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155 AGUS74 KFWR 271617 HMDFWR HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX 1017 AM CST THU NOV 27 2014 VALID NOVEMBER 27 THROUGH DECEMBER 2 ...MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK... ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION... The northwesterly flow aloft will keep things cool and dry throughout the Thanksgiving Holiday. By Friday, the upper level pattern will transition to more zonal flow, allowing for a gradual warming trend. Low level southerly winds will return. Significant rainfall is not expected as the airmass will remain fairly dry with the exception of far East Texas. The next best chance for significant precipitation is maybe next Friday of next week beyond the scope of this forecast period. Happy and safe Thanksgiving Holidays to all. ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST... For Today into Friday morning, no significant Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area. For Friday into Saturday morning, no significant MAP amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area. For Saturday into Sunday morning, no significant MAP amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area. For Sunday into Tuesday morning, no significant MAP amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area. Moderate or worse drought conditions continue to be observed over parts of New Mexico and Texas. In Texas, about half the state is experiencing moderate or worse drought (43%) and 10% has extreme to exceptional drought. In New Mexico, nearly two thirds of the state is experiencing moderate or worse drought (63%) and 1.5% has extreme to exceptional drought. No doubt the rainfall which fell this past weekend was heavy enough to put a small dent in the drought, but likely did not eliminate these conditions. With minimal rainfall forecast the next 5 days, no new or additional runoff will occur. ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION... ...WGRFC Basins... All rivers are expected to remain at seasonal flows through the forecast period. ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION... The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts. This information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service, NOAA, and private sector entities. For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS pages from the local NWS offices at: http://water.weather.gov/ahps/ The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcfop The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.WGRFC.gov National Precipitation Analysis: http://water.weather.gov/precip/ The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcqpfpage The US Drought Assessment: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas: http://www.waterdatafortexas.org CAZIER $$


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