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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
256 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-221100-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
256 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN PANHANDLES. LIGHTNING
WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STORMS WILL LIKELY REMAIN
BELOW SEVERE LEVELS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

GOEHRING

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
206 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-221915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
206 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014 /106 PM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED INTO THE OVERNIGHT...
MAINLY ACROSS THE TRANS PECOS AND INTO SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. SHOWERS
AND STORMS WILL SLOWLY SPREAD EAST AND DEVELOP IN THE PERMIAN BASIN
TOWARD MORNING. WHILE THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW...THE PRIMARY
THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH COULD
RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THOUGH SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
LOW THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1100 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-221700-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1100 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH WILL
BE THE MAIN CONCERNS.

LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ABOVE 10000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS...THE PALMER DIVIDE...AND NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE COULD BE 1 OR 2 THUNDERSTORMS
AS WELL...WITH LIGHTNING BEING THE MAIN CONCERN. SNOW SHOWERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET WITH LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS
UP TO AN INCH.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING SHOWERS TO THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
PEAKS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

$$

50/50

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
557 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-221200-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
557 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON TAP TODAY AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING HOURS AND OVERNIGHT BEFORE SLACKENING OFF SOME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SOME RESIDUAL SHOWERS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE GIVING WAY
TO HIGH PRESSURE AND IMPROVING CONDITIONS. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
BEING SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
518 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

NMZ501>540-221130-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
518 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN TODAY.
STORM MOTION WILL BE SOMEWHAT SLOW AND RAINFALL COULD BECOME
LOCALLY HEAVY. THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING... ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR RECENT BURN SCARS. AS WINDS
ALOFT INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN WEDNESDAY. STORM MOTION WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL
COULD BECOME LOCALLY HEAVY. STORM MOTION WILL INCREASE...LIMITING
CHANCES FOR LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

33


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
727 PM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

NMZ501>522-524-525-220330-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBUQUERQUE...LOS LUNAS...RIO RANCHO...
ANGEL FIRE...MORA...CARRIZOZO...CHAMA...CUBA...DULCE...EL MORRO...
ESPANOLA...FARMINGTON...GALLUP...GLENWOOD...GRAN QUIVIRA...GRANTS...
LOS ALAMOS...MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...PECOS...CERRO/QUESTA...QUEMADO...
RED RIVER...SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST...TIJERAS...SANTA FE...SOCORRO...
TAOS
727 PM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.NOW...
ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MUCH OF CENTRAL
AND WESTERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS. AREAS THAT
MAY BE IMPACTED INCLUDE THE AREA FROM COUNSELOR TO EL VADO...ACOMA
TO MARQUEZ...AND GALLUP AND QUEMADO.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
727 PM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

NMZ523-526>540-220330-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-QUAY COUNTY-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
UNION COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAPULIN...CLAYTON...CLINES CORNERS...
CLOVIS...CONCHAS...ELK...FORT SUMNER...LAS VEGAS...PICACHO...
PORTALES...RATON...SPRINGER...ROSWELL...ROY...RUIDOSO...SANTA ROSA...
TUCUMCARI
727 PM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 930 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH AND NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
EASTERN PLAINS AND HIGHLANDS. BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MAY IMPACT
AREAS FROM TUCUMCARI TO LOGAN AND NARA VISA AS WELL AS FROM MILAGRO
TO WATROUS...AND DURAN TO ANTON CHICO. ELSEWHERE...MAINLY LIGHT TO
MODERATE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED...INCLUDING DUNKEN TO
ROSWELL...AND NEAR MILNESAND.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
738 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TXZ027-033-039-220245-
BAILEY-COCHRAN-YOAKUM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MULESHOE...MORTON...PLAINS...
DENVER CITY
738 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL SPREAD THROUGH THE WESTERN PART OF THE
TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS THIS EVENING...MAINLY WEST OF A FRIONA TO
PLAINS LINE. THROUGH 900 PM...SHOWERS WILL MOVE NORTH AT 20 MPH
AND WILL PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS GENERALLY LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF
AN IN INCH. MULESHOE AND MORTON HAVE THE BEST CHANCE AT SEEING
MEASURABLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS.

$$

JORDAN

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
645 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

TXZ011-016-220200-
OLDHAM-DEAF SMITH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VEGA...HEREFORD
645 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE BY 7 PM. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A TRACE
THE A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH BY 9 PM. COMMUNITIES AFFECTED WILL BE
WEST OF A HEREFORD TO BOYS RANCH LINE.

$$


14

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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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