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2 products issued by NWS for:

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
634 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-230245-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
634 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

.NOW...

AT 6:30 PM... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS CONTINUED TO
SHOW WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. THE PRECIPITATION WAS OCCURRING MAINLY
SOUTH OF THE I 44 CORRIDOR.

THROUGH 8:30 PM... SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF I
44... AFFECTING PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
OVERALL RAINFALL COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE ACROSS
OKLAHOMA... WHILE INCREASING IN WESTERN ARKANSAS.

$$








Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
420 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
420 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
               ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS PRECIPITATION
MOVES OVER THE SAME AREAS. RAIN CHANCES WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT
AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SUNDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER LOW
EXITS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND A SECOND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF FROM WEST
TO EAST SUNDAY EVENING WITH THE EXITING COLD FRONT. BEHIND THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE...BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS COULD ALLOW FOR AREAS
OF HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MONDAY.

UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR A SERIES OF WEAK
COLD FRONTS TO MOVE THROUGH THE PLAINS DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK.
A LACK OF MOISTURE SHOULD KEEP THE FRONTAL PASSAGES DRY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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