSTY
WINDS AND LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL.

A STRONGER FRONT WILL APPROACH ON FRIDAY AND PASS ON SATURDAY...
BRINGING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN AN UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT. ALONG WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS MAY BE A CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

$$

RJS/BJS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
922 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-011145-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
922 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT ACROSS NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL
MISSOURI...AND PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. SOME OF THE
STRONGEST STORMS ALONG AND WEST OF A HANNIBAL-JEFFERSON CITY LINE
MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. SOME SEVERE
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO A CONCERN ESPECIALLY HEADING
INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING
AND RETURN AGAIN BEGINNING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED OVERNIGHT IN PARTS OF
NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI.

$$

TRUETT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
816 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-011100-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
816 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO AREAS WEST OF A LINE FROM
MANCHESTER...TO CEDAR RAPIDS AND FAIRFIELD IOWA AFTER 11 PM CDT
TONIGHT...AND THEN OVERSPREAD OUTLOOK AREAS TO THE EAST THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY MORNING.  STORMS WILL BE MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND
WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. ISOLATED
STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH A FEW STORMS...MAINLY
BEFORE 3 AM CDT. THERE WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL OF OVER AN INCH IN SOME LOCATIONS BY MONDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A WEAKENING COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE OUTLOOK AREA MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY
WINDS AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO REDEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. DEPENDING ON
THE AMOUNT OF CLEARING AND DESTABILIZATION A FEW OF THESE STORMS
COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL MAINLY FROM 2 PM TO 9 PM. THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER HAS PLACED AREAS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SIGOURNEY...TO
DAVENPORT AND FREEPORT...IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

THERE IS A NEAR DAILY CHANCE OF STORMS FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS LOW AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE THAT SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED WEST
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER LATE TONIGHT. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE
NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

$$

RP KINNEY/05/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
708 PM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-011000-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
708 PM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE SOME AREAS LATE TONIGHT.

HAZARDS: PATCHY FOG.

TIMING: LATE TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION: A LIGHT AND MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL OCCUR AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

OUTLOOK: THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AND
AGAIN LATER THIS WEEK. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT A FEW STORMS
MAY BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL PRODUCING
LOCALIZED FLOODING...GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL BE
CONCERNS WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM.

DISCUSSION: A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS OUR REGION
MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. THIS COMBINED WITH A VERY UNSTABLE
AND HUMID MASS MAY RESULT IN A FEW SEVERE STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT LATE THIS WEEK WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

$$
JH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
308 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

ILZ027>031-036-037-040-041-047>050-011100-
CASS-FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-MASON-MENARD-MORGAN-PEORIA-SCHUYLER-
SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
308 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL APPROACH THE ILLINOIS RIVER VALLEY
TOWARD DAWN MONDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...HOWEVER GUSTY
WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL RE-DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BACK INTO
THE PICTURE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
315 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-011000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
315 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS TODAY BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED. LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN ARE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALMOST DAILY BUT THE BEST
CHANCE OF STORMS WILL BE TUESDAY...WITH HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING
AS THE MAIN HAZARDS POSSIBLE. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
ILC053-075-091-105-INC007-073-111-010900-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
910 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014 /1010 PM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING A CONCERN MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT...

A VERY MOIST AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHEAST ILLINOIS
AND NORTHWEST INDIANA ON MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH MONDAY
AFTERNOON LEADING TO A ROUND OF POTENTIALLY STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THESE STORMS WILL BE EFFICIENT RAIN
PRODUCERS...WITH 2 INCH PER HOUR RATES POSSIBLE. INDICATIONS ARE
THAT THE FRONT MAY BE SLOW MOVING MONDAY EVENING WHICH WOULD ALLOW
THUNDERSTORMS TO PERSIST OVER THESE AREAS FOR A PERIOD OF OF 3 TO
6 HOURS.

AT THIS TIME THE PRIMARILY FOCUS IS GENERALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
80 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. MANY STREAMS IN THIS AREA CONTINUE
TO EXPERIENCE INCREASED FLOWS AS ANYWHERE FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES OF
RAIN FELL ON SATURDAY EVENING. WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THIS COULD LEAD TO
INCREASED CONCERNS OF FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND PUSHING
AREA STREAMS INTO FLOOD STAGE. STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
FOR UPDATES ON THE FLOOD POTENTIAL MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

$$

KMD

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE