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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
547 AM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014

NMZ501>540-211200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
547 AM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE ENCOUNTERED NEAR AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN EARLY THIS MORNING. VISIBILITIES LESS THAN 1/2 MILE
WILL IMPACT AREAS NEAR LAS VEGAS...CLINES CORNERS AND BETWEEN
RUIDOSO AND ROSWELL. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...RESIDUAL MOISTURE
WILL FUEL ISOLATED SLOW-MOVING THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING FAVORING THE SOUTHEAST QUARTER AND UPPER GILA REGION.
LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING NORTH
OF NEW MEXICO WILL DRAW MOISTURE NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD LEADING TO
AN OVERALL UPTICK IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE. STORM
MOTIONS WILL GENERALLY BE TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST...BUT SLOW
ENOUGH TO RESULT IN A LOCALIZED FLOOD THREAT WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR FLASH FLOODING BELOW BURN SCARS. THE FAVORED AREA FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND MINOR FLOODING WILL SHIFT EASTWARD MONDAY...ALIGNING
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. LOW GRADE MONSOON
FORECAST WILL THEN DOMINATE MID TO LATE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

41







Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
358 PM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014

NMZ510>517-210000-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGEL FIRE...MORA...CHAMA...ESPANOLA...
LOS ALAMOS...PECOS...CERRO/QUESTA...RED RIVER...TAOS
358 PM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.NOW...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. MOVEMENT WILL BE
TO THE NORTHEAST AT JUST 10 MPH. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAIN AT A RATE OF ONE TO TWO INCHES AN HOUR...
WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...ONE HALF HAIL AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. LOCATIONS IMPACTED THROUGH 6 PM INCLUDE ALCALDE...CHILI...
TIERRA AMARILLA...MONERO...LOS PINOS AND BLACK LAKE.

$$

40





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