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2 products issued by NWS for: Tulsa OK

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
102 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-242015-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-
MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-
MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...GROVE...JAY...SAPULPA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...
CHECOTAH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
102 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

.NOW...
AT 1:02 PM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AT AROUND
20 MPH.

THROUGH 3:15 PM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE AREA...WITH THE COMBINATION OF SURFACE HEATING AND AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY FOCUS
FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WHERE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE.

$$




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1245 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1245 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...

AN UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED AIR-MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA
TODAY.  SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE.

ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AS AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. THESE STORMS WILL POSE A THREAT FOR VERY
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ALONG WITH A LIMITED TORNADO THREAT
NEAR THE BOUNDARY.

ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE DRY LINE
WELL TO OUR WEST THIS AFTERNOON.  A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD
EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. AT THIS TIME THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS LIMITED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN HIGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...SUPPORTING
PERIODIC CHANCES FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER. HOWEVER...THE
FOCUS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN WEST AND
NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY...RAISING THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




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