Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
754 PM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

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754 PM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES. NO
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

THE RIP CURRENT RISK INCREASES THROUGH LATE WEEK AND IS FORECAST TO
BE HIGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA MOVES
NORTH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...APPROACHING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
REGION BY SATURDAY. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE THIS WEEKEND AS THE LOW
MOVES INTO THE GENERAL AREA AND A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF THE LOW IS
ACROSS OR WEST OF THE LOCAL AREA. IN ADDITION...A PROLONGED EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WIND MAY RESULT IN SOME MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

OUR BEST ESTIMATION FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IS 3 TO 4 INCHES WITH 6 TO
8 INCHES ON A LOCAL BASIS. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD MAINLY BE THE COASTAL
COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...INCLUDING THE INTERIOR OF THESE COUNTIES FROM EARLY
SATURDAY THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY. THESE AMOUNTS ARE SUBJECT TO
CONSTRAINTS OF CURRENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTY AND WILL LIKELY BE
ADJUSTED.

IMMEDIATE COASTAL RESIDENTS CAN ALSO EXPECT MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
IMPACTS AT THE TIME OF BOTH HIGH TIDES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY EVENINGS.
LOW TIDES IN BETWEEN WILL NOT RECEDE THAT MUCH DUE TO PERSISTENT
ONSHORE WINDS.

ALSO FOR THOSE LIVING ON OCEAN-FACING BARRIER ISLANDS EXPECT SOME
WAVE RUN UP TO CAUSE MINOR FLOODING...HIGH WAVES IN THE LOCAL SURF
ZONE AND POTENTIAL MINOR EROSION FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY.

WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN COASTAL RAINBANDS
REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THE SYSTEM BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR
STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

AREA RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE FORECAST OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS REGARDING THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE
GULF.

$$