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2 products issued by NWS for: Tulsa OK

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
922 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
922 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 4 AM.

DISCUSSION...
MOIST AND SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT. THIS AIR MASS WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE NIGHT AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES THROUGH THE AREA.
THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
TO 65 MPH.

CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WIND WILL PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOG LATE
TONIGHT IN NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED
RAINFALL ON FRIDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL IMPROVE BY 9 AM.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. MODERATELY STRONG
INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH WEAK WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT LIMITED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL BOTH DAYS. ISOLATED DAMAGING DOWNBURST WIND
WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK. THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASES EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY AND A FRONT
MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL BE INCREASED WITH
THE EARLY WEEK STORMS AND LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

69




Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
220 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-040930-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
220 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.NOW...

AT 2:20 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...GENERALLY TO THE SOUTH OF A MCALESTER TO POTEAU LINE.
ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 25
MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 4:30 AM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. A BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOUR CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THE STORMS...ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS.

$$




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