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2 products issued by NWS for:

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
257 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-242130-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
257 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

.NOW...

AT 2:57 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PUSHING ACROSS FAR
EASTERN OKLAHOMA...AND INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS. THE LINE EXTENDED
FROM PEORIA IN OTTAWA COUNTY...SOUTH TOWARD HIGGINS IN LATIMER
COUNTY. THE STRONGER SECTION OF THE LINE EXTENDED FROM NEAR MARBLE
CITY...TO WILBURTON. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE
EAST...AROUND 40 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 4:30 PM...THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...AND INTO WESTERN
ARKANSAS. THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS ALONG AND
EAST OF A FAIRLAND...TO CLAYTON LINE. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL
LIKELY REMAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WITHIN
SEQUOYAH...HASKELL...LATIMER...AND LE FLORE COUNTIES. THEY WILL
MOVE INTO CRAWFORD...SEBASTIAN...AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES OVER THE
NEXT HOUR. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE LIKELY.

$$

16





Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
255 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
255 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A COLD FRONT WILL POSE AN ELEVATED
RISK OF SEVERE HAIL AND WIND THIS AFTERNOON. THE AREA WITH GREATEST
RISK WILL REMAIN ALONG OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES EAST ACROSS FAR
EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WHERE
INSTABILITY WILL BE MAXIMIZED.

ADDITIONALLY...SOUTHERLY WINDS...NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORMS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL GUST TO NEAR 30 MPH AT TIMES. BEHIND THE
FRONT...NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON MAY GUST
INTO THE 35 TO 40 MPH RANGE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

AN ELEVATED RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL COME WHEN THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES
INTO THE PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND. THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE ON SUNDAY...INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS. SOME RISK OF STORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AS WELL. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST
FORECASTS AS THE WEEKEND APPROACHES AND THE DETAILS BECOME BETTER
DEFINED.

INCREASED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON ALONG AND TO THE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44 DUE TO
STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$







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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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