Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
815 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-260230-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
815 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013

.NOW...
AT 8:11 PM... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
DIMINISHING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA... MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 75.

THROUGH 9:30 PM... ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE DIMINISHING OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA... WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WIND GUST COULD OCCUR
PRIOR TO THUNDERSTORMS ENDING.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  A GRADUAL INCREASE IN COVERAGE IS EXPECTED
ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER THIS EVENING.  AMPLE
INSTABILITY IS AVAILABLE FOR A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...
HOWEVER A LACK OF STRONGER WINDS ALOFT WILL LIMIT THE SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL.  THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
SMALL HAIL AND POSSIBLY LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.  THE RISK
OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL LESSEN FURTHER DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED GIVEN THE ISOLATED
COVERAGE OF THE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY AS A SLOW MOVING
DISTURBANCE CROSSES SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.  WARMER AND WINDY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR MID TO LATE WEEK AS A STRONGER
STORM SYSTEM SPREADS INTO THE PLAINS STATES.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$