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4 products issued by NWS for:

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
344 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ525-526-535>540-222300-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...CLOVIS...ELK...FORT SUMNER...
PICACHO...PORTALES...ROSWELL...RUIDOSO
344 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...
THE FOCUS FOR WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST ACROSS EAST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.  THROUGH 500 PM...AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF
THE PECOS RIVER FROM SANTA ROSA TO FORT SUMNER TO NORTHEAST CHAVES
COUNTY WILL EXPERIENCE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL TOTALS.  THIS REGION
WILL EXPAND TOWARD THE CAPROCK REGION IN SOUTHWEST QUAY AND
NEIGHBORING AREAS OF WESTERN CURRY AND NORTHWEST ROOSEVELT COUNTIES.
THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE STEADIEST RAIN WILL ALIGN ROUGHLY ALONG
U.S. HIGHWAY 285 THOUGH POCKETS OF MODERATE RAIN WILL STILL BE FOUND
WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER VALLEY. EVEN MODERATE AMOUNTS OF RAIN ON TOP
OF THE SATURATED CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF WITH HIGH
FLOWS CONTINUING IN ARROYOS...DRAWS...AND SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS
THAT FEED THE PECOS RIVER.

$$



Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
319 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ508-509-520-523>526-533>540-230400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0016.000000T0000Z-140923T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
319 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS...
  CURRY COUNTY...DE BACA COUNTY...EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...
  GUADALUPE COUNTY...LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...QUAY COUNTY...
  ROOSEVELT COUNTY...SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY...SOUTH CENTRAL
  HIGHLANDS...SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY...
  SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY.

* UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING

* AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH
  TONIGHT. AS IT ADVANCES EASTWARD...MOIST LOW LEVEL SOUTHEAST AND
  SOUTH WINDS AND A CONTINUED TAP OF LATE SEASON MONSOON MOISTURE
  WILL PERSIST. THE COMBINATION OF THESE FEATURES WILL KEEP
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVE THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND
  THEREFORE THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE
  WATCH AREA.

* LOCATIONS WHICH HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL RECENTLY WILL BE
  MOST AT RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. OTHER VULNERABLE LOCATIONS
  INCLUDE POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...STEEP TERRAIN AND BURN SCARS SUCH
  AS THE LITTLE BEAR AND WHITEWATER BALDY. KEEP A WATCHFUL EYE ON
  SMALL STREAMS AND ARROYOS...AND AVOID FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

40






Flood Advisory

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
257 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMC005-011-222300-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0697.140922T2057Z-140922T2300Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHAVES-DE BACA-
257 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  EASTERN DE BACA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  NORTHEASTERN CHAVES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 500 PM MDT

* AT 256 PM MDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING ALONG AND JUST
  EAST OF THE PECOS RIVER FROM THE FORT SUMNER AREA SOUTH TO JUST
  NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF BITTER LAKE WILDLIFE REFUGE.  RAINFALL
  RATES BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES PER HOURS CAN BE EXPECTED.

* STRONG FLOWS AND HIGH WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN ARROYOS...SMALL
  STREAMS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. RAPID RUNOFF CAN ALSO BE
  EXPECTED IMMEDIATELY OVER AND DOWNSTREAM FROM WILDFIRE BURN SCARS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3330 10435 3346 10440 3376 10443 3390 10438
      3399 10429 3409 10431 3429 10419 3444 10422
      3459 10428 3448 10398 3409 10395 3408 10392
      3382 10386 3332 10379

$$
KJ









Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
549 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ501>540-231200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
549 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY
HEAVY RAIN...ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS
MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED
OCCURRENCES OF FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS THAT HAVE
RECENTLY RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN AS WELL AS OVER AND NEAR BURN SCARS.
THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE MOST LIKELY TO FALL ACROSS AREAS FROM THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS WEST TO THE MANZANO AND NORTHERN SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS...LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND THE NORTHERN GILA REGION.
ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE UP TO 2 OR 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL. A
FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...WEATHER CAN
CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

43







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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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