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2 products issued by NWS for:

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
250 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-312200-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-
MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-
MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...GROVE...JAY...SAPULPA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...
CHECOTAH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
250 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.NOW...
AT 2:50 PM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY WAS
ALSO NEARING WESTERN SEBASTIAN COUNTY OF WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
THERE ARE ALSO INDICATIONS OF NEW DEVELOPMENT FURTHER TO THE NORTH
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS
MOVING OFF TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT AROUND 15 MPH.

THROUGH 5:00 PM...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. ADDITIONALLY...NEW SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTH OF A PAWNEE TO
MIAMI LINE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS THAT OCCUR.

$$




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
106 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
106 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING...ENDING BY MIDNIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING...WITH MORE
CONCENTRATION EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS. A FEW STORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LIMITS...WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREATS. A WIDESPREAD AND ORGANIZED
SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS NOT EXPECTED HOWEVER.

STORMS TODAY HAVE HAD A HISTORY OF PRODUCING HIGH RAIN RATES. ANY
STORMS THAT CAN TRAIN OVER AREAS AFFECTED BY PREVIOUS STORMS WILL
PRODUCE A FLASH FLOOD THREAT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY THRU SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS
A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS COMBINES WITH A WEAK UPPER
DISTURBANCE AND A STALLED FRONT. A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...BUT A WIDESPREAD AND ORGANIZED SEVERE EVENT IS NOT
EXPECTED. SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. DRY
WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY




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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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