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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
417 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-262030-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
417 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
408 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
261100-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
408 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN
MICHIGAN...MAINLY LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. NO SEVERE
WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD.

$$

JPB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
609 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

INZ004>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ078>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-261030-
ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-PULASKI-
MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-
WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-CASS MI-
ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-
PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...
GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...
AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...
PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...
COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...
BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...
HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
609 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014 /509 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. SOME
STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
445 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-260845-
ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
445 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A WARM
FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT THROUGH THE AREA. THESE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE...BUT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS...AND HALF INCH
DIAMETER HAIL. STORMS WILL MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST AT 30 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
LIKELY SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE BOTH DAYS BUT THE
POTENTIAL LOOKS GREATER FOR SUNDAY.

A WARM FRONT WILL LEAVE WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR OVER LAKE HURON
AND LOWER MICHIGAN SATURDAY WHICH WILL BECOME VERY UNSTABLE OVER
LAND AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TO HELP FOCUS ACTIVITY BUT IT WILL BE WEAK
WHICH WILL CAUSE SOME UNCERTAINTY ON TIMING AND COVERAGE OF
STORMS. STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER LAND AREAS COULD MOVE OVER MARINE
AREAS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED SUNDAY WHICH WILL PULL
THE SATURDAY COLD FRONT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. VERY UNSTABLE
AIR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK INTO LAND AREAS ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE WARM FRONT. BOTH THE FRONT AND THE SURFACE LOW ARE EXPECTED TO
COMBINE TO MAKE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND HELP ORGANIZE STORMS FOR
GREATER SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL OVER ALL MARINE AREAS COMPARED TO
SATURDAY.

A COOLER TEMPERATURE PATTERN WILL RETURN FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
BUT ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

$$

BT

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
445 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-260845-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
445 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A WARM FRONT
BEGINS TO LIFT THROUGH THE AREA. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
SEVERE...BUT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...AND HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL. STORMS WILL
MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST AT 35 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
LIKELY SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE BOTH DAYS BUT THE
POTENTIAL LOOKS GREATER FOR SUNDAY.

A WARM FRONT WILL LEAVE WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR OVER THE REGION
SATURDAY WHICH WILL BECOME VERY UNSTABLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TO HELP FOCUS
ACTIVITY BUT IT WILL BE WEAK WHICH WILL CAUSE SOME UNCERTAINTY ON
TIMING AND COVERAGE OF STORMS.

A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED SUNDAY WHICH WILL PULL
THE SATURDAY COLD FRONT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. VERY UNSTABLE
AIR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
WARM FRONT. BOTH THE FRONT AND THE SURFACE LOW ARE EXPECTED TO
COMBINE TO MAKE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND HELP ORGANIZE STORMS FOR
GREATER SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL COMPARED TO SATURDAY.

A COOLER TEMPERATURE PATTERN WILL RETURN FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
BUT ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
355 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-260800-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
355 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT... MORE SO WEST OF
US-131 THAN EAST OF US-131. THE SEVERE POTENTIAL FOR THESE STORMS
IS LIMITED... MOSTLY EXPECT LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTING. STORMS WILL BE MOVING SOUTHEAST AROUND 35 TO
40 MPH WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS SOUTH AND AND WEST OF KALAMAZOO
AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE EXITING THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING. STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE SOUTH
AND EAST OF THE LANSING AREA.

SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
700 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

MIZ041-260100-
GLADWIN COUNTY...GLADWIN-
700 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.NOW...
AT  8 PM...MOSTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE 72. SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 MPH.
AT 10 PM...MOSTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE 68. SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 MPH.
AT 12 AM...MOSTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE 64. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 MPH.
AT  2 AM...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE 63. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
700 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

MIZ042-260100-
ARENAC COUNTY...STANDISH-
700 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.NOW...
AT  8 PM...MOSTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE 73. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 MPH.
AT 10 PM...MOSTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE 69. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
AT 12 AM...MOSTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE 66. LIGHT WINDS.
AT  2 AM...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE 65. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 MPH.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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