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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1153 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-031700-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1153 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NUMEROUS SMALL SHOWERS...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...CAN BE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY...BUT VERY
BRIEF. HOWEVER...NO STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
LOUISIANA...SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20.  A WEAK COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY...POSSIBLY BRINGING
AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...NO
ORGANIZED HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED FOR THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

$$

VII

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1103 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1055 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. THE
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERGO A WEAKENING TREND AS THEY MOVE
SOUTHEAST...HOWEVER WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH REMAIN POSSIBLE NEAR
THE LEADING EDGE IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL LEAD TO A LIMITED
FLASH FLOOD THREAT.

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LEFT FROM THE MORNING STORMS. ANY
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS THAT CAN DEVELOP WOULD POSE A LIMITED
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY WARM BUT DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY AND LINGER THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...RESULTING IN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EACH DAY. SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED THROUGH THIS PERIOD.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
545 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

TXZ021>044-031045-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
545 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE THREAT OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
416 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-031000-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
416 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON COULD PRODUCE HEAT
INDICES OF 103 TO 107 DEGREES ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS...
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE HILL COUNTRY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10 WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH DANGEROUS
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
411 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-030915-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
411 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS TROPICAL
MOISTURE MOVES INTO THE REGION. A FEW BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
400 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

GMZ430-432-435-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-
216-259>262-030900-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-
BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-
ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-
SOUTHERN NEWTON-
400 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED AND AT TIMES NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED THIS TODAY AND THIS EVENING. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVIATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
354 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-031200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
354 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING NORTH OF A
BONHAM TO COOPER LINE. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SOUTH OF A GOLDTHWAITE TO ENNIS TO
CANTON LINE. GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE STORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

82/JLD


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1210 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

ARZ050-051-059-OKZ077-021900-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-MCCURTAIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...ASHDOWN...IDABEL
1210 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE
STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE
FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH TO A TENTH OF AN INCH THROUGH 2
PM.

$$

12

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1210 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

ARZ060-061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-021900-
HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-
WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-
JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-
LA SALLE-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-
SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-
ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOPE...PRESCOTT...TEXARKANA...
LEWISVILLE...MAGNOLIA...EL DORADO...SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY...
MINDEN...HOMER...RUSTON...FARMERVILLE...MANSFIELD...COUSHATTA...
BIENVILLE...JONESBORO...MONROE...MANY...NATCHITOCHES...
WINNFIELD...COLFAX...COLUMBIA...JENA...CLARKSVILLE...MT VERNON...
MT PLEASANT...PITTSBURG...DAINGERFIELD...ATLANTA...QUITMAN...
GILMER...JEFFERSON...TYLER...LONGVIEW...MARSHALL...RUSK...
HENDERSON...CARTHAGE...NACOGDOCHES...CENTER...LUFKIN...
SAN AUGUSTINE...HEMPHILL
1210 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS ALONG AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE
GENERALLY LESS THAN A TENTH OF INCH THROUGH 2 PM.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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