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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
531 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011045-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
531 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL
AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
 AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTH OF I-40...LESSER COVERAGE SOUTH OF I-40
ONSET...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...

WHILE A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE KANSAS
BORDER THIS MORNING...THE BEST COVERAGE IS EXPECTED DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
IN ADVANCE OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. ISOLATED AFTERNOON STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO THE SOUTH OF I-40 AS WELL. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD
GRADUALLY DIE OFF AFTER SUNSET...WITH ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT. GUSTY WINDS IN THE 40
TO 50 MPH RANGE...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING
WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100
DEGREES...ESPECIALLY DOWN NEAR THE RED RIVER. CONDITIONS SHOULD
IMPROVE BY SUNSET THIS EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THRU MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

THE BETTER THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL SHIFT SOUTH OF I-40 ON
THURSDAY WITH THE FRONT. ONCE AGAIN...GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE REGION.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY




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