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2 products issued by NWS for:

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
857 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251600-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...GROVE...JAY...SAPULPA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...
CHECOTAH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
857 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2016

.NOW...

AT 8:57 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A
LINE FROM NOWATA TO OKEMAH. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD
THE EAST...AROUND 20 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 11:00 AM...SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA. THE
BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL LIE NEAR THE KANSAS
BORDER...AND EXTEND INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS. WIDESPREAD STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...HOWEVER A FEW STRONGER CELLS
COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...AS WELL AS LIGHTNING AND LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

16




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
436 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-260945-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
436 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED TO ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EARLY AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING EARLY THIS MORNING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND INTO SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN KANSAS. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OR MOVE
INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER THIS
MORNING...WITH COVERAGE LIKELY TO BE FAIRLY LIMITED.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
DAY...AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT A FEW OF THE
STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS.

TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN THE
AREA HAS SEEN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS DUE TO INCREASED CLOUD COVER
AND THE WEAKENING RIDGE. MAXIMUM AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL
BE IN THE 100 TO 105 RANGE IN MOST SPOTS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
INCREASED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WORK
WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND...AS THE RIDGE ESTABLISHES ITSELF
ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. THE LATTER PART OF THE WORK WEEK
SHOULD FEATURE THE HIGHEST THUNDERSTORM CHANCES...IN ADDITION TO
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...AS NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS REGION.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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