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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
504 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
504 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS PARTS
OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THESE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER AND ANY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
WILL REMAIN VERY LOCALIZED.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING AS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES INTO SOUTHERN
KANSAS. THERE WILL BE A LIMITED THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER IN AREAS
OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER IN THE FORM OF
DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN HOT TODAY...WITH AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE
RESULTING IN HEAT INDEX VALUES APPROACHING 100 DEGREES IN MANY
AREAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
REMAINS NEAR THE AREA. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST OVER THE REGION WITH A BOUNDARY AND UPPER DISTURBANCE
LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY AWAY FROM ANY STORMS OVER THE WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FOR THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PORTION OF NEXT WEEK...RISING MID LEVEL
HEIGHTS AND TEMPS WILL LIKELY BRING AN END TO THE DAILY
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES...WITH DANGEROUS HEAT BECOMING MORE
WIDESPREAD.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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