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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1006 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

ALZ011>015-017>050-230415-
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-
CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-
CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-
BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
1006 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL DROP VISIBILITIES TO 1 MILE
OR LESS AT TIMES. THE VISIBILITIES AND CLOUDS WILL LOWER DUE TO
AREAS OF DRIZZLE MOVING BY FROM TIME TO TIME. THESE CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY LAST INTO MONDAY MORNING TO AROUND 9 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS A THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS
AND TORNADOES...ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW AT THIS
TIME...AND REFINEMENTS TO THE TIMING AND EXTENT OF THE POTENTIAL
THREAT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE
NEEDED TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
637 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-
149>154-162>166-221100-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL
CAMDEN-
637 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED WITH ELEVATED NE FLOW.

SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL
WATERS.

MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...ALONG
WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS
STATIONARY OVER THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WITH ISOLATED STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING MID
WEEK AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-222130-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
419 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014 /319 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014/

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH AN
INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR AREAL AND RIVER FLOODING...

THE COMBINATION OF A VERY MOIST AIR MASS LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE REGION INTERACTING WITH A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE
MID SOUTH WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT
PLACEMENT OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL WITH THE STORM SYSTEM ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT A PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS TIME FRAME.
STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTH CENTRAL
GEORGIA. FURTHER NORTHWEST...STORM TOTALS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE
2 TO 4 INCH RANGE.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION...PARTICULARLY DURING THE
TIME OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

WITH AREA RIVERS AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES AT OR BELOW NORMAL
FLOWS FOR DECEMBER...THE CURRENTLY PREDICTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO ONLY PRODUCE RISES TO ACTION STAGE AT
MOST OF THE RIVER FORECAST POINTS. THE NOTABLE EXCEPTIONS TO THIS
WILL BE WITHIN THE OCHLOCKONEE AND WITHLACOOCHEE RIVER BASINS
WHERE THERE IS AN INCREASED POTENTIAL TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGE
LATER THIS WEEK. SHOULD MORE RAIN OCCUR THAN CURRENTLY
FORECAST...THE CORRESPONDING RIVER FLOOD RISK WOULD INCREASE AND
INCLUDE ADDITIONAL RIVER BASINS REACHING AT LEAST MINOR FLOOD
STAGE.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...VISIT OUR AHPS PAGE AT
THE FOLLOWING LINK (USE ALL LOWERCASE):

HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=TAE

$$

GODSEY/WOOL

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Silver Spring, MD 20910
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Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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