| Needing an Ark: June 18 - 23 An unusually strong 500 mb cyclone began developing in the upper midwest on the 18th, strengthening as it moved into the Northeast by the 21st (Figure 3). The system initially brought unseasonably cool air to much of the eastern U.S., courtesy of a Canadian high pressure ridge which slowly migrated through the Great Lakes region. The front which ushered in the cool air became stationary across south Georgia and Alabama, setting the stage for consecutive days of torrential daytime rains (Figure 4).
 Figures 3 and 4. 500 mb plot 12Z June 21, 2003 (left); Surface chart for 12Z June 21, 2003.
Upper level disturbances riding the inflection between the suppressed 500 mb ridge, which extended from Cuba through the Bahamas, combined with the eastern U.S. trough, focused the precipitation across Florida's Suncoast. Citrus County received the most rain, with more than 20 inches falling in some locations across the southern tier of the county. However, the greatest impact was felt across Southwest Florida's watershed.
A one-two punch of localized torrential rains on June 20 and 21 dropped between 10 and an estimated 15 inches at the mainstem of the Manatee and Myakka Rivers, unleashing record river flooding on each river soon after (Table 1, below). A spillover gate temporarily failed at Lake Manatee early on the 22nd, exacerbating flood conditions immediately downstream. Fortunately, the problem was fixed before major flooding could affect hundreds of downstream homes.
Such was not the case in Sarasota County, where at least 750 residences were affected for more than a week in North Port due to continued major flooding (Figure 5 at left) on the Myakka River. Freshwater flooding damaged 60 roads in Hardee County; at least five were washed out. Widespread sheet flow flooding was reported in Sarasota, Desoto, Charlotte, and Lee Counties, closing dozens of roads and flooding dozens of homes, some with more than 3 feet of water. |