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2 products issued by NWS for:

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1131 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271845-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...GROVE...JAY...SAPULPA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...
CHECOTAH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1131 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

.NOW...
AT 11:31 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
AS WELL AS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING SLOWLY
EAST AND SOUTHEAST.

THROUGH 1:45 PM...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE
AREA LIKELY AS SURFACE HEATING INTENSIFIES. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER SHOWERS AND ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT
OCCUR...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF GUSTY WINDS. THE SLOW
MOVEMENT OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL ALSO INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THOSE
WITH OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES ARE ALSO ENCOURAGED TO REMAIN AWARE OF THE
DANGERS ASSOCIATED WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...WHICH CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AND NEAR TO THUNDERSTORMS.

$$




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
454 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
454 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EARLY AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS
MORNING AND ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE DAY TODAY. GUSTY WINDS
AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL FROM SLOW STORM MOVEMENTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITHIN ANY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING.

ALSO THIS AFTERNOON...TEMPERATURES NEAR THE SEASONAL AVERAGE ALONG
WITH HUMID CONDITIONS WILL HELP TO CREATE HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE
MID 90S FOR FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TO THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 104
DEGREES FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO THE WEEKEND AS UPPER LEVEL
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW SETS UP OVER THE PLAINS. GREATER PRECIPITATION
CHANCES LOOK TO BE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND AGAIN FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES COULD PUSH INTO THE
REGION WITHIN THE UPPER FLOW. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DECREASE SUNDAY
INTO NEXT WEEK TO MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS OF
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE DEVELOPS BACK OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR HOT
AND HUMID CONDITIONS TO RETURN TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS NEXT WEEK.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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