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Flash Flood Warning


FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
657 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXC103-383-461-220230-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0114.000000T0000Z-140922T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CRANE-REAGAN-UPTON-
657 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR
UPTON...REAGAN AND CRANE COUNTIES...

AT 647 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. AREAS THAT HAVE BEEN
IMPACTED WITH HEAVY RAINFALL INCLUDE STATE HIGHWAY 329 AND STATE
HIGHWAY 349 IN UPTON COUNTY...FARM TO MARKET ROAD 1601 IN CRANE
COUNTY...STATE HIGHWAY 329 AND HIGHWAY 385 IN CRANE COUNTY AND
THE TOWN OF CRANE.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO TUBBS
CORNER...NORTH REAGAN FIRE STATION...CRANE COUNTY AIRPORT...STILES...
MIDKIFF AND CRANE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOODING DEATHS ARE PREVENTABLE... AND MANY OCCUR WHEN MOTORISTS
DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. IT IS NEVER SAFE TO DRIVE ON FLOODED
ROADS. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER TO QUICKLY
CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN AROUND... DONT DROWN.

FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS... STREETS AND UNDERPASSES...LOW
WATER CROSSINGS... AND LOW LYING FARMLAND IS LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE
ACROSS FLOODED ROADS.

&&

LAT...LON 3113 10169 3113 10183 3114 10211 3114 10232
      3124 10241 3138 10274 3162 10276 3162 10249
      3162 10213 3165 10154 3161 10131 3145 10129
      3111 10129 3111 10158

$$


Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
224 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN
HORN REGION...MOST OF THE TRANS PECOS AND THE PERMIAN BASIN...

.THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE...LOCATED IN SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO THIS MORNING...WILL CONTINUE TO BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAIN TO SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A DECREASING THREAT BY MID DAY MONDAY.
RAINFALL RATES EXCEEDING 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WATCH AREA. SOILS ARE PARTICULARLY SATURATED OVER SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS AND MUCH OF THE PERMIAN BASIN. ANY
RAINFALL THAT OCCURS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE QUICK RUNOFF RESULTING IN
FLASH FLOODING AND FLOODING OF AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING.

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-258-
220730-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-140922T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...TATUM...
HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...SEMINOLE...LAMESA...SNYDER...
ANDREWS...STANTON...BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...VAN HORN...
PECOS...MENTONE...RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...
GARDEN CITY...MONAHANS...CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...
ALPINE...FORT STOCKTON...PINE SPRINGS
224 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014 /124 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND TEXAS...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...CENTRAL LEA
  COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
  COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA COUNTY AND SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY. IN
  TEXAS...ANDREWS...BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
  AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE
  MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...LOVING...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...
  PECOS...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...
  SCURRY...UPTON...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD AND
  WINKLER.

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
  AREA TODAY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE...
  PARTICULARLY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AS WELL AS THE CENTRAL AND
  NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN.

* FLOODING OF RIVERS...CREEKS...ARROYOS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS
  AND CITY STREETS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
WITH SATURATED SOILS...RUNOFF CAN CAUSE FLASH FLOODING QUICKLY.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

05


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
242 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-221945-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
242 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS WILL
BE ALONG AND WEST OF A SWEETWATER TO ROBERT LEE TO OZONA LINE.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE...AND MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING...PRIMARILY IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED...MAINLY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DEADLY LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
SPOTTERS AND RAINFALL OBSERVERS ARE REQUESTED TO RELAY RAINFALL
REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
228 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-221200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
228 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT NORTH OF A CISCO TO DENTON TO EMORY LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY... GENERALLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CISCO TO WACO TO FRANKLIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

82/JLD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
520 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-221030-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O`CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
520 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS MUCH
OF SOUTH TEXAS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG GULF FACING
BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AS AMPLE AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE
REMAINS ACROSS THE REGION AND INTERACT WITH A STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ALONG THE COAST. HOWEVER...NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
400 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-220900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
400 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014 /300 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY AGAIN
TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST
TEXAS...RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE...DAVIS...AND APACHE MOUNTAINS...
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS...VAN
HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER
TRANS PECOS...AND PERMIAN BASIN. ABUNDANT RAINFALL HAS ALREADY
FALLEN IN THESE AREAS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...SO IT WILL NOT
TAKE MUCH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TO RAISE CONCERNS FOR MORE FLASH
FLOODING.

IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS UP 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL..ESPECIALLY OVER
SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

ELEVATED FLOWS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE TODAY AND TONIGHT
DUE TO RELEASES FROM RESERVOIRS IN MEXICO AND HEAVY RAINFALL ON BOTH
SIDES OF THE RIVER.  TRIBUTARIES AND ARROYOS TO THE PECOS
RIVER...SUCH AS THE RIO PENASCO...FOUR MILE DRAW...SOUTH SEVEN
RIVERS...ROCKY ARROYO...DARK CANYON...BLACK RIVER...DELAWARE
RIVER...AND WALNUT CANYON HAVE BEEN FLUCTUATING BUT ANY ADDITIONAL
RAIN THAT FALLS IN THOSE AREAS WILL QUICKLY CAUSE ADDITIONAL
RISES...IF NOT FLOODING. ALSO LINGERING FLOODING IN BORDEN AND
SCURRY COUNTIES IS STILL A CONCERN WITH RECORD FLOW ON THE
COLORADO RIVER SOUTHEAST OF GAIL...DEEP CREEK IN SCURRY COUNTY...AND
NEAR IRA SOUTHWEST OF J.B. THOMAS. FINALLY FLOODING ALONG THE
PECOS RIVER FROM RED BLUFF TO PECOS/BARSTOW IS STILL POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST AREAS MONDAY...SO FLOODING AND FLASH
FLOODING CONCERNS MAY LINGER.

THE RIO GRANDE...PECOS RIVER...AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES AND
ARROYOS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ALTHOUGH SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT SHOULD STAY UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS IN
FLASH FLOODING OR RIVER FLOODING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
713 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-220300-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
713 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.NOW...
A WEAK COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO ADVANCE SOUTHWARD INTO NORTH TEXAS
THIS EVENING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT ARE
LOCATED ALONG THE RED RIVER...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH
INTO TEXAS. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...LIGHTNING...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER CELLS. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...PRIMARILY NORTH OF INTERSTATE
20.

ELSEWHERE...SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR WITH TEMPERATURES
FALLING INTO THE LOWER 80S OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT AND SHIFT FROM SOUTHEASTERLY TO NORTHERLY AS THE
FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA.

$$

STALLEY

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
649 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ076-220200-
CROCKETT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OZONA
649 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST ACROSS CROCKETT
COUNTY THROUGH 9 PM. HOURLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE
AROUND 1/4 OF AN INCH WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 1/2 INCH POSSIBLE.

$$

15

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
537 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ183>185-202>204-217>219-228-220100-
VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KINNEY-UVALDE-MEDINA-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-FRIO-
DIMMIT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DEL RIO...ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...
BRACKETTVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...
PEARSALL...CARRIZO SPRINGS
537 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 8 PM...ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST ACROSS
THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. THESE SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN WITH RAINFALL TOTALS UP TO ONE INCH.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE