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3 products issued by NWS for:

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1225 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-071930-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1225 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.NOW...
AT 12:25 PM...RADARS DETECTED A LINE OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
OCCURRING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY REMAINED STRETCHED FROM CARROLL COUNTY IN
ARKANSAS ...SOUTHWEST THROUGH MCINTOSH COUNTY IN OKLAHOMA. OTHER
SCATTERED ACTIVITY WAS NOTED TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE MAIN
BAND OF RAIN. CELL MOVEMENT WAS TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THROUGH 1:30 PM...THE LINE OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...WITH A FEW
RUMBLES OF THUNDER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. AREAL MOVEMENT WILL BE VERY SLOW TO THE
NORTH...WITH CELL MOVEMENT TO REMAIN TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH. GIVEN THE SLOW AREAL MOVEMENT...HOURLY RAINFALL RATES
BETWEEN THREE QUARTERS AND ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY WITH THE
HEAVIEST RAIN THAT OCCURS WITHIN THIS BAND...AND HAS LED TO FLOODING
ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ELSEWHERE...RATES OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THE LESS INTENSE...MORE SCATTERED ACTIVITY OUTSIDE
OF THE MAIN RAIN AREA.

$$




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
518 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-081030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
518 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON...CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MAINLY AFTER 7 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MAINLY AFTER 7 PM.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...NEAR
THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

DISCUSSION...

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS DRAPED OVER THE REGION TODAY...AND WILL BE
THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY. HOWEVER...THE
MORE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIER RAIN IS FORECAST TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY AS A WAVE DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONT AND LIFTS NORTHEAST
OVER THE REGION. A SWATH OF 2 TO 5 INCH RAINS WITH LOCALIZED
AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A LIMITED MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL/WIND
THREAT ALSO EXISTS OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL CONTINUES INTO WEDNESDAY IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THE FRONTAL WAVE. BY THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
BECOMES DEFINED CLOSER THE KANSAS BORDER...BEFORE EXITING THE
REGION BY FRIDAY.

A MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL SET UP OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE
WEEKEND...AND WILL LEAD TO SEVERAL DAYS OF HOT AND HUMID WEATHER.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY




Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
336 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING REMAINS LIKELY FOR PARTS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TODAY. THE FRONT WILL
STALL LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN TO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND INTO
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BE ON TOP OF RAIN THAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN
THIS PAST EVENING IN PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AS WELL AS RAIN
FROM THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY. FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE
THE RESULT BY THE TIME THE RAIN FINALLY TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ054>071-071645-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-150709T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-
CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-
OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...
TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA
336 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...
  MADISON AND WASHINGTON AR. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR...CHEROKEE...
  CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...
  NOWATA...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...
  ROGERS...TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON OK.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* A SWATH OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN IS FORECAST ALONG AND ON EITHER
  SIDE OF A LINE FROM NEAR LAKE EUFAULA NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD
  BENTONVILLE AND ROGERS...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES EXPECTED TO FALL AS
  FAR NORTH AS A PAWNEE TO BARTLESVILLE LINE. SOME ISOLATED
  LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE AS MUCH AS 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL BY
  WEDNESDAY EVENING. DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE THE
  RESULT.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

&&

$$




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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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