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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
504 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
504 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA
ONSET...TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPMENT TODAY AND
A LITTLE BIT BETTER CHANCE TONIGHT AS A WEAK UPPER WAVE MOVES ACROSS
THE AREA. ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP TONIGHT MAY BECOME STRONG
BUT GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW SEVERE THRESHOLDS. SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS
WILL LEAD TO RAPID WATER RUNOFF AND POTENTIAL FLOODING FROM ANY STRONG
THUNDERSTORM.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE IN THE FORECAST EVERY DAY FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE GREATEST THREAT OF STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER WAVE AND SATURDAY
WHEN THE UPPER WAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

UNTIL OUR AREA DRIES OUT...ANY THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER WILL CAUSE
RENEWED FLOODING CONCERNS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







Flood Warning

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
232 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015


...Observed flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the
following rivers in Arkansas...Oklahoma...
  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties.

ARC033-OKC135-261532-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-150527T1500Z/
/VBRA4.2.ER.150525T0044Z.150526T0627Z.150527T0900Z.UU/
232 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

...Observed flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for
 The Lee Creek near Van Buren
* until Wednesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:27 AM Tuesday, the stage was 404.70 feet.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring with the river right at crest.
* Forecast...The Lee Creek near Van Buren will fall to
  below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 404.0 feet, Tailwater Park is inundated. Some permanent
  structures in the park are flooded. A recreational vehicle
  campground near Rena Road may be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$





Flood Warning

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
834 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-OKC001-021-023-035-041-061-077-079-
091-097-101-105-107-111-115-121-127-131-135-145-270130-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FA.W.0025.150526T0134Z-150527T0130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-MADISON AR-SEBASTIAN AR-
WASHINGTON AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-DELAWARE OK-HASKELL OK-
LE FLORE OK-MCINTOSH OK-MAYES OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-OKFUSKEE OK-
OKMULGEE OK-OTTAWA OK-PITTSBURG OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-
SEQUOYAH OK-WAGONER OK-LATIMER OK-ADAIR OK-
834 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  ADAIR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  CRAIG COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  EASTERN OKMULGEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  EASTERN ROGERS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  HASKELL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  LATIMER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  LE FLORE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MCINTOSH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MUSKOGEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  OTTAWA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  PITTSBURG COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  PUSHMATAHA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  SEBASTIAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  SEQUOYAH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHEASTERN NOWATA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHEASTERN OKFUSKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  WAGONER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 830 PM CDT TUESDAY

* AT 832 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS EXITING THE WARNED AREA...WITH SOME POCKETS OF LIGHT
TO MODERATE RAIN ONGOING.

THE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE WEEKEND INTO TODAY HAS CAUSED AREA
LAKES...SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING
AREAS AS WELL AS THE MAJOR RIVERS TO FLOOD. THIS FLOODING WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK. AREA LAKES ARE NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY OVER FULL CAPACITY. HIGH RELEASES ARE REQUIRED AND THIS MAY
FLOOD THE DOWNSTREAM RIVER. ALSO...TRIBUTARIES THAT FEED INTO THESE
RESERVOIRS WILL ALSO BACK UP AND FLOOD UNTIL LAKE LEVELS GET UNDER
CONTROL.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING TO OCCUR.
  SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...ANTLERS...
  BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...CEDARVILLE...CHARLESTON...CLAYTON...
  EUFAULA...EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT SMITH...HUGO...
  HUNTSVILLE...JAY...MCALESTER...MIAMI...MOUNTAINBURG...MUSKOGEE...
  NATURAL DAM...OZARK...POTEAU...PRYOR...ROGERS...SALLISAW...SILOAM
  SPRINGS...SPRINGDALE...STIGLER...STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH...VAN BUREN
  AND VINITA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

&&

LAT...LON 3386 9581 3416 9598 3417 9578 3459 9568
      3468 9610 3528 9599 3529 9616 3598 9569
      3701 9540 3700 9462 3651 9461 3650 9330
      3612 9329 3577 9351 3576 9369 3538 9370
      3492 9444 3451 9446 3450 9504 3393 9516

$$

LACY









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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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