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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1103 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-201715-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1103 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP ARE...LIGHTNING...LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...AND PEA
SIZED HAIL.

AREAS OF MODERATE RAIN MAY DEVELOP WITH SOME OF THE STORMS TODAY.
ANY LOCAL AREAS OF HEAVIER RAIN THAT FALL ON BURN SCARS COULD
CAUSE STREAMS TO RISE QUICKLY.

SNOW WILL FALL AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW
INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS MAY SEE SEVERAL INCHES OF NEW
SNOW AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO. THE MAIN THREAT FROM ANY STORMS WILL
BE LIGHTNING. THESE STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE ACCUMULATING SNOW
ABOVE 10000 FEET.

ON WEDNESDAY...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES COULD RESULT
IN METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS CONDUCIVE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION.

$$

31/77

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1155 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1155 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE SUNDAY...AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. WEAK INSTABILITY WILL LIMIT
STORM STRENGTH...BUT A FEW STRONG OR MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY IN WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
MONDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE MORNING.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS A
STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES. SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.FIRE WEATHER...
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE THE FIRE DANGER
ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1131 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

TXZ021>044-201645-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1131 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE OUTLOOK
AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON....SHIFTING TO EASTERN AREAS SUNDAY EVENING.
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE INTERSTATE 27 CORRIDOR INTO THE ROLLING
PLAINS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS THE MAIN THREATS. ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER MAY BE
POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY ACROSS THE
ROLLING PLAINS.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1041 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-200345-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
1041 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT PARTS OF
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE
MOST LIKELY AREAS TO EXPERIENCE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY INCLUDE THE
SOUTHWESTERN...WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE. THESE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES ON SUNDAY. THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD OR ORGANIZED
SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW.

ELEVATED TO POTENTIALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DUE TO
BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
PANHANDLES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AREA FIRE MANAGERS AND EMERGENCY OFFICIALS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
ELEVATED TO POTENTIALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
513 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

NMZ501>540-201200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
513 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO WESTERN NEW MEXICO
TODAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY GENERATE
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...PRIMARILY FROM THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS EAST OUT
ONTO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST-CENTRAL PLAINS.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

33

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
521 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-201000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
521 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014 /421 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WEST AND NORTH OF A HUGOTON TO GARDEN CITY
TO HAYS LINE. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING
BUT SMALL HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS ON
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. LIGHTNING AND HAIL
UP TO QUARTER SIZE WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

ON WEDNESDAY, WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHWEST KANSAS ALONG A DRYLINE THAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.
WHILE DETAILS ABOUT THIS EVENT ARE A LITTLE MORE UNCERTAIN, STORMS
THAT DEVELOP COULD BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS, ALONG WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO, WILL BE POSSIBLE.

AREAS WEST OF THE DRYLINE COULD EXPERIENCE RED FLAG CONDITIONS
WHERE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

A FEW CALLS TO SPOTTERS FOR STORM REPORTS MAY BE NEEDED OVER FAR
SOUTHWEST INTO WEST CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

$$

GERARD


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1100 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

NMZ533>538-191900-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLOVIS...FORT SUMNER...PORTALES...
ROSWELL...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI
1100 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

.NOW...
WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH AFTERNOON. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH THROUGH LINCOLN COUNTY INTO
GUADALUPE AND DE BACA COUNTIES.  RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO MOVING NORTH THROUGH CHAVES COUNTY AROUND
ROSWELL INTO ROOSEVELT COUNTY AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS
HIGHWAY 70 AND ALONG STATE ROAD 206 TOWARD ELKINS...KENNA...ELIDA...
DORA...ROGERS...MILNESAND...AND PORTALES. EXPECT ISOLATED THUNDER AND
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH ALONG WITH GUSTY
WINDS TO 40 MPH AS THESE STORMS MOVE THROUGH. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT
THUNDER AND LOCAL GUSTS IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AFTERNOON.

$$

BENNETT

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE