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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
123 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-081045-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
123 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD AND HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
AREA AT GREATEST RISK...EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
MAIN AREA...EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY FROM SOUTHWEST
THROUGH EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  TROPICAL
MOISTURE  LIFTING OVER THAT BOUNDARY  WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
HEAVY RAINFALL  AND  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. RAINFALL RATES OF
ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON.  A SURFACE WAVE MOVING ALONG
THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON  AND  TONIGHT WILL EXPAND THE AREA OF
HEAVY RAIN  AND  ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES. THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD
TO WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING FOR NORTHEAST...EAST
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA  AND  NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN
IN EFFECT FOR THAT AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED. SOME WATER RESCUES CAN BE
ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL CONTINUES WEDNESDAY IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THE FRONTAL WAVE.   THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM  POTENTIAL
BECOMES CONFINED TO AREAS  NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER... BEFORE
EXITING THE REGION BY FRIDAY.

A MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL SET UP OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS
WEEKEND...LEADING TO SEVERAL DAYS OF HOT AND HUMID WEATHER.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
304 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING REMAINS LIKELY FOR PARTS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TODAY. THE FRONT WILL
STALL LATE THIS EVENING...AND A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE FRONT...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN TO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND INTO
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BE ON TOP OF RAIN THAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN
...AS WELL AS RAIN FROM THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY. FLASH
FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE THE RESULT BY THE TIME THE RAIN FINALLY
TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-OKZ054>074-081000-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-150709T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-
NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-
OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER
304 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...
  CRAWFORD...MADISON AND WASHINGTON AR. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR...
  CHEROKEE...CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL...MAYES...
  MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...
  OTTAWA...PAWNEE...PITTSBURG...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA...
  WAGONER AND WASHINGTON OK.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* A SWATH OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN IS FORECAST ALONG AND ON
  EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM NEAR LAKE EUFAULA NORTHEASTWARD
  TOWARD BENTONVILLE AND ROGERS...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES EXPECTED TO
  FALL AS FAR NORTH AS A PAWNEE TO BARTLESVILLE LINE. SOME
  ISOLATED LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE AS MUCH AS 10 INCHES OF
  RAINFALL BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING WILL
  LIKELY BE THE RESULT.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

&&

$$




Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
256 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-072200-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
256 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.NOW...
AT 2:56 PM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. A BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN EXTENDED FROM NEAR STIDHAM IN
EASTERN OKLAHOMA TO AROUND MARBLE IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. GENERAL
MOVEMENT WAS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST.

THROUGH 5:00 PM...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR THE MAJORITY OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE BAND OF HEAVIER RAINS WILL GRADUALLY LIFT
NORTHWARD DURING THIS TIME..IMPACTING MORE OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...WHILE CONTINUING TO AFFECT THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF
ARKANSAS. THE RELATIVELY SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS BAND AND CONTINUED
HOURLY RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL MAINTAIN
A HIGHTENED FLOOD THREAT. OUTSIDE OF THIS BAND HOURLY RAINFALL
RATES OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH WILL BE COMMON.

$$




Flash Flood Warning

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
OKC021-037-061-091-097-101-107-111-121-135-145-080230-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FF.W.0112.150707T1901Z-150708T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
201 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  OKFUSKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTH CENTRAL MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  NORTHWESTERN HASKELL COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHERN WAGONER COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  NORTHWESTERN PITTSBURG COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  MUSKOGEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTH CENTRAL CREEK COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  WESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  NORTHWESTERN SEQUOYAH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  OKMULGEE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  MCINTOSH COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT TUESDAY

* AT 159 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE HEAVY RAIN
  ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN
  IN SOME LOCATIONS.  FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY DEVELOP WITH AN
  ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  MUSKOGEE...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...OKEMAH...EUFAULA...OKFUSKEE...
  HENRYETTA...FORT GIBSON...CHECOTAH...HASKELL...WARNER...MORRIS...
  BEGGS...BOLEY...WELEETKA...GORE...DEWAR...PORUM...OKAY AND WEBBERS
  FALLS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3552 9662 3615 9510 3581 9513 3538 9505
      3507 9606 3512 9603 3512 9601 3515 9601
      3515 9598 3529 9598 3529 9644 3546 9644
      3546 9647 3543 9650 3545 9655 3544 9657
      3541 9654 3539 9654 3541 9658 3540 9662

$$




Flash Flood Warning

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
ARC007-015-033-087-143-OKC001-021-041-061-097-101-135-080230-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FF.W.0111.150707T1843Z-150708T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
143 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...
  BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...
  CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...
  MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  NORTH CENTRAL HASKELL COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  NORTHEASTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  SEQUOYAH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  ADAIR COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT TUESDAY

* AT 135 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE HEAVY RAIN
  ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN
  IN SOME LOCATIONS AND SEVERAL ROADS ARE IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH
  WATER.  FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1
  TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...TAHLEQUAH...
  SILOAM SPRINGS...SALLISAW...BERRYVILLE...STILWELL...JAY...
  HUNTSVILLE...EUREKA SPRINGS...CEDARVILLE...MOUNTAINBURG...NATURAL
  DAM...BELLA VISTA...LOWELL...FARMINGTON...PEA RIDGE AND PRAIRIE
  GROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.


&&

LAT...LON 3612 9348 3597 9345 3588 9352 3576 9352
      3577 9391 3566 9398 3566 9407 3558 9407
      3553 9404 3553 9408 3539 9505 3581 9513
      3583 9518 3613 9512 3616 9501 3639 9494
      3656 9462 3650 9462 3650 9330 3612 9330

$$




Flash Flood Warning

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
OKC091-101-111-072300-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FF.W.0109.150707T1627Z-150707T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1127 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  MUSKOGEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHEASTERN OKMULGEE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  MCINTOSH COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT TUESDAY

* AT 1125 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE
  WARNED AREA. UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH
  FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...HENRYETTA...FORT GIBSON...CHECOTAH...WARNER...
  MORRIS...DEWAR...WEBBERS FALLS...SCHULTER...OKTAHA...BRAGGS...
  BOYNTON...GRAYSON...COUNCIL HILL...HANNA...RENTIESVILLE...
  HOFFMAN...STIDHAM AND LAKE EUFAULA STATE PARK.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3553 9608 3581 9530 3581 9516 3561 9512
      3553 9513 3548 9510 3515 9595 3515 9598
      3538 9598 3538 9609

$$




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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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