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2 products issued by NWS for: Tulsa OK

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
451 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
451 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING HOURS...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...LATE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
    RISK...ELEVATED.
    AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
    ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP ALONG AND NEAR A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT STRETCHED
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE MAIN
SEVERE RISK WILL BE DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SINK SOUTH DURING THE
EVENING HOURS...AND SLOWLY WEAKEN WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM FOR A LARGE
PART OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL...GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

ADDITIONALLY...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2
INCHES. THE FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN LOCATIONS WHERE
REPEATED ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE OCCURED.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WHICH WILL
TEMPER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SOME DURING THE DAY. ANOTHER UPPER
WAVE AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...
RESULTING IN DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




Severe Thunderstorm Watch

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 386...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
403 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-OKC001-021-035-037-041-061-077-079-
091-097-101-105-107-111-113-115-117-121-131-135-143-145-147-
030200-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.A.0386.000000T0000Z-150703T0200Z/

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 386 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

BENTON                CARROLL               CRAWFORD
MADISON               WASHINGTON

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS

FRANKLIN              SEBASTIAN

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 23 COUNTIES

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

CHEROKEE              MUSKOGEE              OKFUSKEE
SEQUOYAH

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

ADAIR                 CRAIG                 CREEK
DELAWARE              MAYES                 NOWATA
OKMULGEE              OSAGE                 OTTAWA
PAWNEE                ROGERS                TULSA
WAGONER               WASHINGTON

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

HASKELL               LATIMER               LE FLORE
MCINTOSH              PITTSBURG

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BARTLESVILLE...BENTONVILLE...
BERRYVILLE...BRISTOW...CHARLESTON...CLAREMORE...EUFAULA...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT SMITH...HUNTSVILLE...JAY...
MCALESTER...MIAMI...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
OZARK...PAWHUSKA...PAWNEE...POTEAU...PRYOR...ROGERS...SALLISAW...
SPRINGDALE...STIGLER...STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH...TULSA...VAN BUREN...
VINITA...WAGONER AND WILBURTON.

$$




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