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4 products issued by NWS for:

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
722 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291400-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
722 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.NOW...

AT 7:22 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH...AROUND
30 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 9:00 AM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT...WITH BETWEEN A FEW
HUNDREDTHS...TO A TENTH OF AN INCH PER HOUR. ANY STRONGER CELLS
COULD PRODUCE A QUICK DOWNPOUR...WITH AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH
POSSIBLE. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY...ANY POCKETS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

$$

16





Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
511 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
511 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...FLOODING THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...LOCALLY THIS MORNING...LARGER THREAT TONIGHT.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS ARE FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FLOODING IS LIKELY. AREAL FLOODING NEAR THE MAIN STEM RIVERS
AND LAKES WILL CONTINUE AS WELL. THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL
REMAIN LIMITED DUE TO WEAKER WINDS ALOFT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY THRU THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

A QUIETER UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS
OVERALL COMPARED TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED DURING THE MONTH OF MAY.
ONLY LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE IN THE FORECAST THROUGH NEXT
WEEK. AREAL FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE HOWEVER...ESPECIALLY
NEAR LAKES WHICH ARE NEAR OR OVER FULL CAPACITY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY





Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
429 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

OKZ049-053>076-291730-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-150531T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...HUGO...PAWHUSKA...
BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...
CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...
TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...
MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
429 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
  SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST
  CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...CHEROKEE...MUSKOGEE...OKFUSKEE AND
  SEQUOYAH. IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...ADAIR...CRAIG...CREEK...
  DELAWARE...MAYES...NOWATA...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...
  PAWNEE...ROGERS...TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON. IN SOUTHEAST
  OKLAHOMA...CHOCTAW...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE...MCINTOSH...
   PITTSBURG AND PUSHMATAHA.

* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
  CONTINUE TO EXPAND ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING THROUGH
  EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY
  RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT WILL IMPACT EASTERN
  OKLAHOMA TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCH
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
  INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO
  LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND.

THE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE PAST WEEK HAS CAUSED AREA LAKES...
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING AREAS
AS WELL AS THE MAJOR RIVERS TO FLOOD. THIS FLOODING WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MANY AREA LAKES ARE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY
OVER FULL CAPACITY. HIGH RELEASES ARE REQUIRED AND THIS MAY FLOOD
THE DOWNSTREAM RIVER. ALSO...TRIBUTARIES THAT FEED INTO THESE
RESERVOIRS WILL BACK UP AND FLOOD UNTIL LAKE LEVELS GET UNDER
CONTROL. ROADS NEAR THESE LAKES MAY BE UNDER WATER DUE TO FLOODING
FROM THESE LAKES...ESPECIALLY EUFAULA...WISTER... SARDIS AND HUGO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE
ROAD...THE ROAD MAY BE WASHED OUT UNDERNEATH THE RUSHING WATER.
TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL
THE WATER RECEDES.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED.  HAVE A MEANS OF RECEIVING ANY WARNINGS ISSUED OVERNIGHT
SUCH AS A WEATHER RADIO.

&&

$$










Flood Warning

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
913 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-OKC001-021-023-035-041-061-077-079-
091-097-101-105-107-111-115-121-127-131-135-145-300230-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FA.W.0026.000000T0000Z-150530T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-MADISON AR-SEBASTIAN AR-
WASHINGTON AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-DELAWARE OK-HASKELL OK-
LE FLORE OK-MCINTOSH OK-MAYES OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-OKFUSKEE OK-
OKMULGEE OK-OTTAWA OK-PITTSBURG OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-
SEQUOYAH OK-WAGONER OK-LATIMER OK-ADAIR OK-
913 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  ADAIR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  CRAIG COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  EASTERN OKMULGEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  EASTERN ROGERS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  HASKELL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  LATIMER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  LE FLORE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MCINTOSH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MUSKOGEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  OTTAWA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  PITTSBURG COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  PUSHMATAHA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  SEBASTIAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  SEQUOYAH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHEASTERN NOWATA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHEASTERN OKFUSKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  WAGONER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT FRIDAY

* AT 912 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
NO RAINFALL WAS FALLING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.

THE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE PAST WEEK HAS CAUSED AREA LAKES...SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING AREAS AS WELL
AS THE MAJOR RIVERS TO FLOOD. THIS FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR
MUCH OF THIS WEEK. AREA LAKES ARE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY OVER FULL
CAPACITY. HIGH RELEASES ARE REQUIRED AND THIS MAY FLOOD THE
DOWNSTREAM RIVER. ALSO...TRIBUTARIES THAT FEED INTO THESE RESERVOIRS
WILL ALSO BACK UP AND FLOOD UNTIL LAKE LEVELS GET UNDER CONTROL.
ROADS NEAR THESE LAKES MAY BE UNDER WATER DUE TO FLOODING FROM THESE
LAKES...ESPECIALLY EUFAULA...WISTER...SARDIS AND HUGO.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING TO OCCUR.
  SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...ANTLERS...
  BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...CEDARVILLE...CHARLESTON...CLAYTON...
  EUFAULA...EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT SMITH...HUGO...
  HUNTSVILLE...JAY...MCALESTER...MIAMI...MOUNTAINBURG...MUSKOGEE...
  NATURAL DAM...OZARK...POTEAU...PRYOR...ROGERS...SALLISAW...SILOAM
  SPRINGS...SPRINGDALE...STIGLER...STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH...VAN BUREN
  AND VINITA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

&&

LAT...LON 3577 9351 3576 9369 3538 9370 3492 9444
      3451 9446 3450 9504 3393 9516 3386 9581
      3415 9599 3417 9578 3459 9568 3468 9610
      3528 9599 3529 9613 3602 9568 3700 9540
      3700 9462 3651 9461 3650 9330 3612 9329

$$









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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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