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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
814 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
813 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EXTREME NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS FAR
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND EXTREME NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY NOW ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LIFTS BACK TO THE NORTH.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS
EXTREME NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH BY NOON. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN THE NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT AFFECTS THE REGION.  INSTABILITY INTERACTING WITH THE
DISTURBANCE COULD ALLOW FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME STRONG TO
POTENTIALLY SEVERE. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS WEAK UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES MOVE THROUGH THE PLAINS
WITHIN THE UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES QUICKLY RETURN AND INCREASE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO THE WEEKEND AS A MORE DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD
FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE PLAINS. TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE ODILE IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE FRONT
AND INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL SATURDAY ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$







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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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