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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
453 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
453 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A FEW AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ISOLATED COVERAGE NOTED ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY HAD DEVELOPED IN THE
VICINITY OF A WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS... ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL
HAIL...BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL GIVEN THE
SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE THUNDERSTORMS. STORMS WILL WEAKEN WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WHILE THE SURFACE BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO
BECOME MORE DIFFUSE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA FOR MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK...RESULTING IN WARMER TEMPERATURES AND VERY LIMITED
CHANCES FOR RAIN.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
444 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-302330-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
444 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.NOW...

AT 4:44 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A FEW RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS. A COUPLE STRONGER STORMS
WERE LOCATED WITHIN WESTERN PITTSBURG AND SOUTHERN LE FLORE
COUNTIES. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

THROUGH 6:30 PM...SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL CAN BE
EXPECTED...WITH LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH PER HOUR. ANY
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL...ALONG WITH HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

$$

16




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