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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
410 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-310815-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
410 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CAROLINAS WITH NORTHERLY WINDS ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM PULLING WINTER-LIKE CHILL INTO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FOR THIS WEEKEND. A
WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
AND THE TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS.

WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ON FRIDAY. AS THE COLD AIR
MOVES INTO THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING...THE RAIN WILL MIX WITH OR
CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS...FIRST AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS FRIDAY EVENING
FOLLOWED BY VALLEY LOCATIONS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...GENERALLY AT OR ABOVE
2500 FEET...FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. DECREASING MOISTURE WILL
LIKELY BRING DIMINISHING PRECIPITATION BY SATURDAY EVENING.

ACCUMULATIONS WILL DEPEND GREATLY ON ELEVATION. AT THIS
TIME...BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ABOVE 2500 FEET...WITH
UP TO 14 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHEST PEAKS OF THE TENNESSEE
MOUNTAINS. LOCATIONS IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND THE EAST TENNESSEE
MOUNTAINS BELOW 2500 FEET COULD RECEIVE 1 TO 4 INCHES. ROADS IN THE
MOUNTAINS MAY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK. PERSONS PLANNING ON
TRAVELING ON HIGHWAY 411 OVER THE SMOKY MOUNTAINS OR ROADWAYS
ACROSS HIGH KNOB...VIRGINIA NEED TO KEEP ABREAST OF THE POSSIBILITY
OF SNOW AND ICY ROADS. DOWNED TREES WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE
SNOW ACCUMULATING ON FOLIAGE STILL LEFT ON MANY TREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON SATURDAY FOR SNOWFALL REPORTS
ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

$$




Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
301 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALOFT WILL DROP SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE
GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FRIDAY NIGHT.
MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION WITH THIS SYSTEM FRIDAY
EVENING...GRADUALLY CHANGING RAIN TO SNOW FROM HIGHER ELEVATIONS
IN THE EVENING INTO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT. BRISK
NORTHWEST WINDS AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL ENHANCE SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET...ESPECIALLY ON NORTHWEST FACING
SLOPES. THE SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY DIMINISH BY
SATURDAY EVENING.


TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072-074-VAZ002-006-008-310400-
/O.UPG.KMRX.WS.A.0006.141101T0000Z-141102T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMRX.WS.W.0009.141101T0000Z-141102T0000Z/
JOHNSON-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST GREENE-UNICOI-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
WISE-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNTAIN CITY...COSBY...CEDAR CREEK...
ERWIN...ROAN MOUNTAIN...CADES COVE...GATLINBURG...WISE...NORTON...
LEBANON...ABINGDON
301 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM FRIDAY TO 8 PM SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM FRIDAY
TO 8 PM SATURDAY.

* EVENT...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED FOR MOST LOCATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET. LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS UP TO A FOOT OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHEST
  PEAKS ABOVE 5000 FEET. ELEVATIONS BELOW 2500 FEET SHOULD RECEIVE
  BETWEEN 1 AND 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...RAIN WILL INITIALLY CHANGE TO SNOW FRIDAY EVENING OVER
  THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH THE SNOW LEVEL LOWERING DOWN INTO
  VALLEY LOCATIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS WILL LIKELY
  CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS...BEFORE
  DIMINISHING SATURDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS ON ROADS ACROSS
  THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND EAST TENNESSEE.
  DOWNED TREES WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE SNOW ACCUMULATING ON
  FOLIAGE STILL LEFT ON MANY TREES. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IN ADDITION...
SNOWFALL INTENSITIES WILL BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED. IF TRAVEL IS
UNAVOIDABLE...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

DMG




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