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Flash Flood Warning


FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NMC051-010445-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FF.W.0027.140801T0045Z-140801T0445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
645 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WEST CENTRAL SIERRA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 1045 PM MDT

* AT 644 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
  WARNED AREA.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CUCHILLO...

RADAR ESTIMATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN IN THE LAST TWO
HOURS IN THE HEAD WATERS OF THE CUCHILLO NEGRO CREEK.  THIS WATER
WILL FLOW SOUTH TOWARD THE TOWN OF CUCHILLO.  PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS
NEAR THE CUCHILLO NEGRO CREEK SHOULD TAKE ACTION NOW TO PROTECT ANY
PROPERTY NEAR THE CREEK.


LAT...LON 3326 10735 3322 10733 3325 10748 3324 10756
      3322 10764 3324 10768 3329 10780 3333 10781
      3331 10763 3330 10752 3328 10742

$$

TSB

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NMC051-010445-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FF.W.0026.140801T0041Z-140801T0445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
641 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WEST CENTRAL SIERRA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 1045 PM MDT

* AT 639 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
  WARNED AREA.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HERMOSA...
  LAS PALOMAS...

RADAR ESTIMATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN IN THE HEAD
WATERS OF THE LAS PALOMAS CREEK WATERSHED.  THIS WATER WILL WORK ITS
WAY DOWN TO THE TOWN OF LAS PALOMAS IN A FEW HOURS.

LAT...LON 3328 10781 3327 10775 3322 10765 3324 10747
      3304 10727 3312 10747 3311 10760 3313 10774
      3311 10779 3314 10783 3318 10784 3321 10787

$$

TSB


Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1217 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMZ504-506>508-511-512-514-515-518-521>523-529-010300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-140801T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
1217 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE
  CRISTO MOUNTAINS...ESTANCIA VALLEY...JEMEZ MOUNTAINS...NORTHEAST
  HIGHLANDS...NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS...SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS...
  SANTA FE METRO AREA...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE
  9500 FEET...SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...WEST
  CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE AND PASSING DISTURBANCES ALOFT WILL
  PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE
  OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. STORMS SHOULD BECOME MOST
  WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE WEST AND NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS THIS
  AFTERNOON...THEN THE FOCUS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE CENTRAL AND NORTH
  CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT HIGHLANDS DURING THE EVENING AND
  OVERNIGHT. SLOW STORM MOTIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH MOST CELLS
  DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR SOUTH.

* LOCATIONS WHERE THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED FROM RECENT
  RAINFALL WILL BE FAVORED FOR FLASH FLOODING. OTHER VULNERABLE
  LOCATIONS WILL INCLUDE STEEP TERRAIN...URBAN AREAS AND BURN
  SCARS. KEEP A WATCHFUL EYE ON ARROYOS AND SMALL STREAMS... AND
  STAY OUT OF FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS. MONITOR THE LATEST
  FORECASTS CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION IF A
  WARNING OR ADVISORY IS ISSUED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

52

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1217 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMZ509-010300-
/O.EXA.KABQ.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-140801T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
1217 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE THE SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY OF
  WESTERN NEW MEXICO.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE AND PASSING DISTURBANCES ALOFT WILL
  PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE
  OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. STORMS SHOULD BECOME MOST
  WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN HIGH TERRAIN OF NEW MEXICO THIS
  AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. VERY SLOW STORM MOTIONS ARE
  EXPECTED WITH MOST CELLS DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR SOUTH.

* AREAS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE WHITEWATER-BALDY BURN SCAR
  AND AREAS DOWNSTREAM INTO THE SAN FRANCISCO RIVER BASIN WILL BE
  ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. SLOW-MOVING STORMS
  WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO
  INCHES IN A SHORT TIME...LEADING TO EXCESSIVE RUNOFF OF NOT ONLY
  WATER...BUT ALSO POSSIBLE ASH...LOGS...AND OTHER DEBRIS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
935 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMC027-053-010530-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0389.140801T0335Z-140801T0530Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LINCOLN-SOCORRO-
935 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  WEST CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  SOUTHEASTERN SOCORRO COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 1130 PM MDT

* AT 935 PM MDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
HEAVY RAIN IN A LINE FROM CLAUNCH SOUTHWEST TO NEAR MONTICELLO.

* STRONG FLOWS AND HIGH WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN ARROYOS...SMALL
  STREAMS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. RAPID RUNOFF CAN ALSO BE
  EXPECTED IMMEDIATELY OVER AND DOWNSTREAM FROM WILDFIRE BURN SCARS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO TELL HOW MUCH
WATER IS ON THE ROAD...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FAST MOVING WATER OF
UNKNOWN DEPTH.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3358 10722 3376 10689 3383 10659 3396 10654
      3411 10613 3421 10573 3383 10603 3354 10630
      3347 10642 3347 10718

$$

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
857 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMC039-010600-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0388.140801T0257Z-140801T0600Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RIO ARRIBA-
857 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN RIO ARRIBA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT

* AT 854 PM MDT THE RIVER GAUGE ALONG THE RIO CHAMA NEAR CHAMITA WAS
RAPIDLY RISING. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO STAY BELOW MINOR FLOOD
STAGE BUT FLOW WILL BE AT OR NEAR BANKFULL. RIVER LEVELS ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW ACTION STAGE AFTER AROUND MIDNIGHT.

* STRONG FLOWS AND HIGH WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN ARROYOS...SMALL
  STREAMS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. RAPID RUNOFF CAN ALSO BE
  EXPECTED IMMEDIATELY OVER AND DOWNSTREAM FROM WILDFIRE BURN SCARS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF ROAD INTERSECTIONS AND LOW
LYING AREAS. WATERS MAY BEGIN TO RUN IN NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS AND
SPILL OVER THE BANKS OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

&&

LAT...LON 3609 10615 3610 10612 3606 10608 3604 10608
      3602 10607 3602 10608

$$

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
840 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMC027-053-057-010445-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0387.140801T0240Z-140801T0445Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LINCOLN-SOCORRO-TORRANCE-
840 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  EAST CENTRAL SOCORRO COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  SOUTH CENTRAL TORRANCE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 1045 PM MDT

* AT 840 PM MDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
HEAVY RAIN FROM A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST.

* STRONG FLOWS AND HIGH WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN ARROYOS...SMALL
  STREAMS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. RAPID RUNOFF CAN ALSO BE
  EXPECTED IMMEDIATELY OVER AND DOWNSTREAM FROM WILDFIRE BURN SCARS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO TELL HOW MUCH
WATER IS ON THE ROAD...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FAST MOVING WATER OF
UNKNOWN DEPTH.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 10563 3417 10583 3406 10610 3470 10609
      3463 10566

$$

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
820 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMC053-010415-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0386.140801T0220Z-140801T0415Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOCORRO-
820 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL SOCORRO COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 1015 PM MDT

* AT 815 PM MDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
HEAVY RAIN OVER THE LOWER PORTION OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN
SOCORRO COUNTY.

* STRONG FLOWS AND HIGH WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN ARROYOS...SMALL
  STREAMS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. RAPID RUNOFF CAN ALSO BE
  EXPECTED IMMEDIATELY OVER AND DOWNSTREAM FROM WILDFIRE BURN SCARS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...DITCHES ARE DEADLY. A GENTLE FLOW OF WATER CAN BECOME A
RAGING TORRENT IN A MATTER OF MINUTES.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO TELL HOW MUCH
WATER IS ON THE ROAD...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FAST MOVING WATER OF
UNKNOWN DEPTH.

&&

LAT...LON 3441 10699 3444 10670 3388 10652 3379 10661
      3375 10688 3384 10701

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
602 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-020015-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
602 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED STORMS SHOULD WIND DOWN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
THE MAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
THE THREAT OF FLOODING IS LOW BUT STILL POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE BURN SCARS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED PRIMARILY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE MAJORITY OF SOUTHERN
COLORADO FROM FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. THE MOST WIDESPREAD
COVERAGE IS EXPECTED FROM FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEN AGAIN
FROM MONDAY INTO NEXT WEDNESDAY.

THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER
AREA BURN SCARS AND LOCATIONS WHICH RECEIVED RECENT SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION. IN ADDITION...HAZARDOUS LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

PLEASE REMEMBER THAT AREA BURN SCARS...URBAN AREAS...STEEP
TERRAIN LOCATIONS AND AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED RECENT HEAVY
PRECIPITATION WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE TO THE FLASH FLOOD RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

$$

44/44

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
211 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-011915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
211 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014 /111 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COULD AFFECT THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS
MOUNTAINS, VAN HORN AREA, MARFA PLATEAU, PRESIDIO VALLEY AND BIG
BEND REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SLOW
MOVING, THEREFORE THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS NEAR
50 MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL, IN ADDITION TO FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND WEST OF A CARLSBAD
TO ALPINE TO BIG BEND LINE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  SOME OF
THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS, LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY, BUT
MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST
TEXAS.  THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMZ501>540-011200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
600 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FLASH FLOODING TODAY. MODELS PAINT SOME OF THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND
ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE WEST CENTRAL AND JEMEZ MOUNTAINS. THE
FOCUS SHOULD THEN SHIFT TO THE NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT EAST SLOPES THIS EVENING. STORMS WILL MOVE
SLOWLY AND GENERALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL PASS SOUTHEASTWARD OVER
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO FRIDAY BRINGING THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
FLASH FLOODING TO THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ADJACENT EAST
SLOPES. THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING SHOULD THEN SHIFT
WESTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND AS A SLOW MOVING SUBTROPICAL WAVE
MIGRATES NORTHWARD WEST OF NEW MEXICO STEERING A ROBUST MONSOON
MOISTURE PLUME OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

44

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
533 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-011200-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
533 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING
BECOMING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN AND THE SOUTH. THE STRONGEST CELLS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF GENERATING LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.
LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAIN...
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS FROM 30 TO 40
MPH...SMALL HAIL...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING...WITH ONLY A FEW
REMAINING OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...AHEAD OF ANOTHER
SURGE OF DEEP MONSOONAL MOISTURE THAT MOVES IN SUNDAY. THIS WILL
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS TO MUCH
OF EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
911 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMZ501>509-010430-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CUBA...DULCE...EL MORRO...FARMINGTON...
GALLUP...GLENWOOD...GRANTS...QUEMADO
911 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. STORMS
IN SAN JUAN COUNTY WILL MOVE ACROSS HIGHWAY 491 AND STATE ROAD 371
NEAR SHIPROCK...FARMINGTON...AND BLOOMFIELD. MORE STORMS NEAR
HIGHWAY 550 WILL MOVE ACROSS EL HUERFANO AND BLANCO TRADING POSTS...
LYBROOK...AND CHACO CULTURE NATIONAL HISTORIC PARK. IN NORTHERN
SANDOVAL COUNTY...STORMS NEAR COUNSELOR WILL MOVE TOWARD CUBA ACROSS
HIGHWAY 550. SHOWERS IN CATRON COUNTY WILL MOVE ACROSS PIE TOWN...
QUEMADO...DATIL...HIGHWAY 60 AND STATE ROAD 12. EXPECT LIGHTNING AND
RAINFALL OF SEVERAL TENTHS OF AN INCH ALONG WITH SOME HAIL AND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH AS THESE STORMS MOVE THROUGH. HEAVIER RAINS WILL FILL
ARROYOS AND DITCHES AND BLOCK LOW WATER CROSSINGS. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND RAINFALL UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE EVENING.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
911 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMZ510>518-527>532-010430-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-UNION COUNTY-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGEL FIRE...MORA...CAPULIN...CHAMA...
CLAYTON...CONCHAS...ESPANOLA...LAS VEGAS...LOS ALAMOS...PECOS...
CERRO/QUESTA...RATON...SPRINGER...RED RIVER...ROY...SANTA FE...TAOS
911 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. A BROAD
AREA OF SHOWERS BLANKETING SAN MIGUEL COUNTY WILL MOVE ACROSS
INTERSTATE 25 FROM ROMEROVILLE TO WAGON MOUND...AND ACROSS
TRUJILLO...TREMENTINA...BELL RANCH...CONCHAS LAKE STATE PARK...AND
STATE ROAD 104. STORMS CROSSING INTO NORTHERN SANDOVAL COUNTY WILL
MOVE TOWARD FENTON LAKE STATE PARK...JEMEZ SPRINGS...AND ACROSS STATE
ROAD 4. EXPECT LIGHTNING AND DOWNPOURS ALONG WITH SOME HAIL AND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH AS THESE STORMS MOVE THROUGH. HEAVIER RAINS WILL FILL
ARROYOS AND DITCHES AND BLOCK LOW WATER CROSSINGS. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND RAINFALL UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE EVENING.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
911 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMZ519>526-539-540-010430-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
ESTANCIA VALLEY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBUQUERQUE...LOS LUNAS...RIO RANCHO...
CARRIZOZO...CLINES CORNERS...ELK...GRAN QUIVIRA...
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...PICACHO...RUIDOSO...SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST...
TIJERAS...SOCORRO
911 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. A BROAD
AREA OF STORMS BLANKETING EASTERN SOCORRO COUNTY WILL MOVE ACROSS
INTERSTATE 25 FROM ELEPHANT BUTTE LAKE STATE PARK TO SOCORRO...OR
FROM MILE MARKER 100 TO MILE MARKER 150...AND ACROSS HIGHWAY 380
TOWARD BINGHAM...CLAUNCH...GRAN QUIVIRA...AND ON TO HIGHWAY 54 NEAR
CORONA...ANCHO...CARRIZOZO...AND OSCURO. A BROAD AREA OF STORMS
BLANKETING TORRANCE COUNTY WILL MOVE ACROSS ESTANCIA...WILLARD...
MOUNTAINAIR...CLINES CORNERS...HIGHWAY 60...AND INTERSTATE 40 FROM
MILE MARKER 190 TO MILE MARKER 240. MORE STORMS NEAR ENCINO WILL
MOVE TOWARD DURAN AND THE GUADALUPE COUNTY LINE. EXPECT LIGHTNING
AND DOWNPOURS ALONG WITH SOME HAIL AND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS THESE
STORMS MOVE THROUGH. HEAVIER RAINS WILL FILL ARROYOS AND DITCHES AND
BLOCK LOW WATER CROSSINGS. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING
AND RAINFALL UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH IN SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH
THE EVENING.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
911 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMZ533>538-010430-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLOVIS...FORT SUMNER...PORTALES...
ROSWELL...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI
911 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. A BROAD
AREA OF STORMS BLANKETING GUADALUPE COUNTY WILL MOVE ACROSS SANTA
ROSA...HIGHWAY 54...MILAGRO...PASTURA...VAUGHN...PUERTO DE LUNA...
AND MOVE TOWARD SUMNER LAKE STATE PARK...FORT SUMNER...AND HIGHWAY
60 ACROSS DE BACA COUNTY. EXPECT LIGHTNING AND DOWNPOURS ALONG WITH
SOME HAIL AND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS THESE STORMS MOVE THROUGH. HEAVIER
RAINS WILL FILL ARROYOS AND DITCHES AND BLOCK LOW WATER CROSSINGS.
ELSEWHERE...EXPECT OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND RAINFALL UP TO A TENTH OF
AN INCH IN SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE EVENING.

$$

SHY

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE