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2 products issued by NWS for: Tulsa OK

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
229 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-270830-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...GROVE...JAY...SAPULPA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...
CHECOTAH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
229 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2016

.NOW...
AT 2:25 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED A
FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...MAINLY
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44...AND A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER EASTERN
CARROLL AND EASTERN MADISON COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ALL OF
THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING OFF TO THE EAST AROUND 15 MPH.

THROUGH 3:30 AM...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH THE POTENTIAL
OF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY
WINDS WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.


$$




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
448 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
448 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA ALONG A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY. THE
COMBINATION OF MODERATELY STRONG INSTABILITY AND WEAK WIND SHEAR
ACROSS THE REGION WILL SUPPORT AN ISOLATED...SHORT-LIVED SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING DOWNBURST WIND. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. IN ADDITION TO A LIMITED SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL DUE TO
SLOW STORM MOVEMENT CAN BE EXPECTED.

THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S AND HIGH HUMIDITY HAS
RESULTED IN HEAT INDEX VALUES FROM THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 105 ACROSS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BY LATE EVENING

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY AS A SLOW MOVING WEAK COLD
FRONT PUSHES SOUTHWARD. THIS BOUNDARY WILL FOCUS THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
PRIMARILY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 ON TUESDAY...BEFORE THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES RETURN AREA WIDE WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY COOLER DURING THE WEEK COMPARED TO RECENT
DAYS.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

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