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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMZ501>540-011200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
600 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FLASH FLOODING TODAY. MODELS PAINT SOME OF THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND
ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE WEST CENTRAL AND JEMEZ MOUNTAINS. THE
FOCUS SHOULD THEN SHIFT TO THE NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT EAST SLOPES THIS EVENING. STORMS WILL MOVE
SLOWLY AND GENERALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL PASS SOUTHEASTWARD OVER
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO FRIDAY BRINGING THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
FLASH FLOODING TO THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ADJACENT EAST
SLOPES. THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING SHOULD THEN SHIFT
WESTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND AS A SLOW MOVING SUBTROPICAL WAVE
MIGRATES NORTHWARD WEST OF NEW MEXICO STEERING A ROBUST MONSOON
MOISTURE PLUME OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

44







Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
911 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

NMZ501>509-010430-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CUBA...DULCE...EL MORRO...FARMINGTON...
GALLUP...GLENWOOD...GRANTS...QUEMADO
911 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. STORMS
IN SAN JUAN COUNTY WILL MOVE ACROSS HIGHWAY 491 AND STATE ROAD 371
NEAR SHIPROCK...FARMINGTON...AND BLOOMFIELD. MORE STORMS NEAR
HIGHWAY 550 WILL MOVE ACROSS EL HUERFANO AND BLANCO TRADING POSTS...
LYBROOK...AND CHACO CULTURE NATIONAL HISTORIC PARK. IN NORTHERN
SANDOVAL COUNTY...STORMS NEAR COUNSELOR WILL MOVE TOWARD CUBA ACROSS
HIGHWAY 550. SHOWERS IN CATRON COUNTY WILL MOVE ACROSS PIE TOWN...
QUEMADO...DATIL...HIGHWAY 60 AND STATE ROAD 12. EXPECT LIGHTNING AND
RAINFALL OF SEVERAL TENTHS OF AN INCH ALONG WITH SOME HAIL AND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH AS THESE STORMS MOVE THROUGH. HEAVIER RAINS WILL FILL
ARROYOS AND DITCHES AND BLOCK LOW WATER CROSSINGS. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND RAINFALL UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE EVENING.

$$



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