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2 products issued by NWS for:

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
300 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-032130-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
300 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.NOW...

AT 3:00 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. A FEW
STRONGER STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 44 IN
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST...AROUND 25 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 4:30 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH AMOUNTS
GENERALLY BETWEEN A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH PER HOUR. AS
DAYTIME HEATING INCREASES...THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE
PREVALENT. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH
THE MAIN THREATS BEING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS.
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE LIKELY.

$$

16




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1255 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-040945-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1255 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

DISCUSSION... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...IN THE VICINITY OF A LINGERING WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR AS WELL...WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME FLASH
FLOODING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD WEAKEN LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE
LOSS OF HEATING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS NORTHWEST
FLOW REMAINS ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
ARRIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
WESTERLY AND A FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
WILL BE INCREASED WITH THE EARLY WEEK STORMS. A GENERAL DRYING
TREND WILL OCCUR TOWARD THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING RETURNS TO THE REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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