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Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1225 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-300700-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
1225 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

.NOW...

AT 12:15 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS DETECTED SOME
LINGERING LIGHT RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...EAST OF
THE I-49 CORRIDOR. A COLD FRONT WAS APPROACHING FROM THE
NORTHWEST...WITH SOME SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG IT
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

THROUGH 2 AM...THE RAIN OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ON THE BACK SIDE
OF A MID LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL ARKANSAS SHOULD GRADUALLY
DISSIPATE OR MOVE EAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG A COLD
FRONT WILL IMPACT AREAS TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF TULSA.

$$

LACY





Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1206 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1206 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

...AREAL FLOODING TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE HEAVY RAINS HAVE ENDED ACROSS THE REGION. HOWEVER...AREAL
FLOODING NEAR THE MAIN STEM RIVERS AND LAKES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
TIME BEING...ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKES EUFAULA...WISTER AND HUGO.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A QUIETER UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS
COMPARED TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED DURING THE MONTH OF MAY. ONLY LOW
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE IN THE FORECAST FOR PARTS OF THE AREA
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
PLEASE NOTE THAT AREAL FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO NEXT
WEEK...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE AREA LAKES AND ARE NEAR OR OVER FULL
CAPACITY...AND RIVERS THAT HAVE BEEN IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF AT
LEAST MODERATE FLOODING.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY






Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
932 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301045-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-150531T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
932 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...

  IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
  MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON...

  IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR...CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CRAIG...CREEK...
  DELAWARE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...
  MUSKOGEE...NOWATA...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...
  PAWNEE...PITTSBURG...PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA...
  WAGONER AND WASHINGTON.

* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* THE CURRENT RAINFALL WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT FROM WEST TO EAST
  ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. BUT UNTIL IT
  DOES EVEN THE MODERATE AMOUNTS FALLING WILL CAUSE FLOODING GIVEN
  THE SATURATED CONDITIONS.

  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
  MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT ARRIVES.
  WHILE THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LONG AND NOT BE
  WIDESPREAD IN COVERAGE...ANY QUICK FALLS OF RAIN WILL CAUSE
  FLASH FLOODING.

  ADDITIONALLY..RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
  OKLAHOMA AND INTO SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS TOWARD MORNING AS A STORM
  COMPLEX TRACKS ACROSS TEXAS.

  THE RAINFALL POTENTIAL LOOKS LIMITED IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
  NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY AND THIS WATCH
  COULD BE CANCELED EARLY IF THAT TREND CONTINUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED. HAVE A MEANS OF RECEIVING ANY WARNINGS ISSUED OVERNIGHT
SUCH AS A WEATHER RADIO.

&&

$$








Flood Warning

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
920 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-OKC001-021-023-035-041-061-077-079-
091-097-101-105-107-111-115-121-127-131-135-143-145-301400-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FA.W.0028.150530T0220Z-150530T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-MADISON AR-SEBASTIAN AR-
WASHINGTON AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-DELAWARE OK-HASKELL OK-
LE FLORE OK-MCINTOSH OK-MAYES OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-OKFUSKEE OK-
OKMULGEE OK-OTTAWA OK-PITTSBURG OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-
SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-LATIMER OK-ADAIR OK-
920 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  ADAIR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  CRAIG COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  EASTERN OKFUSKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  EASTERN TULSA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  HASKELL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  LATIMER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  LE FLORE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MCINTOSH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MUSKOGEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  NOWATA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  OKMULGEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  OTTAWA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  PITTSBURG COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  PUSHMATAHA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  ROGERS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  SEBASTIAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  SEQUOYAH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  WAGONER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 900 AM CDT SATURDAY

* HEAVY RAINFALL AGAIN FELL ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN
  OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS WITH
  AMOUNTS RANGING UP TO THREE INCHES.  SCATTERED AREAS OF
  RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY IN THE AREA FOR
  THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WHICH WILL LOCALLY ADD TO THE AMOUNTS.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE
  FLOODING TO OCCUR IN LOW AREAS... ALONG CREEKS AND DRAINAGE
  DITCHES AND NEAR PONDS... LAKES AND RIVERS. A NUMBER OF RURAL
  ROADS ARE EITHER FLOODED OR CLOSED.  SEE THE SPECIFIC WARNING
  FOR INFORMATION PERTAINING TO THE ONGOING MAINSTEM RIVER FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

LOW WATER CROSSINGS IN HILLY TERRAIN ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS IN
HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND
ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER
TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3394 9594 3459 9568 3471 9610 3528 9599
      3529 9641 3644 9580 3700 9579 3701 9462
      3651 9461 3649 9329 3612 9329 3612 9347
      3577 9351 3576 9369 3538 9370 3492 9444
      3450 9447 3450 9504 3394 9515 3386 9539

$$









Flood Warning

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
903 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015



...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the
following rivers in Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties.

ARC033-OKC135-301003-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-150602T2000Z/
/VBRA4.2.ER.150525T0044Z.150531T1200Z.150602T1400Z.UU/
903 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for
 The Lee Creek near Van Buren
* until Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:02 PM Friday, the stage was 401.40 feet.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 406.0 feet, Tailwater Park is inundated by high water.
  Permanent structures in the park are damaged. Recreational vehicles
  in a campground near Rena Road may be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$





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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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