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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
637 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMZ501>540-301230-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
637 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO
WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY MID-MORNING.
THIS WILL GIVE WAY TO A NEW ROUND OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. SLOW MOVEMENT OF STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLOODING. STORMS MAY ALSO
PRODUCE SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A BRIEF BREAK IN THE ACTIVE PATTERN IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. THEN
ANOTHER BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL BOOST STORM COVERAGE FOR THE
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY PERIOD WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. STORM MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL
COULD BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES. THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF
FLASH FLOODING... ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR RECENT AND OLDER BURN
SCARS. ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL.
A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

41







Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
614 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMZ522>526-529>540-291430-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
GUADALUPE COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-UNION COUNTY-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...CLAYTON...CLINES CORNERS...
CLOVIS...CONCHAS...ELK...FORT SUMNER...GRAN QUIVIRA...LAS VEGAS...
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...PICACHO...PORTALES...ROSWELL...ROY...RUIDOSO...
SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI
614 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.NOW...
A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHING FROM THE
NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS NORTHEAST TO SOUTHERN HARDING COUNTY
WILL CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH. THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL REMAIN FOCUSED OVER THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS
AROUND FORT SUMNER AND HOUSE...AND WILL MOVE EAST WITH TIME. THIS
MAIN AREA COULD PRODUCE BETWEEN AN INCH TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL
OVER THE NEXT 2 HOURS. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE WEAKER STORMS
WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN HALF AN INCH OVER THE SAME PERIOD. GUSTY
WINDS AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORM.
FLASH FLOODING REMAINS A THREAT DUE TO SATURATED GROUNDS AND
CONTINUED HEAVY RAINS...SO AVOID DRIVING ACROSS WATER COVERED ROADS
OR OTHER LOW LYING AREAS. THROUGH 830AM...AREAS THAT WILL BE
IMPACTED BY THE HEAVY RAINS INCLUDE INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN SANTA ROSA
AND THE TEXAS BORDER...HOUSE...FORT SUMNER...AND RAGLAND.


$$

24





Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
601 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMZ535-536-538-540-291600-
/O.EXT.KABQ.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-140729T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
601 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM MDT THIS MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS...CURRY COUNTY...
  ROOSEVELT COUNTY AND SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY.

* UNTIL 10 AM MDT THIS MORNING

* SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN
  AND FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT AREAS OF
  CHAVES...CURRY AND ROOSEVELT COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING.

* LOCATIONS WHERE THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED FROM RECENT
  RAINFALL WILL BE FAVORED FOR FLASH FLOODING. OTHER VULNERABLE
  LOCATIONS WILL INCLUDE COMPLEX TERRAIN NEAR THE PECOS RIVER AND
  CAPROCK REGION...AS WELL AS URBAN AREAS. KEEP A WATCHFUL EYE ON
  ARROYOS AND SMALL STREAMS...AND STAY OUT OF FLOODED LOW WATER
  CROSSINGS. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED
  TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION IF A WARNING OR ADVISORY IS ISSUED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$



Flood Advisory

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
559 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMC005-011-291400-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0335.140729T1159Z-140729T1400Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHAVES-DE BACA-
559 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL DE BACA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 800 AM MDT

* AT 554 AM MDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN CHAVES COUNTY PRODUCING
  MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY TO THE
  NORTHEAST AT AROUND 15 MPH...PRODUCING UP TO AN INCH OVER THE NEXT
  HOUR. GROUNDS REMAIN SATURATED FROM HEAVY RAINS EARLIER THIS
  MORNING...FLOWS IN ARROYOS WILL INCREASE MORE RAPIDLY FROM LESS
  RAINFALL. THIS INCLUDE ROSWELL...WHERE ADDITIONAL RAIN COULD CAUSE
  MORE STREET FLOODING.

* STRONG FLOWS AND HIGH WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN ARROYOS...SMALL
  STREAMS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS AS WELL AS URBAN AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3394 10490 3371 10462 3407 10440 3407 10436
      3400 10431 3330 10439 3330 10488

$$









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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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