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3 products issued by NWS for:

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
347 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NMZ520-524>526-539-540-012330-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...ELK...GRAN QUIVIRA...PICACHO...
RUIDOSO...SOCORRO
347 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.NOW...
A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER
THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND CENTRAL
HIGHLANDS FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY AND
ERRATICALLY...LEADING TO HOURLY RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN 0.75 TO 1.25
INCHES AND FLOWS OF FAST MOVING WATER IN NORMALLY DRY DRAINAGES AND
OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. BEFORE 530 PM...SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED
INCLUDE BERNARDO TO MOUNTAINAIR...JICARILLA...ARABELA AND PICACHO. BE
ALERT FOR OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WITH
ANY STORM.

$$



Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1018 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NMZ504-506>529-533-539-020030-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0009.140801T1800Z-140802T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
1018 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA...CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...
  EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...
  ESTANCIA VALLEY...FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...GUADALUPE COUNTY...
  JEMEZ MOUNTAINS...LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY...LOWER RIO GRANDE
  VALLEY...NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO
  MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER...NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS...
  RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA...SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY...SAN JUAN
  MOUNTAINS...SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS...SANTA FE METRO AREA...
  SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN
  SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET...SOUTHWEST
  MOUNTAINS...UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY...
  WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND WEST SLOPES
  SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* ABUNDANT MOISTURE IS IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
  NEW MEXICO...AND A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL BE ENTERING
  NORTHERN PARTS OF THE STATE LATER TODAY. IN ADDITION...STORMS
  ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND THIS
  SCENARIO WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING. WITH
  ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL
  LIKELY PRODUCE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WITH RAIN AT RATES NEAR 1
  INCH IN JUST A HALF HOUR.

* LOCATIONS WHERE THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED FROM RECENT
  RAINFALL WILL BE FAVORED FOR FLASH FLOODING. OTHER VULNERABLE
  LOCATIONS WILL INCLUDE STEEP TERRAIN...URBAN AREAS AND BURN
  SCARS. KEEP A WATCHFUL EYE ON ARROYOS AND SMALL STREAMS...AND
  STAY OUT OF FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS. MONITOR THE LATEST
  FORECASTS CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION IF A
  WARNING OR ADVISORY IS ISSUED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$








Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
602 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NMZ501>540-021200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
602 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL INTERACT WITH ABUNDANT
MOISTURE TO PRODUCE A BETTER RISK OF FLASH FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT THAN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO HAS SEEN IN THE
PAST FEW DAYS. THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE AND EASTWARD TO THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MUCH OF THE ENERGY FROM THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT PASSES
SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NEW MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOULD
SHIFT WESTWARD OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY
BRINGING THE BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING TO THE
SOUTHERN TIER OF MOUNTAINS AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING SHOULD THEN FAVOR THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE REGION TO THE ARIZONA BORDER SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A SLOW
MOVING SUBTROPICAL WAVE MIGRATES NORTHWARD WEST OF NEW
MEXICO...THEN EASTWARD NORTH OF NEW MEXICO...STEERING A ROBUST
MONSOON MOISTURE PLUME OVERHEAD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

44







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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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