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2 products issued by NWS for:

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
322 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-312300-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...GROVE...JAY...SAPULPA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...
CHECOTAH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
322 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

.NOW...
AT 3:22 PM...DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. THIS
ACTIVITY WAS MOVING VERY SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST.

THROUGH 6:00 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE
LIKELY. THE ACTIVITY IS ALSO EXPECTED TO EXPAND INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS DURING THIS TIME. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS
AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS THAT
OCCUR. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN
AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. DUE TO THE LIMITED MOVEMENT AND INTENSE
RAINFALL RATES...SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY ALSO OCCUR...ALONG
WITH PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN
HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

$$




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1222 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1222 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
    AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
    ONSET...ONGOING.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS IN A WARM AND MOIST
AIRMASS. THE GREATEST COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND INTO FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
ALSO NEAR A RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NEAR INTERSTATE 40. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS
FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT THE COVERAGE SHOULD DIMINISH WITH
THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

IN ADDITION TO THE THUNDERSTORMS...AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES
ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 WILL APPROACH AND POSSIBLY EXCEED
TRIPLE DIGITS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE BETTER THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL SHIFT TO AREAS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40 ON THURSDAY AS A FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. GUSTY
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL AGAIN BE THE MAIN THREATS.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE TOWARD THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE REGION.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




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