SR/MSD 99-1
7-1-99

Technical Attachment

National Weather Service Southern Region
Senior Forecaster
Severe Weather Warning and Short Term Forecasting Symposium

July 27-30, 1999
Clarion Hotel - Fort Worth, Texas

Tuesday July 27

800 AM Welcome and Introductions

830 AM On Improving National Weather Service Tornado Warnings

Don Burgess - OSF, Chief, Operations Training Branch

900 AM BREAK

915 AM On Improving National Weather Service Tornado Warnings, cont'd

Don Burgess - OSF, Chief, Operations Training Branch

1015 AM BREAK

1030 AM Warning Decision Making on May 3, 1999

Liz Quoetone - OSF, Operations Training Branch

David Andra - Science and Operations Officer, NWSFO Norman

1130 AM LUNCH

1245 PM AWIPS/D2D in Warning Operations: A Proposed Methodology

David Andra - Science and Operations Officer, NWSFO Norman

145 PM BREAK

200 PM AWIPS/D2D in Warning Operations: A Proposed Methodology, cont'd

David Andra - Science and Operations Officer, NWSFO Norman

300 PM BREAK

315 PM Use of AWIPS in a Major Tornado Outbreak - May 3, 1999

David Andra - Science and Operations Officer, NWSFO Norman

345 PM Development of Warning and Situational Awareness Procedures

David Andra - Science and Operations Officer, NWSFO Norman

430 PM ADJOURN

Wednesday July 28

800 AM Business and Announcements

815 AM Selected Topics in Southeastern United States Severe Weather

Kevin Knupp - University of Alabama at Huntsville

915 AM BREAK

930 AM An Introduction to the Spectrum of MCS Evolution

Ron Przybylinski - Science and Operations Officer, NWSFO St. Louis

1030 AM BREAK

1045 AM An Introduction to the Spectrum of MCS Evolution, cont'd

Ron Przybylinski - Science and Operations Officer, NWSFO St. Louis

1130 AM LUNCH

1245 PM Warning Difficulties Encountered with Non-Supercellular Tornadoes in the Southeast United States

Tom Bradshaw - Senior Forecaster, NWSFO Birmingham

100 PM Tropical Cyclone Induced Tornadoes

Pat Welsh - Science and Operations Officer, NWSO Jacksonville

130 PM Using Lightning Information for Local Severe Storm Discernment

Tim Troutman - Senior Forecaster, NWSO Melbourne

200 PM BREAK

215 PM NSSL/OSF Tornado Warning Guidance Overview

Greg Stumpf - National Severe Storms Laboratory

245 PM Storm Relative Helicity Variability, Low Level Vorticity Augmentation, and Implications for Tornado Forecasting

Paul Markowski - University of Oklahoma

345 PM BREAK

400 PM Storm Relative Helicity Variability, Low Level Vorticity Augmentation, and Implications for Tornado Forecasting, cont'd

Paul Markowski - University of Oklahoma

500 PM ADJOURN

Thursday July 29

800 AM Business and Announcements

815 AM Effective Communications in Warnings and Statements

Rick Smith - Performance and Evaluation Meteorologist, SRH, Ft. Worth

845 AM The Role of Spotter and Verification Networks in Improving Warning Verification

Gary Woodall - Warning Coordination Meteorologist, SRH, Ft. Worth

915 AM BREAK

930 AM Correlation Between a Tornado Damage Path and Associated Radar Signatures, with Resulting Implications to Pathcasts

Steve Piltz - Warning Coordination Meteorologist, NWSFO Tulsa

945 AM Quality Assurance Reports - A Comprehensive Post-Event Evaluation of Severe Weather Operations

Rich Pollman - Senior Forecaster, NWSO Morristown

1000 AM BREAK

1015 AM Situation Specific Severe Weather Warnings at NWSFO Tulsa

Rick Smith - Performance and Evaluation Meteorologist, SRH, Ft. Worth

Steve Piltz - Warning Coordination Meteorologist, NWSFO Tulsa

1045 AM Probabilistic Warnings: Innovation or Disaster?

Chuck Doswell - National Severe Storms Laboratory

1115 AM LUNCH

1215 PM The Role of Diagnosis in the Forecast Process

Al Moller - Senior Forecaster, NWSFO Fort Worth

115 PM BREAK

130 PM Use of Observational and Model Data in Short Term Convective Forecasting

Steve Weiss - Lead Forecaster, Storm Prediction Center

230 PM BREAK

245 PM Use of Observational and Model Data in Short Term Convective Forecasting, cont'd

Steve Weiss - Lead Forecaster, Storm Prediction Center

345 PM BREAK

Thursday July 29, cont'd

400 PM Comments from the Director

Jack Kelly - Director, National Weather Service

500 PM Questions and Answers with the Director

Jack Kelly - Director, National Weather Service

600 PM ADJOURN

700 PM Social/Dinner with Jack Kelly

Friday July 30

730 AM Business and Announcements

745 AM Media Interaction Workshop

Curtis Carey -NOAA/NWS Southern Region Public Affairs Officer

900 AM BREAK

915 AM Media Interaction Workshop, cont'd

Curtis Carey -NOAA/NWS Southern Region Public Affairs Officer

1015 AM BREAK

1030 AM Wrap-Up/Group Discussion

1230 PM ADJOURN