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...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

ISSUED: 1022 AM CST SAT MAR 2 2013
VALID: MARCH 2 THROUGH MARCH 7
Day 1 Surface Map Jump To Hydro Section Jump To Hydro Section
Day 2 Surface Map

Day 3 Surface Map

...DRY CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL INTO NEXT WEEK...

Northerly upper level flow will prevail across the region through Sunday, bringing cool and dry conditions to the WGRFC.

Upper level flow will become more zonal as a large upper level storm system moves from the Pacific Northwest and across the northern Rockies. As a result, winter precipitation will be on the increase over southern Colorado and northern New Mexico Sunday into Monday; however, precipitation amounts are expected to remain light. Zonal flow to weak ridging will prevail across the south central U.S. for the middle to end of next week, bringing dry and mild weather to the WGRFC region



...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...

Day 1: 24-Hour Rainfall Total Day 2: 24-Hour Rainfall Total

For Today into Sunday morning, no significant Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Sunday into Monday morning, no significant MAP amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.

Day 3: 24-Hour Rainfall Total Day 4-5: 48-Hour Rainfall Total

For Monday into Tuesday morning, no significant MAP amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Tuesday into Thursday morning, no significant MAP amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.

5 Day Total Rainfall Forecast

In New Mexico, most of the state remains in severe drought conditions, and in Texas, 50 percent of the state remains in severe to exceptional drought. Recent precipitation has helped, but significant improvements in the ongoing drought are not anticipated.

...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...

Current - Hydrology Of The Day
Current - Status Map

...Sabine Basin...
The water from the latest Toledo Bend release has arrived in Deweyville (DWYT2) but the river should stay inches below action stage as this wave moves through. The river will begin to fall again on Monday. No additional releases are expected until the lake elevation reaches 169.5 ft.

...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
No significant precipitation is forecast for the WGRFC over the next five days. Therefore, no significant flooding is in the forecast.

12z-24 Hour Rainfall Accumulation Total
Excessive Rainfall Forecast

5 Day River Flood Outlook Potential
Drought Monitor


Drought Outlook


...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...

The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts. This information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service, NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS pages from the local NWS offices at: http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.WGRFC.gov

National Precipitation Analysis: http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment: http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/drought_assessment.shtml

SHELTON

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