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Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
312 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

TXZ021>044-200500-
/O.CON.KLUB.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140921T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...DIMMITT...HART...
TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...MEMPHIS...TURKEY...CHILDRESS...
MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...PLAINVIEW...FLOYDADA...LOCKNEY...
MATADOR...ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...MORTON...LEVELLAND...
LUBBOCK...SLATON...WOLFFORTH...CROSBYTON...RALLS...DICKENS...
SPUR...GUTHRIE...PLAINS...DENVER CITY...BROWNFIELD...TAHOKA...
ODONNELL...POST...JAYTON...ASPERMONT
312 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS AND THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWEST TEXAS...BAILEY...
  COCHRAN...COTTLE...CROSBY...DICKENS...FLOYD...GARZA...HALE...
  HOCKLEY...KENT...KING...LAMB...LUBBOCK...LYNN...MOTLEY...
  STONEWALL...TERRY AND YOAKUM. IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS...
  BRISCOE...CASTRO...CHILDRESS...HALL...PARMER AND SWISHER.

* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* A VERY MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS
  REGION THROUGH SATURDAY AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WITH
  TROPICAL CONNECTIONS EDGES OVER. THE COMBINATION WILL BRING THE
  POTENTIAL FOR PERIODS OF WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT INTO
  SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL RAIN TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE
  POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL
  ON SPOTS THAT ARE ALREADY NEARLY SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINFALL.
  THE RUNOFF WILL CREATE THE RISK OF AREAL FLOODING OR LOCALIZED
  FLASH FLOODING.

* AREAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...
  INCLUDING LOW LYING ROADWAYS...NEAR PLAYA LAKES..AND ALONG
  CREEKS AND DRAWS. POCKETS OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
  AREAS PRONE TO RAPID RUNOFF SUCH AS THE EDGE OF THE CAPROCK
  ESCARPMENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP.

&&

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
854 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201715-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
854 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SHOWERS AND A STRAY THUNDERSTORM MAY AFFECT PORTIONS OF FAR
SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. WHILE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OCCUR...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS NOT
EXPECTED...AND THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL REMAIN LOW.

.FOG...
PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING
HOURS SATURDAY. VISIBILITIES MAY BE LOCALLY REDUCED TO 2 MILES OR
LESS...MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT. SLOW DOWN IF YOU ENCOUNTER FOG.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING
SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA INTO
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. WHILE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE...
THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL REMAIN LOW OVER THE WEEKEND. SHOWERS
AND STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE EACH DAY HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK...AS
A COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND STALLS ACROSS THE AREA. SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

25/AUSTIN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
755 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-201100-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
755 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. ALTHOUGH NO
ORGANIZED OR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED...THE STRONGER
STORMS CAN PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH CAN LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. STORMS THAT DEVELOP
DURING THIS TIME ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

CLK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
641 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-210045-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
641 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING
OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND SURROUNDING HIGH TERRAIN. LIGHTNING WILL
BE THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE BEST COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED OVER AND NEAR THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS. THE MAIN THREATS
FROM STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS...THOUGH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND SMALL HAIL MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS. IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS OVER AREA BURN SCARS...FLASH FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE.

INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AS SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INCREASES
AHEAD OF A WEATHER SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN
ROCKIES. STORM THREATS SUNDAY AND MONDAY INCLUDE LIGHTNING...GUSTY
WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND SMALL HAIL.

MORE ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA AGAIN ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN STORM THREATS WILL BE LIGHTNING
AND GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

$$

44/44

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
324 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

TXZ021>044-202030-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
324 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

FLOODING

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS ABUNDANT MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE AHEAD
OF A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OF TROPICAL ORIGIN. THE HEAVY
RAIN WILL LEAD TO POTENTIAL FLOODING. POCKETS OF FLASH FLOODING
MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS
MOST PRONE TO RAPID RUNOFF INCLUDING NEAR AND ALONG THE CAPROCK
ESCARPMENT. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE FAR SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS...AND ROLLING PLAINS INTO SATURDAY
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE RISK OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. PLEASE REPORT OBSERVED
FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
442 AM MDT FRI SEP 19 2014

NMZ501>540-201200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
442 AM MDT FRI SEP 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN COULD BECOME LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES TODAY
ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS AS REMNANT MOISTURE
SLOWLY CROSSES THAT AREA. SOME LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE OVER AN
INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE PECOS
RIVER. THE UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE ODILE WILL SHIFT FROM SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO INTO THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE BY LATE IN THE DAY WITH THE THREAT OF HEAVY
RAINFALL SHIFTING EAST OF THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
PASSING NORTH OF NEW MEXICO WILL DRAW MONSOON MOISTURE NORTHWARD
OVER THE STATE. MINOR FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN A FEW SPOTS
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING IN AND BELOW BURN SCARS. THE
FAVORED AREA FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND MINOR FLOODING SHOULD
SHIFT ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

44


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
706 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2014

NMZ524>526-533>540-200230-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...CLOVIS...ELK...FORT SUMNER...
GRAN QUIVIRA...PICACHO...PORTALES...ROSWELL...RUIDOSO...SANTA ROSA...
TUCUMCARI
706 PM MDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS...SOME WITH THUNDER...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID EVENING.
SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHERN DE BACA COUNTY WILL MOVE ACROSS STATE ROAD
20 AND HIGHWAY 285. SHOWERS IN SOUTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY WILL MOVE
ACROSS CAPITAN...ANGUS...FORT STANTON...AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
LITTLE BEAR BURN AREA. SHOWERS IN EASTERN SOCORRO COUNTY NEAR GRAN
QUIVIRA WILL DRIFT SOUTH ALONG STATE ROAD 55 TOWARD CLAUNCH. EXPECT
SOME LIGHTNING AND RAINFALL UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH IN HEAVIER
SHOWERS. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND RAINFALL OF
LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH IN ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH MID
EVENING.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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