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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
548 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

NMZ501>540-291200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
548 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ANOTHER VERY ACTIVE PERIOD OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL A GOOD BET OWING TO SLOW
CELL MOVEMENT AND COLLIDING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. THE MOST
WIDESPREAD HEAVY THUNDERSTORM RAINS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE WESTERN
AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS AREAS ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY SPREAD
TO THE NORTHEAST QUARTER OF THE STATE ONCE AGAIN THIS
EVENING...IMPACTING AREAS THAT RECEIVED FLOODING RAINFALL THIS
PAST NIGHT. WHILE THE MAIN THREAT FROM TODAY/S STORMS WILL BE
HEAVY RAIN... A FEW STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO
DIME SIZE AND WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND NIGHTTIME HOURS OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.
SLOW MOVEMENT OF STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH
COULD LEAD TO FLOODING. STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL...AND
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH. THE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY PERIOD
COULD BE ESPECIALLY ACTIVE AS THE AFFECTS OF SURFACE FRONTS AND
WEAK DISTURBANCES ENHANCE STORM DEVELOPMENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

41







Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1241 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMZ525-526-534>540-290930-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...CLOVIS...ELK...FORT SUMNER...
PICACHO...PORTALES...ROSWELL...RUIDOSO...TUCUMCARI
1241 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE FROM THE SOUTH
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS EASTWARD ACROSS CHAVES COUNTY. MEANWHILE...ISOLATED
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL MOVE TOWARD THE EAST
OR NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH....THOUGH A FEW STORMS MAY BUILD TO THE
SOUTHEAST. STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING OVER 1.25
INCHES OF RAIN IN LESS THAN AN HOUR WITH WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AND
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THROUGH 330 AM MDT HIGHWAY 285
WILL BE IMPACTED IN SPOTS FROM MESA SOUTHWARD TO THE EDDY COUNTY
LINE...AND U S HIGHWAY 70 WILL BE IMPACTED BETWEEN ROSWELL AND
PORTALES. HAZARDOUS WATER LEVELS MAY QUICKLY DEVELOP IN SMALL
STREAMS...ARROYOS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. MINOR FLOODING IS
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT ROSWELL AREA.

$$

24





Flood Advisory

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1145 PM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

NMC005-027-290945-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0327.140729T0545Z-140729T0945Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHAVES-LINCOLN-
1145 PM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 345 AM MDT

* AT 1142 PM MDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL FROM FAR
  SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY EASTWARD TOWARD DEXTER AND HAGERMAN.
  THIS ACTIVITY IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAINFALL AT RATES BETWEEN
  1 AND 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT DRAINAGES
  TRAVELING EASTWARD TOWARD THE PECOS RIVER...INCLUDING RIO FELIX
  AND RIO PENASCO. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO IMPACT PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY
  82...HIGHWAY 13...AND 285.

* STRONG FLOWS AND HIGH WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN ARROYOS...SMALL
  STREAMS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. RAPID RUNOFF CAN ALSO BE
  EXPECTED IMMEDIATELY OVER AND DOWNSTREAM FROM WILDFIRE BURN SCARS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOTH LOCALIZED AND DISTANT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FLOWS
IN ARROYOS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE
THROUGH THESE WATERS. WATER IN ARROYOS MAY TRAVEL MANY MILES AND TAKE
HOURS TO REACH YOUR LOCATION FROM UPSTREAM RAIN AREAS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3289 10536 3298 10535 3298 10533 3324 10531
      3323 10430 3310 10425 3295 10427 3295 10483
      3280 10484 3272 10536

$$
GUYER









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